Cooked-Replica — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$853

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.3%

Resolved

Trades

20,435

lifetime

Volume

$290.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 07-19 14:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

43% 25% $-814

Politics

34% 0% $-39

Tech

13% — —

Sports

8% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 2563 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mohammed bin salman sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950077	463	$10.1K	42,341	42,005	+335	open	—	06-22 23:35
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	1,190	$9.3K	26,495	26,495	+0	open	—	06-21 11:06
will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149 733 235 667 821	1,184	$8.3K	30,222	30,222	-0	open	—	06-29 00:01
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	394	$6.5K	15,309	15,501	-192	open	—	05-23 23:45
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	195	$6.2K	16,105	16,074	+31	open	—	05-08 13:32
will mishal al ahmad al jaber al sabah sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950083	377	$5.5K	23,605	23,938	-333	open	—	06-22 18:27
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	142	$5.1K	10,568	10,657	-90	open	—	06-27 15:02
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	200	$4.6K	21,646	21,350	+296	open	—	06-09 15:33
will lionel messi score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833282	119	$4.2K	4,024	3,909	+115	open	—	06-13 23:23
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	142	$4.2K	12,731	12,844	-113	open	—	06-30 12:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	59	$4.1K	6,616	5,605	+1,011	open	—	06-14 00:13
Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	93	$4.0K	4,800	4,442	+357	open	—	05-08 23:43
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	101	$3.9K	3,534	3,534	+0	open	—	06-09 23:50
will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	211	$3.4K	13,931	13,931	+1	open	—	06-22 14:37
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	49	$3.3K	2,996	2,996	+0	open	—	06-13 11:17
will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	297	$3.3K	6,883	7,663	-780	open	—	06-16 16:11
will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	61	$3.3K	5,053	4,757	+296	open	—	06-09 10:31
will apple announce a homepod mini successor during the wwdc 2026 keynote	978	$3.2K	3,213	3,278	-65	open	—	06-06 13:48
will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	80	$2.7K	2,240	2,240	+0	open	—	06-22 22:25
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	285	$2.7K	4,369	4,420	-51	open	—	06-27 15:38
will mohamed bin zayed al nahyan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950078	184	$2.7K	10,740	10,740	+1	open	—	06-22 15:34
will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2027	133	$2.6K	3,498	3,498	+0	open	—	06-10 23:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	46	$2.6K	14,870	15,840	-970	open	—	06-11 15:58
will x a xii be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212476	125	$2.5K	2,702	2,702	+0	open	—	06-11 19:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$2.5K	1,903	1,903	-0	open	—	05-31 14:30
will lionel messi score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833283	239	$2.5K	2,958	3,043	-85	open	—	06-13 10:48
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	182	$2.4K	5,113	5,122	-10	open	—	06-27 13:40
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	11	$2.4K	3,752	0	+3,752	open	—	06-15 11:52
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	192	$2.3K	6,922	6,922	+0	open	—	06-27 03:44
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	107	$2.3K	6,924	6,924	+0	open	—	06-22 23:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 14:21:15	Vanta IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0xdacb6d…
07-19 14:21:09	Vanta IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x13ea58…
07-16 14:08:26	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	338	2¢	$7	0xcf68c6…
07-15 15:00:07	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x861ede…
07-15 14:15:25	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3f7a10…
07-15 14:14:17	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	458	4¢	$16	0xd827ef…
07-12 23:23:56	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0x0a67c3…
07-12 19:19:10	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xec7d06…
07-11 15:54:46	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x07b4fa…
07-11 00:51:59	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0x054abb…
07-11 00:51:50	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	380	5¢	$18	0xb057f9…
07-10 13:31:14	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xbefa07…
07-10 13:26:01	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x5f8b4b…
07-10 13:18:58	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x1a66bd…
07-10 13:11:37	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	82	6¢	$5	0x8a0616…
07-10 05:01:49	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0xb7fdeb…
07-10 05:01:40	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	184	7¢	$13	0xec7ff5…
07-09 18:07:50	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0xf1eaa0…
07-09 12:15:56	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x20e334…
07-09 12:14:47	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xbd3e23…
07-09 12:14:13	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	741	5¢	$36	0x3dbf64…
07-03 10:56:56	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6cffe8…
07-03 08:21:55	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xae9646…
07-02 13:02:16	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	SELL	1,074	17¢	$182	0x2230b9…
07-01 20:58:20	will lab dip to 8 before 2027	Yes	SELL	390	99¢	$385	0xdce82f…
07-01 09:46:41	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xeacdb8…
07-01 09:36:55	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	Yes	SELL	307	99¢	$305	0x4865f0…
07-01 07:33:29	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xb66cbd…
07-01 02:24:16	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x023ffa…
06-30 12:32:14	will slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians 20260623184301114	Yes	SELL	225	6¢	$15	0x25bf7f…
