Realized P&L
-$853
Unrealized P&L
+$1.35K
Hit rate
1.3%
Resolved
10
Trades
20,435
lifetime
Volume
$290.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$286
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 07-19 14:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
43% 25% $-814
Politics
34% 0% $-39
Tech
13%
Sports
8%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 2563 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -129 $40 60¢ $-77 $-117 06-27 15:02
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? Yes -625 $-157 $-53 +$104 06-19 13:29
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -186 $-198 16¢ $-29 +$168 06-27 15:38
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No -76 $-15 24¢ $-19 $-4 06-06 03:44
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -117 $-208 15¢ $-17 +$191 06-30 12:28
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? Yes -127 $-54 $-8 +$46 06-19 16:13
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -10 $-2 80¢ $-8 $-6 06-21 11:13
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? No -11 $-20 73¢ $-8 +$12 06-17 01:49
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes -127 $52 $-8 $-60 06-09 14:57
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes -10 $-3 76¢ $-8 $-5 06-16 14:46
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? Yes -88 $3 $-7 $-10 06-20 08:51
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -109 $-4 $-6 $-2 05-30 13:14
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -20 $-2 22¢ $-4 $-2 06-22 14:56
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +76 $-424 $4 +$428 06-09 15:33
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? Yes -15 $-4 27¢ $-4 +$0 06-27 14:06
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027? No -6 $-97 62¢ $-4 +$94 06-20 13:06
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? Yes -25 $-331 12¢ $-3 +$328 06-17 09:30
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? Yes -30 $-66 $-3 +$64 06-19 22:06
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? Yes -15 $-1 16¢ $-2 $-1 06-24 13:10
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027? Yes -21 $-39 10¢ $-2 +$37 06-24 05:49
SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -10 $-43 21¢ $-2 +$41 06-28 04:12
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes -10 $92 21¢ $-2 $-94 06-27 13:40
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? Yes -46 $145 $-2 $-147 07-16 14:08
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? No -1 $-0 91¢ $-1 $-1 06-27 05:20
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? Yes -15 $-29 $-1 +$28 06-21 23:24
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes -10 $-8 10¢ $-1 +$7 06-18 01:31
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -7 $23 12¢ $-1 $-24 06-27 14:59
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? Yes -5 $-231 15¢ $-1 +$230 06-17 23:20
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes -15 $-27 $-1 +$26 06-18 06:27
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? Yes -5 $-22 12¢ $-1 +$21 06-24 13:11