Rare-Recession — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.3%

Resolved

Trades

367

lifetime

Volume

$3.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-10 22:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Sports

100% 35% +$61

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Knicks vs. Hawks	5	$156	166	42	+125	open	—	04-25 23:44
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	9	$131	184	0	+184	open	—	05-02 02:46
Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score First	10	$124	242	0	+242	open	—	05-19 00:06
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	8	$108	126	42	+84	open	—	04-22 03:08
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox	5	$98	165	41	+124	open	—	04-26 20:07
Lakers vs. Rockets	6	$81	104	21	+83	open	—	04-25 00:16
Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H Moneyline	2	$68	41	41	+0	open	—	04-25 22:52
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	2	$63	43	43	+0	open	—	04-26 01:22
mlb col hou 2026 04 16	5	$62	63	42	+21	open	—	04-17 02:59
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	6	$57	119	0	+119	open	—	05-21 00:13
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	4	$55	45	42	+3	open	—	04-28 04:19
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	6	$53	92	48	+44	Miami Marlins	+$3	05-08 00:40
mlb laa nyy 2026 04 16	6	$53	65	64	+1	open	—	04-16 19:35
Rockets vs. Lakers	6	$51	123	0	+123	open	—	04-30 02:21
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneyline	2	$47	41	41	+1	open	—	04-27 01:45
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals	3	$46	85	43	+42	open	—	04-25 20:07
nba gsw sac 2026 04 10	5	$45	63	41	+21	open	—	04-11 04:12
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$45	42	41	+1	open	—	04-26 21:21
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	4	$44	43	42	+1	Philadelphia Phillies	$-2	05-05 00:44
nba por phx 2026 04 14	4	$43	44	44	+1	open	—	04-15 04:04
mlb tb cws 2026 04 16	4	$43	43	42	+1	open	—	04-16 20:31
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	3	$42	44	23	+20	open	—	05-23 03:22
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5	2	$41	41	41	+1	open	—	04-26 16:33
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers	6	$41	66	64	+1	open	—	04-23 02:27
1H Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	3	$37	41	40	+1	open	—	04-24 12:08
nba orl phi 2026 04 15	4	$35	43	42	+1	open	—	04-16 01:10
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees	3	$35	51	25	+26	open	—	04-17 09:13
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneyline	3	$34	64	0	+64	open	—	04-25 03:42
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$34	32	31	+0	open	—	04-25 04:49
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals	3	$34	48	23	+25	open	—	04-17 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 22:30:39	mlb cin sd 2026 06 10	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	30	38¢	$12	0xecff9a…
06-10 22:30:25	mlb cin sd 2026 06 10	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x253a98…
06-10 20:26:34	mlb wsh sf 2026 06 10	San Francisco Giants	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0xd7907c…
06-10 20:26:28	mlb wsh sf 2026 06 10	San Francisco Giants	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xbb9d98…
06-02 03:15:58	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	New York Mets	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0x7ce58b…
06-02 00:24:46	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	SELL	26	53¢	$14	0x6e8cdb…
06-02 00:24:26	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x21c1a4…
05-24 19:50:36	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins	New York Mets	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0x535171…
05-24 19:50:30	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins	New York Mets	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x9fa51b…
05-24 01:03:53	Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline	Cavaliers	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x86906a…
05-23 03:22:09	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	23	74¢	$17	0x0df44e…
05-23 03:22:04	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	23	73¢	$17	0x80b257…
05-22 14:34:45	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd94ff4…
05-22 03:38:19	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0xb4ed2e…
05-22 03:38:16	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	22	43¢	$9	0xe11e16…
05-22 03:02:25	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xed40a7…
05-21 03:24:09	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	22	62¢	$14	0xfc0a09…
05-21 03:24:04	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x8c70a9…
05-21 00:41:10	Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5	Over	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x575d38…
05-21 00:13:05	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	18	48¢	$8	0x29a168…
05-21 00:12:48	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xcd18f1…
05-21 00:12:30	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x2ba86b…
05-21 00:12:14	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xbdaf13…
05-21 00:11:57	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x4f3804…
05-21 00:11:41	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xc19d08…
05-20 03:51:56	San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	San Francisco Giants	SELL	21	61¢	$13	0x719450…
05-20 03:51:40	San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	San Francisco Giants	BUY	21	64¢	$14	0x5ae598…
05-19 20:55:52	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x383058…
05-19 20:55:37	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x04d7a8…
05-19 20:15:09	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x739725…
05-19 14:46:09	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Texas Rangers	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xaea3b5…
05-19 00:06:17	Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score First	Thunder	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x200276…
05-19 00:06:00	Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score First	Thunder	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xb77240…
05-19 00:05:44	Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score First	Thunder	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x8484d4…
05-19 00:05:28	Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score First	Thunder	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xa74caa…
