Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.53K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.6%

Resolved

782

Trades

870

lifetime

Volume

$5.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-30

last 10-31 06:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 68% -$264

Other

21% 52% -$260

Tech

14% 0% -$832

Politics

11% 38% -$212

Sports

0% 100% +$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?	3	$807	1,720	0	+1,720	Yes	-$807	07-24 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	5	$463	501	137	+365	Down	+$28	10-10 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$300	412	412	+0	Up	-$100	10-10 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$217	302	187	+114	Down	-$37	10-11 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$200	209	0	+209	Down	+$9	10-15 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$101	130	0	+130	Down	-$101	10-15 09:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:10 UTC	2	$101	138	0	+138	Up	+$37	10-15 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$101	109	0	+109	Up	+$8	10-10 12:42
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	1	$100	413	0	+413	No	-$100	10-18 13:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:35 UTC	1	$100	175	0	+175	Down	+$75	10-16 11:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:40 UTC	1	$100	200	0	+200	Up	-$100	10-16 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 19?	1	$100	200	0	+200	No	-$100	10-18 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 19?	1	$100	259	0	+259	No	-$100	10-18 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 20?	1	$100	453	0	+453	No	-$100	10-19 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$100	359	0	+359	Down	-$100	10-10 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$100	123	0	+123	Up	+$23	10-11 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$100	107	0	+107	Down	+$7	10-10 09:47
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	Down	+$2	10-10 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$84	74	71	+2	Up	+$32	10-12 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$83	102	97	+5	Down	+$29	10-10 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 1?	8	$79	20	130	-109	Yes	$0	06-30 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 2?	19	$72	45	95	-50	Yes	$0	06-30 14:22
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$71	313	313	+0	open	—	10-10 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 20?	3	$57	963	0	+963	No	-$57	10-20 16:08
Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	2	$54	29	29	+0	No	+$4	10-10 10:11
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	2	$51	27	27	+0	Yes	+$1	10-10 10:11
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	10-10 10:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	2	$51	29	29	+0	No	+$1	07-28 12:52
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?	1	$50	250	0	+250	Yes	+$200	10-18 13:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	2	$43	83	83	+0	No	-$7	08-03 12:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 06:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x027fbf…
10-31 04:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd3f42d…
10-31 02:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbce529…
10-31 00:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9324e8…
10-30 17:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa8abab…
10-30 15:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xedaf62…
10-30 14:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb788cf…
10-30 13:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xc5c5fe…
10-30 13:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x83c5ec…
10-20 16:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	190	3¢	$6	0x02ffe3…
10-20 16:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	191	1¢	$1	0x9690f4…
10-20 03:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x0d36e8…
10-20 03:30:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x03184a…
10-19 04:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	453	22¢	$100	0xd737a2…
10-19 04:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	582	9¢	$50	0xd9ebb3…
10-18 13:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xd9ee6e…
10-18 13:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x47509e…
10-18 13:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	259	39¢	$100	0x38454e…
10-18 13:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	413	24¢	$100	0x5adc47…
10-16 11:42:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x9ea0b3…
10-16 11:35:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x051aed…
10-15 09:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x92902b…
10-15 09:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0ffda2…
10-15 09:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd8dbbb…
10-15 09:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x43ded7…
10-15 09:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xee8eb2…
10-15 09:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe546a9…
10-15 09:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xe24ad6…
10-15 09:12:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xdef594…
10-15 09:10:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbae890…
10-15 09:05:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xef10b8…
10-15 08:56:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xed6363…
10-15 08:45:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb8834d…
10-15 08:41:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9ea9a4…
10-15 08:20:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbe5789…
10-15 07:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x79f36d…
10-15 07:25:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x403cda…
10-15 07:20:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x29fb47…
10-15 07:05:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x638c83…
10-15 06:56:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcf3197…
10-15 06:46:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd6266b…
10-15 06:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x788f6a…
10-15 06:35:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x90bce4…
10-15 06:31:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6652a8…
10-15 06:25:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb6827d…
10-15 06:20:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x520e27…
10-15 06:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xee5a0b…
10-15 06:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6b7394…
10-15 06:05:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x62cffd…
10-15 06:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x25178d…
10-15 05:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2c64ba…
10-15 05:35:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfc82d6…
10-15 05:25:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x103ace…
10-15 05:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x492fa8…
10-15 05:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf47247…
10-15 05:10:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdae448…
10-15 05:05:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf1fa05…
10-15 05:00:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x733871…
10-15 04:55:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x94426a…
10-15 04:50:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x33ea77…
10-15 04:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc8cb15…
10-15 04:40:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3d5a31…
10-15 04:35:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x497b45…
10-15 04:30:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb92ee1…
10-15 04:25:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa8b844…
10-15 04:21:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x309097…
10-15 04:10:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4a4b15…
10-15 04:05:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x646415…
10-15 03:55:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe7ac91…
10-15 03:51:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x93183c…
10-15 03:40:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1c70c3…
10-15 03:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4e5bc4…
10-15 03:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x681549…
10-15 03:25:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa3987b…
10-15 03:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfcad6e…
10-15 03:05:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x49ab96…
10-15 02:55:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x81cfde…
10-15 02:50:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1177ed…
10-15 02:45:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2625bc…
10-15 02:40:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xea59c2…
10-15 02:20:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x266afc…
10-15 02:10:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xddbee5…
10-15 01:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x722297…
10-15 01:40:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8c2312…
10-15 01:35:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x79029f…
10-15 01:30:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x68ceb1…
10-15 01:20:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9b311e…
10-15 01:05:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf3dee4…
10-15 00:55:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb7645d…
10-15 00:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6bcfae…
10-15 00:40:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xee6128…
10-15 00:35:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0c434c…
10-15 00:30:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3acdb7…
10-15 00:26:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x45f4a7…
10-15 00:20:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa69ef6…
10-15 00:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdb299a…
10-15 00:10:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x28fd7d…
10-15 00:05:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x11ffd3…
10-15 00:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3df17e…
10-14 01:20:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8c53c9…