Realized P&L
-$853
Unrealized P&L
+$429
Hit rate
1.3%
Resolved
10
Trades
8,150
lifetime
Volume
$113.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$614
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-10 00:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
61% 25% $-814
Politics
21% 0% $-39
Tech
13%
Sports
2%
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 2563 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +264 $239 97¢ $257 +$18 06-04 13:53
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +165 $112 82¢ $135 +$23 06-06 01:53
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? Yes -620 $-119 16¢ $-96 +$23 05-31 16:04
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -113 $-185 29¢ $-32 +$152 06-02 12:22
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -109 $50 22¢ $-23 $-74 06-10 02:20
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No -76 $-15 20¢ $-15 $-1 06-06 03:44
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -51 $-100 24¢ $-12 +$88 06-01 21:03
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? Yes -118 $-12 10¢ $-11 +$1 05-30 12:45
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes -127 $52 $-9 $-61 06-09 14:57
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? Yes -59 $8 12¢ $-7 $-15 06-01 05:18
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -109 $-4 $-6 $-1 05-30 13:14
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +76 $-424 $6 +$430 06-09 15:33
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes -10 $123 20¢ $-2 $-125 06-01 23:23
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -7 $-12 20¢ $-1 +$10 06-09 14:43
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes -0 $1 80¢ $-0 $-2 06-07 11:17
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -4 $-30 $-0 +$30 06-09 23:43
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes -1 $1 18¢ $-0 $-1 06-01 12:56
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-04 12:13
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? Yes +0 $67 19¢ $0 $-67 06-08 13:49