Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$107

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

92.3%

Resolved

4,618

Trades

6,031

lifetime

Volume

$37.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$60

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-23

last 10-27 11:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 89% +$125

Other

3% 47% -$31

Sports

1% 51% +$12

Politics

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 903 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	—	+50	$48	98¢	$50	+$1	10-27 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	—	+10	$7	99¢	$10	+$4	10-27 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	—	+10	$4	1¢	$0	-$4	10-27 12:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	29	$275	288	0	+288	Up	+$14	10-24 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	26	$225	233	0	+233	Up	+$8	10-24 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	24	$215	226	0	+226	Down	+$11	10-24 14:43
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	6	$214	423	0	+423	Up	-$9	10-23 17:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	2	$196	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	09-30 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	23	$195	204	0	+204	Down	+$9	10-23 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	22	$170	175	0	+175	Down	+$5	10-24 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	17	$155	160	0	+160	Down	+$5	10-25 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	18	$155	162	0	+162	Up	+$7	10-24 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	17	$155	162	0	+162	Up	+$8	10-24 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	18	$145	150	0	+150	Up	+$5	10-25 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	16	$145	150	0	+150	Down	-$124	10-24 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	16	$140	144	0	+144	Down	+$4	10-24 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	17	$135	139	0	+139	Up	+$4	10-24 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	15	$135	141	0	+141	Down	+$6	10-23 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	15	$135	140	0	+140	Down	+$5	10-24 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	14	$120	125	0	+125	Up	+$5	10-24 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	15	$120	125	0	+125	Down	+$5	10-24 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	14	$115	119	0	+119	Up	+$4	10-24 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	15	$115	119	0	+119	Up	+$4	10-24 18:12
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	7	$112	116	0	+116	Down	+$4	10-24 01:26
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	5	$111	116	0	+116	Down	+$5	10-23 18:03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	7	$111	116	0	+116	Down	+$5	10-23 20:43
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	6	$107	111	0	+111	Down	+$4	10-25 00:52
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	6	$107	111	0	+111	Down	+$4	10-27 08:52
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	6	$107	111	0	+111	Up	+$4	10-27 02:13
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	6	$107	111	0	+111	Down	+$4	10-27 00:41
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	6	$107	111	0	+111	Up	+$5	10-23 18:12
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$107	111	0	+111	Down	+$4	10-24 16:22
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	6	$107	111	0	+111	Down	+$5	10-24 11:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x5fea47…
10-27 12:23:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf94cd3…
10-27 12:23:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x8c06a8…
10-27 12:23:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x6f3e01…
10-27 12:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0x7f25ce…
10-27 12:13:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x0feef5…
10-27 12:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x122d8b…
10-27 12:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xae68b4…
10-27 11:57:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x078641…
10-27 11:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x2b6917…
10-27 11:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x551b4c…
10-27 11:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x094d64…
10-27 11:48:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x15fafd…
10-27 11:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x05da66…
10-27 11:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xee97e2…
10-27 11:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xb02558…
10-27 11:33:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfe0f14…
10-27 11:33:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xba4d1c…
10-27 11:33:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4352d2…
10-27 11:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x60d1a4…
10-27 11:24:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xea3d3b…
10-27 11:18:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x008533…
10-27 11:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x83abfd…
10-27 11:18:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xec2dae…
10-27 11:18:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xbb878d…
10-27 11:18:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5ac993…
10-27 11:17:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x98897d…
10-27 11:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3e6570…
10-27 10:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xfa186a…
10-27 10:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x702f87…
10-27 10:53:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x980b60…
10-27 10:53:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x446c2a…
10-27 10:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x004470…
10-27 10:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x2f5ba1…
10-27 10:44:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd79604…
10-27 10:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x6810d5…
10-27 10:37:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x238b73…
10-27 10:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x953afa…
10-27 10:34:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x330f8b…
10-27 10:34:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x055a5c…
10-27 10:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x665efa…
10-27 10:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf2be73…
10-27 10:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x6c6635…
10-27 10:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xb18306…
10-27 10:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x26bf3c…
10-27 10:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x9dbf7f…
10-27 10:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc89b46…
10-27 10:13:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x63aa9d…
10-27 10:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb06f8a…
10-27 10:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xcb89b3…
10-27 10:06:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb3945e…
10-27 10:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x8dfda8…
10-27 10:06:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xd89c78…
10-27 10:02:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc22ca4…
10-27 10:02:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd43124…
10-27 10:02:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9617ba…
10-27 09:56:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf445cf…
10-27 09:56:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x8e4268…
10-27 09:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4a8ab2…
10-27 09:53:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa09a74…
10-27 09:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x516423…
10-27 09:48:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa08d14…
10-27 09:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x4a973f…
10-27 09:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x4d9596…
10-27 09:37:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x50b232…
10-27 09:37:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x464da2…
10-27 09:37:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x856785…
10-27 09:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x15703d…
10-27 09:32:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5c4a28…
10-27 09:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0xecf33b…
10-27 09:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x7cd62b…
10-27 09:27:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd4a734…
10-27 09:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x00ca29…
10-27 09:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0xa0d843…
10-27 09:16:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x3c8db6…
10-27 09:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x63aa9c…
10-27 09:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xf99729…
10-27 09:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9aae74…
10-27 09:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xcf246a…
10-27 08:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x8bb704…
10-27 08:52:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6f9974…
10-27 08:52:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xd3b7f0…
10-27 08:52:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x8433c3…
10-27 08:52:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc0b841…
10-27 08:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf25a91…
10-27 08:52:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x0fca38…
10-27 08:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x4bac91…
10-27 08:47:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe98628…
10-27 08:47:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xcfb34b…
10-27 08:47:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x438380…
10-27 08:47:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x3f5034…
10-27 08:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe1939b…
10-27 08:41:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3c2496…
10-27 08:41:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x75faf0…
10-27 08:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x83ae6f…
10-27 08:36:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x6f15d4…
10-27 08:35:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc3bb06…
10-27 08:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x4c8f9b…
10-27 08:34:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc536c8…
10-27 08:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb28d36…