Bleak-Binoculars — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$873

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

10.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,939

lifetime

Volume

$139.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-26 19:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

77% 13% $-873

Politics

10% — —

Sports

6% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes		-60	$2	0¢	$-0	$-2	05-06 08:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	19	$4.8K	3,735	3,735	+0	open	—	04-20 01:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	29	$4.2K	4,546	4,546	+0	open	—	04-27 04:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	16	$3.3K	1,724	1,724	+0	open	—	04-28 14:42
spy up or down on april 17 2026	19	$2.8K	2,783	2,776	+7	open	—	04-17 15:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	16	$2.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-30 20:22
spx up or down on april 17 2026	19	$2.1K	2,317	2,317	+0	open	—	04-17 07:57
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	27	$2.0K	2,240	2,303	-63	open	—	04-27 05:02
nba cle mem 2026 04 06 spread away 13pt5	14	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-07 01:29
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$1.9K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	04-03 20:07
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	21	$1.6K	1,535	1,540	-5	open	—	04-26 19:43
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	27	$1.6K	1,631	1,630	+0	open	—	05-21 10:14
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	4	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-28 14:43
wti up or down on april 17 2026	11	$1.4K	1,444	1,440	+4	open	—	04-17 05:59
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	13	$1.4K	1,600	800	+800	open	—	05-19 09:43
spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	2	$1.4K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-31 03:17
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	12	$1.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-03 06:07
nvda up or down on april 9 2026	5	$1.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-09 18:05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	10	$1.2K	1,346	1,346	+0	open	—	05-20 21:34
pltr up or down on april 13 2026	11	$1.1K	1,130	1,130	+0	open	—	04-13 03:46
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	4	$1.1K	1,017	1,017	+0	open	—	04-07 20:06
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	30	$1.1K	1,166	1,216	-50	open	—	05-13 23:55
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	11	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-29 10:59
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	4	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-07 08:00
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	8	$1.0K	947	947	+0	open	—	05-28 13:41
spy up or down on april 13 2026	2	$999	900	900	+0	open	—	04-12 02:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	4	$993	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-19 03:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$985	667	667	+0	open	—	04-18 20:44
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28 spread home 6pt5	4	$980	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-27 18:09
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28 total 153pt5	2	$980	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-28 16:54
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?	3	$912	500	500	+0	open	—	04-21 05:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 19:18:44	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250633	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xc6d5ec…
06-26 18:51:07	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250633	No	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0x4f5d44…
06-26 18:50:17	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250633	No	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x9d1cce…
06-26 16:52:25	will taiwan semiconductor tsm q2 revenue usd be above 42b 20260619202534030	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x0dd8e9…
06-25 16:24:40	will taiwan semiconductor tsm q2 revenue usd be above 42b 20260619202534030	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x1473a0…
06-25 16:23:28	will taiwan semiconductor tsm q2 revenue usd be above 42b 20260619202534030	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x75643b…
06-25 16:23:26	will taiwan semiconductor tsm q2 revenue usd be above 42b 20260619202534030	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x011d66…
06-25 15:11:40	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809442	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x0a4b4f…
06-25 14:37:28	will taiwan semiconductor tsm q2 revenue usd be above 42b 20260619202534030	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x1ebb69…
06-24 18:40:08	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221711	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x5a7f9a…
06-24 18:38:55	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221711	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe7933b…
06-24 18:38:52	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221711	Yes	SELL	150	45¢	$67	0xaad317…
06-24 18:38:32	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646383	Yes	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x36e387…
06-24 18:35:13	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646383	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xee992d…
06-24 18:24:47	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646383	Yes	SELL	69	80¢	$55	0x0a492e…
06-24 18:23:46	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646383	Yes	BUY	69	80¢	$55	0xc34f75…
06-24 16:03:05	will the announcers say crossbar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859858	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0xc12106…
06-24 15:53:22	will the announcers say crossbar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859858	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x8a0870…
06-24 15:43:26	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221711	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xf20115…
06-24 15:40:01	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221711	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x686345…
06-24 14:41:17	will the announcers say assist during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859856	No	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0xa195b0…
06-24 14:40:26	will the announcers say assist during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859856	No	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xd210bb…
06-24 14:39:46	will the announcers say assist during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859856	No	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xc0a2a6…
06-24 14:38:58	will the announcers say assist during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859856	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x494967…
06-24 13:13:25	will the announcers say ronaldo during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033336	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x0fe6df…
06-24 13:13:08	will the announcers say ronaldo during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033336	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x745db2…
06-24 13:12:53	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947279	No	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0xe3b023…
06-24 13:11:23	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947279	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x623538…
06-24 13:05:47	will the announcers say qatar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859849	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xd3a217…
06-24 13:04:04	will the announcers say qatar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859849	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x159b59…
06-24 11:00:58	will starmer say hate or hatred during the next pmq 20260610160650634	Yes	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x396e5d…
06-24 04:48:25	will the announcers say qatar during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221715	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x1f0e3d…
06-24 04:08:55	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x92dbe1…
06-24 04:02:43	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0xd73a52…
06-24 03:49:22	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xf3e756…
06-24 03:49:22	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x8b65c7…
06-24 03:39:25	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0xced285…
06-24 03:37:43	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xebd12a…
06-24 03:37:22	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0x67a875…
06-24 03:23:38	will the announcers say messi during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809462	Yes	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xe180f4…
06-24 03:23:17	will the announcers say messi during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809462	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x712e21…
