Arid-Flung — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$188

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,527

lifetime

Volume

$60.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-18 14:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 98% +$166

Other

6% 100% +$22

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 363 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$960	1,000	+1,000	open	—	05-15 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$699	700	+700	Down	+$1	05-05 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$594	600	+600	open	—	05-16 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$594	600	+600	open	—	05-03 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	34	$589	595	+595	open	—	05-17 17:40
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$556	575	+575	open	—	05-15 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$495	500	+500	open	—	05-14 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	open	—	05-16 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-10 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	05-08 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	05-07 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$495	500	+500	open	—	05-16 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	05-05 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-07 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	7	$495	500	+500	open	—	05-03 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-05 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	12	$495	500	+500	open	—	05-03 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$495	500	+500	open	—	05-16 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	5	$495	500	+500	open	—	05-03 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	05-06 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	5	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-11 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	05-11 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-06 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$495	500	+500	open	—	05-04 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	6	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	open	—	05-04 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	open	—	05-18 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	open	—	05-17 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	05-09 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	05-08 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 14:20:56	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x83ee21…
05-18 07:25:14	doge updown 5m 1779088800	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x585551…
05-18 04:10:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0x72c630…
05-18 01:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x078e86…
05-17 22:00:30	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0xf86972…
05-17 22:00:30	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0xac3f2b…
05-17 21:00:04	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	291	99¢	$288	0x8f3e80…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf09662…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf01ce3…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeffce1…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xec6baa…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe884ca…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe0d2b9…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb5b7cf…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa4dfba…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	240	99¢	$238	0xa0e3c4…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x96bd1e…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8baa73…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7c316c…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ae2ea…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x784cb8…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x766b6a…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x73af14…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5f3639…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5c0038…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5747f4…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x572d7e…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a5cc0…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3e5e65…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x240adb…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x228a24…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0c1393…
05-17 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x09a01f…
05-17 17:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfac96c…
05-17 17:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xda26f9…
05-17 17:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbb69c4…
05-17 17:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x420709…
05-17 17:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x16d2ac…
05-17 17:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff937d…
05-17 17:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0x5c8e95…
05-17 17:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5381b3…
05-17 17:20:04	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0xf7d797…
05-17 16:10:07	BNB Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	183	99¢	$182	0x654203…
05-17 14:05:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	175	99¢	$174	0x56c8a5…
05-17 01:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x894588…
05-17 00:15:04	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0x8b4eae…
05-16 21:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x786753…
05-16 08:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x1bed56…
05-16 06:35:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x54486a…
05-16 05:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	497	99¢	$492	0x2f2699…
05-16 05:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd4bbff…
05-16 05:15:03	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$151	0x70039f…
05-16 03:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x8112c9…
05-16 01:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	600	99¢	$594	0x0181f2…
05-15 17:35:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x83bb0f…
05-15 12:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x971b71…
05-15 07:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xff766a…
05-15 07:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1006c…
05-15 07:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc4db4d…
05-15 07:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf947e4…
05-15 07:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xeb6229…
05-15 07:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd7e74e…
05-15 07:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa5f745…
05-15 07:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4f9951…
05-15 07:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x43ecc4…
05-15 07:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde0760…
05-15 07:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x78f2d7…
05-15 07:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x40c42d…
05-15 07:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3efbf2…
05-15 07:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x1d9447…
05-15 04:29:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0xb097b1…
05-15 04:29:25	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	575	97¢	$556	0x70e26a…
05-15 03:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x4b1ea2…
05-14 20:00:21	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x194853…
05-14 20:00:14	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x27c30d…
05-14 20:00:10	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x87a591…
05-14 19:55:04	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x840ecc…
05-14 18:45:02	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x46bd17…
05-14 18:45:02	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x0db904…
05-14 17:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	377	99¢	$374	0x589e05…
05-14 17:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	123	99¢	$121	0x09e8dd…
05-14 15:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6817a7…
05-14 02:05:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0xf1af9a…
05-13 23:30:09	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf169f1…
05-13 23:30:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x2f80dc…
05-13 20:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x08b618…
05-13 20:40:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb4651c…
05-13 20:40:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xabe5ab…
05-13 20:40:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6659f1…
05-13 20:40:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3259b4…
05-13 20:40:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x29df0e…
05-13 20:40:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x23caf3…
05-13 15:25:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x29267e…
05-13 14:10:11	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x69ccea…
05-13 10:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc1022b…
05-13 10:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	239	99¢	$237	0xb13de2…
05-13 10:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8d743c…
05-13 10:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x5a0aaf…
05-13 10:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x47ae7d…
05-13 10:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x979e9e…