Rewarding-Chateau — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

144

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$54.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$339

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-06 13:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

99% 94% +$20,624

Crypto

1% 96% -$3

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?	3	$12.8K	11,765	11,765	+0	open	—	10-06 13:04
mex tij san 2026 03 08 tij	2	$9.1K	9,920	9,920	+0	No	+$7,341	02-13 12:46
cs2 ug shangh 2026 02 01	2	$9.0K	9,002	9,002	+0	Underground ESC	+$8,462	01-31 14:28
nflx up or down on january 13 2026	1	$8.6K	0	8,880	-8,880	Up	-$266	01-12 13:52
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 16 be between 2200000 and 2300000	3	$7.1K	4,051	4,051	+0	No	-$486	01-12 13:57
will alignment be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	2	$3.1K	3,143	3,143	+0	No	+$2,892	03-27 11:48
val jl erah 2026 01 17	2	$1.3K	1,300	1,300	+0	Joblife	+$1,144	01-11 14:42
dax up or down on february 13 2026	2	$1.1K	1,111	1,111	+0	Up	+$644	02-13 12:41
ndx up or down on february 2 2026	3	$726	733	733	+0	Up	+$462	01-31 14:23
will bitcoin reach 98k january 5 11	2	$463	463	0	+463	No	+$0	01-11 15:17
bkfr1 sai par 2026 02 15	2	$270	262	262	+0	Paris Basketball	+$228	02-13 12:37
sc2 reynor heroma 2026 03 27 total games 3pt5	2	$171	164	164	+0	Over	+$148	03-27 11:32
will the rsf capture kadugli by march 31	2	$158	168	168	+0	No	+$118	01-31 14:20
will starmer say united states during the next prime ministers questions event	2	$64	70	70	+0	No	-$56	03-27 11:36
will company b be accused of insider trading	1	$31	42	0	+42	No	+$11	02-25 06:40
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-06 15:13
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$29	48	0	+48	Spain	-$29	07-12 13:26
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$23	30	0	+30	France	+$7	07-09 14:26
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$21	23	0	+23	France	+$3	06-30 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-27 15:00
odds of khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 over 50 by january 16	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	01-14 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 8?	1	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	05-07 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-30 05:09
highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 27c	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-20 00:45
highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 26c	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-16 13:23
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-08 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 18?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-17 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 5?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-03 10:54
bitcoin above 72k on march 6	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-06 15:12
bitcoin above 66k on march 6	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	03-06 15:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 13:05:54	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e95ac…
10-06 13:05:49	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on October 6?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe70e6c…
10-06 13:05:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb61052…
10-06 13:05:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe508ac…
10-06 13:05:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 6?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xab5e58…
10-06 13:05:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe5367a…
10-06 13:05:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7275c2…
10-06 13:05:34	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on October 6?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc0c5e3…
10-06 13:05:31	Will the price of Solana be above $135 on October 6?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf24fe5…
10-06 13:05:30	Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd49a49…
10-06 13:05:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf9887c…
10-06 13:05:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x760284…
10-06 13:05:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x24b031…
10-06 13:04:55	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?	No	SELL	11,755	92¢	$10,815	0xf72ab1…
10-06 13:03:00	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11,765	17¢	$2,000	0xa6f85b…
07-12 13:26:28	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	48	60¢	$29	0x1f61e1…
07-09 14:26:34	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xa40fe0…
06-30 15:00:47	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	23	89¢	$21	0x1c3d33…
05-27 15:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x78dc1c…
05-17 13:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 18?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2ea28b…
05-17 13:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 18?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x10136c…
05-17 13:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 18?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb2a01f…
05-17 13:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 18?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4a5667…
05-07 12:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 8?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xb039b2…
05-03 10:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x55b9b3…
05-03 10:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef3567…
05-03 10:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on May 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe7bf5a…
05-03 10:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc5fee0…
05-03 10:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdf0e9c…
05-03 10:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x033acf…
05-03 10:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb6eb70…
05-03 10:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf9e2e4…
04-30 05:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x0933b3…
