Realized P&L
-$853
Unrealized P&L
+$2.60K
Hit rate
1.3%
Resolved
10
Trades
20,402
lifetime
Volume
$289.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$532
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-30 12:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
43% 25% $-814
Politics
34% 0% $-39
Tech
13%
Sports
8%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 2563 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? No +1,072 $129 13¢ $139 +$10 06-30 12:29
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? Yes -625 $-157 18¢ $-109 +$48 06-19 13:29
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? Yes +742 $171 10¢ $71 $-101 06-30 08:41
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -186 $-198 19¢ $-35 +$163 06-27 15:38
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -129 $40 20¢ $-26 $-66 06-27 15:02
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No -76 $-15 32¢ $-25 $-10 06-06 03:44
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? Yes -127 $-54 14¢ $-17 +$37 06-19 16:13
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No -15 $-13 99¢ $-15 $-2 06-20 10:58
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -117 $-208 10¢ $-11 +$197 06-30 12:28
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes -127 $52 $-9 $-61 06-09 14:57
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -10 $-2 76¢ $-8 $-5 06-21 11:13
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? No -11 $-20 66¢ $-7 +$13 06-17 01:49
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes -10 $-3 68¢ $-7 $-4 06-16 14:46
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? Yes -88 $3 $-7 $-10 06-20 08:51
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +76 $-424 $6 +$430 06-09 15:33
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -20 $-2 26¢ $-5 $-3 06-22 14:56
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -109 $-4 $-5 $-1 05-30 13:14
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? Yes -15 $-29 24¢ $-4 +$25 06-21 23:24
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? Yes -30 $-66 12¢ $-3 +$63 06-19 22:06
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027? Yes -21 $-39 15¢ $-3 +$36 06-24 05:49
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? Yes -25 $-331 12¢ $-3 +$328 06-17 09:30
SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -10 $-43 29¢ $-3 +$40 06-28 04:12
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027? No -6 $-97 44¢ $-3 +$95 06-20 13:06
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? Yes -15 $-4 16¢ $-2 +$2 06-27 14:06
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? Yes -15 $-1 16¢ $-2 $-1 06-24 13:10
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes -10 $92 20¢ $-2 $-94 06-27 13:40
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? Yes -221 $-1,322 $-2 +$1,321 06-21 11:06
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? Yes -5 $-153 29¢ $-1 +$151 06-24 12:46
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? No -1 $-0 85¢ $-1 $-1 06-27 05:20
Vanta IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 06-17 00:08