Realized P&L
+$4.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$116
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
405
Trades
29,148
lifetime
Volume
$430.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$24
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 07-19 14:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Other
51% 53% +$3,343
Politics
31% 53% -$554
Tech
11% 53% +$970
Sports
6% 53% +$489
Crypto
1% 50% -$114
Pop-Culture
1% 33% -$52
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -130 $42 14¢ $-17 -$59 06-27 15:02
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -75 -$200 3¢ $-2 +$198 06-30 12:28
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes -5 $48 44¢ $-2 -$50 06-16 14:46
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? Yes -12 $7 10¢ $-1 -$8 06-02 12:21
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes +14 -$151 5¢ $1 +$151 06-27 15:38
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes -10 $92 4¢ $-0 -$92 06-27 13:40
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes -1 $1 3¢ $-0 -$1 06-01 12:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +0 -$6 18¢ $0 +$6 06-29 02:45
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes +1 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 06-27 14:47
will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640 Yes +0 -$1 8¢ $0 +$1 06-28 05:27
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +0 $25 1¢ $0 -$25 06-27 14:59