Beneficial-Sigh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-19 06:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-7

Politics

34% — —

Tech

10% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes		-50	$-5	8¢	$-4	+$1	06-25 06:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$135	100	100	+0	open	—	03-10 00:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$100	90	90	+0	open	—	03-06 10:49
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$94	115	115	+0	open	—	03-10 00:36
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	7	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	06-25 08:46
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	6	$84	100	100	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 01:45
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$78	200	200	+0	open	—	03-10 01:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	05-13 02:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	2	$62	50	50	+0	Down	$-3	05-12 05:03
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	3	$57	41	41	+0	open	—	07-19 06:21
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	2	$54	200	200	+0	open	—	03-10 01:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$52	50	50	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 02:54
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	2	$42	50	50	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 01:46
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	2	$41	50	50	+0	open	—	07-19 04:42
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	01-17 18:34
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	2	$40	50	50	+0	Up	$-2	05-13 03:39
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	4	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	07-19 04:20
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	5	$37	50	50	+0	open	—	05-13 07:26
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	06-25 08:43
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	2	$36	50	50	+0	open	—	05-13 08:04
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	06-25 08:44
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?	2	$35	50	50	+0	open	—	05-13 06:42
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	06-25 07:46
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	2	$33	50	8	+42	open	—	05-20 00:36
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	01-17 06:26
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	06-25 06:22
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	3	$18	50	50	+0	open	—	07-19 06:21
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147	2	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	06-25 08:47
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	2	$12	50	50	+0	open	—	06-25 08:14
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	01-12 14:31
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	2	$9	50	50	+0	open	—	07-19 03:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 06:21:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0x7d3b33…
07-19 06:21:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xbbc532…
07-19 04:42:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0xc30e24…
07-19 04:42:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x247ec3…
07-19 04:35:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x07dc37…
07-19 04:20:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x9bdaae…
07-19 04:20:31	will ishowspeed perform at the 2026 fifa world cup final halftime show 20260718154303217	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x4bbd83…
07-19 04:20:21	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x1e2579…
07-19 04:12:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x88ae4a…
07-19 04:02:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xc7d724…
07-19 03:57:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x67de46…
07-19 03:56:46	will ishowspeed perform at the 2026 fifa world cup final halftime show 20260718154303217	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x114d1f…
07-19 03:34:52	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xbb2342…
07-19 03:29:34	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x655ba5…
07-19 03:27:39	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x9d8ed5…
07-19 03:27:28	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xbeb5cb…
07-19 03:27:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	SELL	50	9¢	$5	0xed6b55…
07-19 03:27:07	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x0c6cde…
07-19 03:23:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x013dba…
07-19 03:08:57	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xceb84e…
07-19 03:00:46	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x13771f…
07-19 03:00:21	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xf186de…
07-19 02:29:01	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 19 2026 20260717130414630	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xd1971b…
06-25 08:47:10	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x29445b…
06-25 08:46:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xe6a638…
06-25 08:44:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xd3c542…
06-25 08:44:05	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x629c39…
06-25 08:43:52	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x569dbd…
06-25 08:29:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc8c1ef…
06-25 08:14:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x5cee8e…
06-25 08:14:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xc34dc3…
06-25 08:13:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x36be25…
06-25 07:49:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x43073c…
06-25 07:47:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x75746f…
06-25 07:47:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xf85076…
06-25 07:46:25	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x5513f0…
06-25 07:40:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x71c08e…
06-25 07:31:58	spy closes above 730 on june 25 2026	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x6b3d3f…
06-25 07:31:23	spy closes above 730 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xe04902…
06-25 07:26:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0x21f230…
06-25 07:25:25	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xc4d56b…
06-25 07:20:31	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4e60dc…
06-25 07:18:07	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xabd2a8…
06-25 07:14:22	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x32b509…
06-25 07:12:13	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0fbb44…
06-25 07:12:07	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x239c8d…
06-25 07:10:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0xa680d4…
06-25 06:29:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4c34d3…
06-25 06:22:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x5ccae4…
06-25 06:22:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x19bab2…
06-25 06:22:37	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x13fff0…
06-25 06:22:25	will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x380434…
06-25 06:19:37	will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x89d8be…
06-25 06:07:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x8b9049…
06-25 06:03:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x590a53…
05-20 00:36:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0x9651c3…
05-13 08:04:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x548a10…
05-13 07:26:50	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x48c737…
05-13 07:26:12	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xd8cebe…
05-13 07:24:04	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	SELL	42	37¢	$15	0xb0044c…
05-13 07:23:13	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	37¢	$9	0x3ad8f8…
05-13 07:22:35	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0x0856e0…
05-13 06:47:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xa94257…
05-13 06:42:53	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x8b19ec…
05-13 03:39:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x61e645…
05-13 03:38:10	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xe52816…
05-13 03:36:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xa13be3…
05-13 02:56:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x8e29f8…
05-13 02:56:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xe39154…
05-13 02:50:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xf865e1…
05-13 01:46:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xfa5524…
05-13 01:45:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xbd7dd2…
05-13 01:45:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x43bf45…
05-13 01:45:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xe87526…
05-13 01:45:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x13d4b7…
05-13 01:45:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xed5c9c…
05-13 01:45:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xb8380a…
05-13 01:45:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x89fe77…
05-12 05:03:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xcac76b…
05-12 02:54:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x82b521…
05-12 02:52:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xfac06b…
05-12 02:52:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x39c002…
03-10 01:14:01	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x6d12ae…
03-10 01:11:47	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xfb7abe…
03-10 01:00:29	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0xb2c5fa…
03-10 00:57:05	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x5362e5…
03-10 00:36:11	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	115	41¢	$47	0x5fad2e…
03-10 00:34:51	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	115	41¢	$47	0x9d5142…
03-10 00:32:49	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x90681b…
03-10 00:31:43	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x9c3585…
03-06 10:49:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	90	48¢	$43	0x66c4dc…
03-03 12:58:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	90	63¢	$57	0x17bf6b…
01-17 18:34:28	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x13c61c…
01-17 06:26:20	Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xbff98a…
01-15 09:12:34	Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x6c9cb4…
01-15 09:08:46	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x3f342f…
01-15 09:03:16	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xf15488…
01-12 14:31:32	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x67e20c…