Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
7
lifetime
Volume
$29
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$18
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 18:04
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
68%
Other
32%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -9 $-5 48¢ $-4 +$1 05-04 20:03
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 05-05 03:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No -5 $-4 84¢ $-4 +$0 05-05 18:04
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes -8 $-3 36¢ $-3 +$0 05-05 02:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +5 $2 34¢ $2 $-0 05-05 16:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 05-05 13:45