Realized P&L (30d)
+$509
Unrealized P&L
+$169
Hit rate
73.5%
Resolved (30d)
25
Trades (30d)
0
29,148 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$430.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$18
20 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 07-19 14:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Other
51% 52% +$3,468
Politics
31% 53% -$193
Tech
11% 55% +$1,038
Sports
6% 53% +$489
Crypto
1% 50% -$114
Pop-Culture
1% 33% -$52
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -130 $42 7¢ $-9 -$51 06-27 15:02
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes -5 $48 93¢ $-5 -$53 06-16 14:46
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -75 -$200 2¢ $-1 +$199 06-30 12:28
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? Yes -27 $2 4¢ $-1 -$3 06-20 08:51
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? Yes -12 $7 6¢ $-1 -$8 06-02 12:21
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes -10 $92 4¢ $-0 -$92 06-27 13:40
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes +14 -$151 2¢ $0 +$151 06-27 15:38
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? No +0 -$14 92¢ $0 +$14 06-27 05:20
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? Yes -5 $21 2¢ $-0 -$21 06-02 12:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +0 -$6 27¢ $0 +$6 06-29 02:45
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? Yes +2 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 05-23 14:27
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes -1 $1 3¢ $-0 -$1 06-01 12:56
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? Yes +1 -$48 2¢ $0 +$48 06-19 16:13
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? Yes +0 -$20 4¢ $0 +$20 06-24 13:11
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes +1 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 06-27 14:47
will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640 Yes +0 -$1 4¢ $0 +$1 06-28 05:27
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +0 $25 3¢ $0 -$25 06-27 14:59
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +0 -$5 4¢ $0 +$5 06-29 01:16
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? Yes +0 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 06-24 13:10
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? Yes -0 $12 1¢ $-0 -$12 06-04 11:10