04-25 13:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x07a218…
04-25 13:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa9c89e…
04-25 13:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6c00e4…
04-25 13:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3bb2dc…
04-25 13:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b5822…
04-25 13:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa82a57…
04-25 13:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xedd0d6…
04-25 13:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x234764…
04-25 13:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x638743…
04-25 13:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3940cc…
04-20 00:45:30	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 27c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd4c999…
04-16 13:23:02	highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 26c	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x5f9bab…
04-08 14:25:05	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb15ecd…
03-27 13:15:59	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x90fcff…
03-27 13:15:51	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9dc679…
03-27 13:15:49	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc8cee…
03-27 13:15:47	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x037bc7…
03-27 13:15:43	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x049f4a…
03-27 11:48:59	will alignment be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	Yes	SELL	3,143	95¢	$2,986	0x026eb3…
03-27 11:47:29	will alignment be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	Yes	BUY	3,143	3¢	$94	0x51084d…
03-27 11:39:11	will openai have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6b251e…
03-27 11:39:09	will deepseek have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x05498d…
03-27 11:39:03	will moonshot have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0d3ca1…
03-27 11:39:01	will zai have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x77427d…
03-27 11:38:57	will mistral have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca4337…
03-27 11:38:53	will alibaba have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e7884…
03-27 11:38:51	will google have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfd5b5e…
03-27 11:36:13	will starmer say united states during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	70	6¢	$4	0x987d41…
03-27 11:35:45	will starmer say united states during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0x33a654…
03-27 11:32:39	sc2 reynor heroma 2026 03 27 total games 3pt5	Over	SELL	164	97¢	$159	0xaf9855…
03-27 11:30:45	sc2 reynor heroma 2026 03 27 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	164	7¢	$12	0xc7b8cf…
03-15 10:34:27	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5bf11d…
03-15 10:34:25	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3af6f5…
03-15 10:34:21	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6b4a20…
03-15 10:34:19	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc59c69…
03-15 10:34:15	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3275a0…
03-15 10:34:13	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x24d0cd…
03-15 10:34:09	Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x115730…
03-15 10:34:07	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63fb19…
03-06 15:13:15	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfde2d1…
03-06 15:12:57	ethereum above 1800 on march 6	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7bcc06…
03-06 15:12:55	ethereum above 2100 on march 6	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xce3147…
03-06 15:12:49	bitcoin above 64k on march 6	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6a6007…
03-06 15:12:45	bitcoin above 66k on march 6	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xafd106…
03-06 15:12:43	bitcoin above 72k on march 6	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x48c12c…
03-06 15:12:39	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 240 259	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc2de2b…
03-06 15:12:35	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 260 279	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9bbead…
02-25 06:40:10	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	42	73¢	$31	0xbce233…
02-13 12:52:55	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfd7db9…
02-13 12:52:47	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8cbbb7…
02-13 12:52:39	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x67d822…
02-13 12:52:31	will solana reach 110 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8f6de6…
02-13 12:52:29	will solana reach 120 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1441f9…
02-13 12:52:25	will solana reach 130 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb90fcd…
02-13 12:52:21	will solana dip to 50 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b7137…
02-13 12:52:17	will solana dip to 40 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaff0e7…
02-13 12:52:15	will solana dip to 30 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x79275b…
02-13 12:51:53	will ethereum reach 2400 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x387eec…
02-13 12:51:51	will ethereum reach 2500 february 9 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x88ad4b…
02-13 12:51:49	will ethereum reach 2600 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb088c4…
02-13 12:51:45	will ethereum reach 2700 february 9 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1a8045…
02-13 12:51:41	will ethereum reach 2800 february 9 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcd3cef…
02-13 12:51:37	will ethereum dip to 1600 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5957b6…
02-13 12:51:31	will ethereum dip to 1500 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6e1e35…
02-13 12:51:29	will ethereum dip to 1400 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa7ef12…
02-13 12:51:21	will xrp dip to 0pt9 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb53c9b…
02-13 12:51:19	will xrp dip to 0pt8 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xba1139…