Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

Trades

725

lifetime

Volume

$4.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-05

last 10-28 04:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

57% 37% -$89

Politics

41% 36% +$55

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$25

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes		+16	$11	57¢	$9	-$2	09-14 22:33
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes		+6	$5	91¢	$6	+$0	09-23 02:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai win the Falealili 1 by-election?	12	$234	178	178	+0	Yes	+$103	09-19 12:23
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	5	$201	183	183	+0	open	—	10-08 04:57
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	23	$195	164	164	+0	open	—	10-16 02:32
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	14	$166	172	172	-0	open	—	10-09 03:30
any of the cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime	2	$163	217	217	+0	open	—	10-04 18:25
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	7	$136	105	105	+0	open	—	09-16 01:38
Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	6	$120	131	24	+107	No	+$31	09-20 19:11
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	5	$110	92	92	+0	open	—	09-08 04:59
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?	7	$100	151	38	+113	Yes	-$67	09-26 13:03
Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	22	$100	207	207	+0	No	+$6	10-09 03:11
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	2	$96	90	90	+0	open	—	09-18 16:49
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?	9	$90	84	84	+0	open	—	09-22 13:10
Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?	8	$90	82	82	+0	Yes	-$3	10-28 04:29
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	10	$86	54	49	+5	open	—	09-25 21:53
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	6	$81	54	54	+0	open	—	10-06 01:53
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	9	$78	205	205	+0	open	—	10-07 05:04
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	10	$77	97	97	+0	open	—	10-05 12:48
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	11	$73	199	199	+0	open	—	10-05 06:39
Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?	26	$72	78	78	+0	No	-$1	10-16 02:35
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?	15	$67	177	177	+0	open	—	10-07 04:58
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	2	$64	85	0	+85	No	+$20	09-21 23:19
Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	12	$64	43	43	+0	open	—	10-01 20:57
Will Jean-François Cloutier win the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election?	3	$59	74	74	+0	No	+$18	09-28 01:07
Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	2	$57	37	30	+7	open	—	09-24 13:56
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	4	$55	46	46	+0	Yes	+$1	09-21 08:27
Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?	6	$54	48	48	+0	Yes	-$1	10-09 03:16
Will Gisèle Pouhe Njall win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?	14	$53	84	84	+0	Yes	-$10	10-05 13:37
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	14	$50	108	108	-0	open	—	10-26 10:14
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?	10	$50	94	51	+43	No	-$14	09-26 13:03
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	8	$49	118	81	+36	open	—	10-09 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:29:20	Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x0567c8…
10-27 21:17:24	Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x40a7cf…
10-27 21:10:53	Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa12c8b…
10-26 23:08:42	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x47dc52…
10-26 23:00:03	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6579e7…
10-26 10:16:38	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x51c89c…
10-26 10:15:38	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	41	35¢	$14	0x73121c…
10-26 10:15:20	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xe9001b…
10-26 10:14:59	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	SELL	43	13¢	$6	0x157991…
10-26 10:14:41	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0xb39ceb…
10-26 10:10:11	Will Garry Carpenter win the next Central Coast mayoral election?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xdb1e39…
10-22 13:46:17	Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xbe7e64…
10-18 10:14:57	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfc3d01…
10-18 10:14:57	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xe9b4c6…
10-16 02:36:28	Will Mkhuleko Hlengwa be the next mayor of eThekwini?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xd77a45…
10-16 02:35:34	Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x1e6ea2…
10-16 02:35:19	Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe00d26…
10-16 02:32:51	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0xd1dd6a…
10-16 02:32:30	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	No	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x5eabbc…
10-16 02:30:36	Will Andile Lungisa be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?	Yes	SELL	29	18¢	$5	0x836007…
10-16 02:29:51	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x81fae4…
10-16 02:29:28	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x731998…
10-16 02:27:01	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	SELL	21	23¢	$5	0x8c9a44…
10-12 16:26:59	Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x5dd81e…
10-12 15:07:29	Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0xe0ac4e…
10-11 20:19:16	Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x96962c…
10-11 02:20:53	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf0c413…
10-09 03:41:38	Will Mary Knowles win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x8d3f41…
10-09 03:40:59	Will Marek Illéš win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0x5a85b3…
10-09 03:40:08	Will Les Républicains hold 117-120 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x6aed1a…
10-09 03:38:36	Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x0d8229…