05-19 00:05:11	Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score First	Thunder	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x812be0…
05-19 00:04:55	Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score First	Thunder	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x5298b3…
05-19 00:04:37	Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score First	Thunder	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x03caab…
05-19 00:04:22	Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score First	Thunder	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x41ce8e…
05-19 00:04:04	Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score First	Thunder	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xb2bc2b…
05-19 00:03:48	Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score First	Thunder	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x9d6fa6…
05-17 19:16:07	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x37ec32…
05-17 19:16:04	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0xd2c942…
05-17 18:03:19	Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x07a5a9…
05-17 18:03:03	Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x73c589…
05-17 15:10:13	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xc37b72…
05-17 03:53:31	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	Athletics	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0xb9f30f…
05-17 03:53:10	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x929782…
05-17 03:53:03	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x690a8e…
05-16 23:32:01	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0x274dd3…
05-16 23:31:45	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xa0d441…
05-16 03:30:07	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-6.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xfb8ea7…
05-16 02:50:51	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	Athletics	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0x08c289…
05-16 02:50:44	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x8275d5…
05-16 00:05:41	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0x7b8940…
05-16 00:05:36	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x0cab01…
05-15 04:04:39	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	San Francisco Giants	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0x3b35f9…
05-15 04:04:15	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	San Francisco Giants	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0x3edced…
05-15 01:27:32	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0xcd85da…
05-14 17:09:47	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals	SELL	23	21¢	$5	0x914ea3…
05-14 17:09:33	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals	BUY	23	23¢	$5	0x57ce59…
05-14 17:09:31	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0x6caca6…
05-14 17:09:24	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals	BUY	24	23¢	$5	0x651c83…
05-14 01:33:11	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0xe3e29e…
05-14 01:32:50	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x3dc3b0…
05-13 02:19:06	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5	Under	SELL	22	34¢	$8	0xa5587a…
05-13 02:19:01	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5	Under	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x0488a9…
05-12 23:37:10	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x6941ea…
05-12 22:37:22	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	22	34¢	$7	0xe1f32f…
05-12 22:37:12	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x49ad8b…
05-11 01:44:14	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0xbda7d4…
05-09 23:52:55	Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x0c33a2…
05-09 23:51:38	Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xd0c40a…
05-09 21:23:13	Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins	Washington Nationals	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0xebf575…
05-09 21:23:06	Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins	Washington Nationals	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x83bba0…
05-09 03:19:42	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	22	27¢	$6	0xac3b06…
05-09 03:19:37	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0x2889f4…
05-09 02:39:01	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x90aaab…
05-08 00:40:23	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	SELL	21	52¢	$11	0x8d2299…
05-08 00:40:14	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xfbf38a…
05-08 00:01:22	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	22	61¢	$13	0x237c1d…
05-07 23:27:49	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x958b93…
05-07 22:51:36	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	27	24¢	$6	0xd7c06c…
05-07 22:51:27	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xebf6a5…
05-07 19:26:44	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Minnesota Twins	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0xd9e7db…
05-07 19:26:30	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Minnesota Twins	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xc36304…
05-07 17:28:38	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	23	58¢	$13	0x6c3466…
05-07 17:28:34	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x5c268c…
05-07 01:20:11	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6c3e36…
05-06 23:57:12	76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline	Knicks	SELL	21	41¢	$8	0x431d66…
05-06 23:56:55	76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline	Knicks	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe79dfb…
05-06 23:56:41	76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline	Knicks	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xda984f…
05-06 23:12:33	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	22	53¢	$11	0x354441…
05-06 23:12:17	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xa2fe28…
05-06 19:10:07	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x2a8d1c…
05-06 19:09:51	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xfec97e…
05-06 18:38:51	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	21	41¢	$8	0x9ede2c…
05-06 00:57:18	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0x5e320d…
05-06 00:52:02	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x34ca8b…
05-06 00:31:16	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x9c57c0…