06-24 02:15:07	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947279	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x6a0058…
06-24 02:11:56	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947279	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x04d34e…
06-24 02:11:13	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033335	Yes	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0x438275…
06-24 02:11:08	will the announcers say mexico 5 times during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033313	Yes	SELL	14	81¢	$12	0xa30208…
06-24 02:10:40	will the announcers say mexico 5 times during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033313	Yes	BUY	14	81¢	$12	0xd07985…
06-24 02:09:16	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033335	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0xcfd190…
06-24 01:57:26	will the announcers say qatar during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221715	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x05cd96…
06-24 01:28:26	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809442	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xc70780…
06-24 01:09:56	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033334	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xa78c39…
06-24 00:59:14	will the announcers say captain during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809449	No	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0xf37d1a…
06-24 00:58:56	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809463	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0xd321ef…
06-24 00:57:01	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033334	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xae9298…
06-24 00:50:41	will the announcers say captain during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809449	No	BUY	38	17¢	$6	0x08c8d1…
06-24 00:50:37	will the announcers say captain during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809449	No	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0x954555…
06-24 00:50:23	will the announcers say captain during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809449	No	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xea3cb5…
06-24 00:49:58	will the announcers say captain during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809449	No	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x32bbfd…
06-24 00:39:25	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809463	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x428ff0…
06-23 23:49:17	will aday mara be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517292	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x4fe19d…
06-23 23:32:02	will aday mara be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517292	No	SELL	45	39¢	$18	0x13c46e…
06-23 23:09:25	will aday mara be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517292	No	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0x3d4c7a…
06-23 22:23:16	will darius acuff jrpt be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918103	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x028a7f…
06-23 22:22:52	will nate ament be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517286	No	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x9011e9…
06-23 22:19:37	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x4fc618…
06-23 22:17:34	will mikel brown jrpt be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517285	Yes	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xf8804a…
06-23 22:13:22	will mikel brown jrpt be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517285	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xd1dc42…
06-23 22:11:44	will aday mara be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517292	No	BUY	65	36¢	$23	0xafa5a4…
06-23 22:10:34	will nate ament be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517286	No	SELL	86	31¢	$27	0x2095d6…
06-23 22:09:05	will nate ament be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517286	No	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xa88fe2…
06-23 21:57:01	will darius acuff jrpt be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517282	No	SELL	73	0¢	$0	0xeb11d8…
06-23 21:55:28	will mikel brown jrpt be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517285	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x94068e…
06-23 21:54:25	will mikel brown jrpt be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517285	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x8cbe9e…
06-23 21:49:40	will darius acuff jrpt be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517282	No	BUY	73	0¢	$0	0xb229d1…
06-23 21:14:16	will darius acuff jrpt be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918103	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xe05108…
06-23 21:13:44	will labaron philon be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517290	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x6c0b1d…
06-23 21:13:38	will labaron philon be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517290	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x4d3782…
06-23 21:13:34	will labaron philon be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517290	No	SELL	60	88¢	$53	0x967284…
06-23 21:13:13	will labaron philon be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517290	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5efcd7…
06-23 21:13:08	will labaron philon be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517290	No	BUY	59	88¢	$52	0x7a088c…
06-23 21:10:41	will brayden burries be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517284	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x92e6fa…
06-23 20:56:23	will karim lopez be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155207828	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8763a7…
06-23 20:53:11	will brayden burries be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517284	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xfb017b…
06-23 20:52:17	will nate ament be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517286	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xf56384…
06-22 19:21:58	will the announcers say handball during the france vs iraq fifa world cup match 20260619205900201	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x82348b…
06-22 18:40:08	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs austria fifa world cup match 20260619205628608	Yes	SELL	58	6¢	$4	0x3e0dc2…
06-22 18:39:59	will the announcers say captain during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023965	No	SELL	64	34¢	$22	0xc97541…
06-22 18:39:05	will the announcers say crossbar during the argentina vs austria fifa world cup match 20260619205628603	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd1785c…
06-22 18:39:01	will the announcers say crossbar during the argentina vs austria fifa world cup match 20260619205628603	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1d9636…
06-22 18:38:58	will the announcers say crossbar during the argentina vs austria fifa world cup match 20260619205628603	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x3bfe95…
06-22 18:35:49	will the announcers say captain during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023965	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xf420e7…
06-22 18:35:41	will the announcers say captain during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023965	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc42004…
06-22 18:30:19	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs austria fifa world cup match 20260619205628608	Yes	BUY	58	8¢	$5	0x9f6eae…
06-22 18:29:07	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs austria fifa world cup match 20260619205628604	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xbc210e…
06-22 18:26:40	will the announcers say visa during the argentina vs austria fifa world cup match 20260619205628593	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x20d6c1…
06-22 18:23:56	will the announcers say visa during the argentina vs austria fifa world cup match 20260619205628593	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x328f6d…
06-22 18:18:53	will the announcers say record during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023964	No	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0x4982e8…
06-22 18:18:46	will the announcers say comeback come back during the france vs iraq fifa world cup match 20260619205900205	Yes	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x0811ba…
06-22 18:18:43	will the announcers say record during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023964	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xa334ae…
06-22 18:18:31	will the announcers say record during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023964	No	SELL	115	17¢	$20	0xc3e6aa…
06-22 18:17:26	will the announcers say record during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023964	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xa1abb8…