10-09 03:38:00	Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?	Yes	SELL	14	25¢	$4	0x67857f…
10-09 03:37:41	Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno?	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x971952…
10-09 03:36:05	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x05aab3…
10-09 03:34:05	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0x285f49…
10-09 03:32:35	Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	27	14¢	$4	0xbda76a…
10-09 03:30:45	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	SELL	23	36¢	$8	0x41f853…
10-09 03:30:17	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	Yes	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0x40578b…
10-09 03:16:18	Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?	No	SELL	21	52¢	$11	0x1292fa…
10-09 03:11:45	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	58	31¢	$18	0x4ac4c9…
10-09 03:11:05	Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	No	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xf9038d…
10-09 03:08:24	Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xba86c7…
10-09 03:07:59	Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xd26ce3…
10-09 03:07:29	Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	No	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x1c96bb…
10-08 05:12:43	Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	51	40¢	$20	0xffffdd…
10-08 05:11:20	Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	46¢	$15	0xbeefce…
10-08 05:02:14	Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xac62ce…
10-08 04:57:23	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	Yes	SELL	92	53¢	$48	0xfff170…
10-08 04:52:37	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xe54a3b…
10-08 04:50:55	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x8db38a…
10-08 04:50:53	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x98c312…
10-07 13:29:34	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	Yes	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0xf8f4fe…
10-07 11:04:59	Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xe41721…
10-07 09:45:47	Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xbb11cc…
10-07 05:04:39	Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0xbdf817…
10-07 04:58:53	Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xb2811b…
10-07 04:55:56	Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	52	22¢	$11	0x440b20…
10-07 04:54:45	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xc26b9e…
10-07 04:52:18	Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x7c1fe5…
10-07 04:41:53	Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	61	25¢	$15	0xfbaf33…
10-07 04:37:56	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	37¢	$20	0x154188…
10-07 04:34:23	Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	97	12¢	$12	0xd71f6e…
10-07 04:29:17	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	SELL	33	10¢	$3	0xd5cac6…
10-07 04:24:21	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0e90a4…
10-07 04:23:41	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xcb5f28…
10-07 04:22:53	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x2f7aa7…
10-07 04:21:15	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xe7ed99…
10-07 04:19:47	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x8ed00d…
10-06 22:27:34	Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x8e738a…
10-06 21:49:50	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x03f024…
10-06 21:45:32	Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0xc5d071…
10-06 21:45:29	Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x8a52e9…
10-06 21:45:15	Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x68e641…
10-06 21:45:15	Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x2ca26f…
10-06 19:20:41	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x73e493…
10-06 05:10:58	Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x6c6eb8…
10-06 05:09:45	Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?	No	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0x1fc5b9…
10-06 04:05:57	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xb781d0…
10-06 04:04:27	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x5b519f…
10-06 03:42:52	Will Ashmeed Khan win the 2026 Ajax mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0x283b2f…
10-06 03:41:18	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0xab5797…
10-06 03:38:03	Will Tanya Saari win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x9a127a…
10-06 03:36:52	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	Yes	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0xade968…
10-06 03:36:10	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x50f418…
10-06 03:33:37	Will Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x8035ec…
10-06 03:31:49	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x2e9bdf…
10-06 02:49:13	Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x2fb393…
10-06 02:48:34	Will Myriam Cournoyer win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0x9e9b16…
10-06 02:48:34	Will Myriam Cournoyer win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x60a460…
10-06 02:47:51	Will Union Centriste hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0x6997b5…
10-06 02:46:03	Will Mark Hunter win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x8c8233…
10-06 01:53:31	Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	36	83¢	$30	0xc22e6e…
10-06 01:47:43	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x85f725…
10-06 01:47:14	Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0x7e40ba…
10-06 01:45:47	Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x5fd474…
10-06 01:44:26	Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0xe73daf…
10-06 01:00:50	Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x5c0614…
10-06 00:58:08	Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xbfde2f…
10-05 13:37:44	Will Gisèle Pouhe Njall win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	84	26¢	$22	0x258acf…
10-05 12:49:13	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0xd80f0d…