06-30 12:31:26	will cristiano ronaldo score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406406	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x8e86cd…
06-30 12:30:25	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	No	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0x04bdfe…
06-30 12:29:23	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	BUY	177	9¢	$16	0x3c4f77…
06-30 12:28:46	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	2,266	13¢	$296	0xa979ef…
06-30 12:19:52	fda approves arcutis zoryve cream 06 29 2026	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5f0b2d…
06-30 11:52:19	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	213	8¢	$16	0xa35e01…
06-30 08:41:52	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xb999ae…
06-30 08:20:37	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xed3874…
06-30 03:15:43	will donald trump attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204740	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x05e05e…
06-30 02:22:40	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	160	8¢	$12	0xa2a81d…
06-29 18:40:11	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x26fb6d…
06-29 18:40:08	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x02b010…
06-29 18:35:52	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x134107…
06-29 18:35:49	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x25fc22…
06-29 17:22:23	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xa7882d…
06-29 17:13:13	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xad16ca…
06-29 15:28:25	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x71a3af…
06-29 14:50:37	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xda271d…
06-29 14:06:56	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x278619…
06-29 13:46:28	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x2aba63…
06-29 13:44:25	will slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians 20260623184301114	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe2e869…
06-29 13:44:02	will slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians 20260623184301114	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1f32c8…
06-29 13:38:38	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xe761a1…
06-29 13:36:16	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	53	8¢	$4	0x174b16…
06-29 13:26:11	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	BUY	196	15¢	$30	0xd49004…
06-29 13:19:10	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x61b182…
06-29 13:19:07	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x9ed500…
06-29 13:18:58	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xbd2d3b…
06-29 13:18:55	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x848fd6…
06-29 13:01:53	will benjamin netanyahu attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204734	Yes	SELL	79	4¢	$3	0x4b3fd7…
06-29 12:58:23	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x9732be…
06-29 12:58:20	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x692235…
06-29 12:58:05	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	BUY	127	13¢	$16	0xa4c779…
06-29 12:55:02	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xcb6bfa…
06-29 12:54:59	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x36b4a3…
06-29 12:54:34	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xb87e3a…
06-29 12:54:31	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x1e8826…
06-29 12:52:32	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	344	8¢	$28	0x2a85ee…
06-29 12:51:55	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	BUY	113	11¢	$12	0x0fbe49…
06-29 12:09:43	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	SELL	110	9¢	$10	0xefe73b…
06-29 11:59:13	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x838411…
06-29 11:57:37	will benjamin netanyahu attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204734	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x6e4853…
06-29 11:46:49	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xfe438a…
06-29 11:39:02	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x4ea2a8…
06-29 11:38:19	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xe33af8…
06-29 11:38:19	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	SELL	101	14¢	$14	0x075e9d…
06-29 11:36:56	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x4b3fdf…
06-29 11:35:58	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x6dcd21…
06-29 11:34:43	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x43892e…
06-29 11:34:07	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x3650b8…
06-29 11:32:11	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xa16bf0…
06-29 11:31:52	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x631ef9…
06-29 11:31:50	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	BUY	126	8¢	$10	0xf72b28…
06-29 11:31:16	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x49d57d…
06-29 11:30:46	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x932921…
06-29 11:30:28	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x829e9b…
06-29 11:29:58	will benjamin netanyahu attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204734	Yes	SELL	43	8¢	$3	0xc72bb7…
06-29 11:29:25	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xc03ffa…
06-29 11:29:02	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0xd84853…
06-29 11:28:43	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x110b7a…
06-29 11:28:17	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xf38129…
06-29 11:27:13	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x60eb87…
06-29 11:26:26	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xcbbd4f…
06-29 11:25:05	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x1cad31…
06-29 11:21:55	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x75209d…
06-29 11:19:22	will benjamin netanyahu attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204734	Yes	SELL	77	8¢	$6	0x58ca69…
06-29 11:19:13	will benjamin netanyahu attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204734	Yes	SELL	77	8¢	$6	0x380440…
06-29 11:16:55	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x60213b…
06-29 11:13:20	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	SELL	26	15¢	$4	0xe6ad1a…
06-29 11:11:58	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0xb54b6b…