Staid-Mutton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$156

Unrealized P&L

-$103

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

466

Trades

926

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$71

1 position

First seen

2026-02-26

last 11-06 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 48% -$421

Politics

8% 100% +$670

Other

3% 20% -$92

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No		+375	$175	19¢	$71	-$103	11-06 13:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$409	704	704	+0	open	—	11-03 13:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	3	$405	983	608	+375	open	—	11-06 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 11:25 UTC	3	$314	176	176	+0	Up	+$34	07-13 11:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:30 UTC	2	$282	184	184	+0	Down	+$82	07-13 12:35
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	7	$218	546	461	+86	No	-$52	06-17 20:50
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	1	$200	870	0	+870	Yes	+$670	02-26 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	4	$179	148	148	+0	Down	+$19	07-13 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 09:00 UTC	2	$134	138	138	+0	Down	+$54	07-13 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 05:30 UTC	2	$110	86	86	+0	Up	+$60	07-11 05:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 21:25 UTC	4	$103	70	68	+2	Up	+$33	04-17 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 22:25 UTC	2	$102	53	53	+0	Up	+$3	04-17 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:40 UTC	1	$100	213	0	+213	Up	-$100	07-13 12:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:35 UTC	1	$100	302	0	+302	Down	-$100	07-13 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$100	65	65	+0	Up	+$30	05-06 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$99	69	69	+0	Up	+$29	06-18 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$95	56	56	+0	Up	+$15	05-06 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 11:05 UTC	4	$93	77	77	+0	Up	+$33	06-23 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 20:40 UTC	3	$92	92	53	+39	Up	+$51	04-17 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 08:40 UTC	2	$92	53	53	+0	Up	+$12	07-13 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 08:50 UTC	2	$90	51	51	+0	Up	+$10	07-13 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 09:25 UTC	2	$90	66	66	+0	Up	+$40	07-13 09:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:35 UTC	2	$88	61	59	+2	Down	+$31	04-17 17:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 21:40 UTC	2	$85	46	45	+0	Up	+$5	04-17 21:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 11:45 UTC	4	$84	82	79	+3	Up	+$5	04-20 11:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 18:35 UTC	3	$83	55	53	+2	Up	+$25	04-17 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$82	44	44	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 11:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:55 UTC	2	$81	57	57	+0	Down	+$31	06-23 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:25 UTC	3	$81	53	51	+2	Up	+$22	04-17 17:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:40 UTC	2	$78	66	66	+0	Up	+$28	07-12 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 20:45 UTC	2	$77	61	58	+3	Up	+$40	04-17 20:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 15:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xdc8114…
11-06 13:34:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	375	24¢	$90	0x16d8f9…
11-05 13:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x4e1f3b…
11-05 13:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x6fb9df…
11-05 13:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x5af493…
11-05 13:10:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	608	19¢	$115	0xac3006…
11-05 12:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xcc1a1e…
11-05 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xee0efe…
11-05 11:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd5057a…
11-04 12:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x2501dd…
11-04 12:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8879af…
11-04 11:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb90f72…
11-04 10:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa64d71…
11-04 10:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0xd194b3…
11-04 10:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1b022a…
11-04 10:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x5da96b…
11-04 10:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x93256e…
11-03 19:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe8bb9b…
11-03 19:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd3803d…
11-03 19:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0xd883c5…
11-03 19:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x328337…
11-03 17:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x323dc0…
11-03 17:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x17ea6e…
11-03 17:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x18d028…
11-03 16:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x908939…
11-03 16:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1572d9…
11-03 16:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xe93279…
11-03 16:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x380134…
11-03 15:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6b9731…
11-03 14:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x918ed0…
11-03 14:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	71¢	$13	0x73f49f…
11-03 14:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x07c357…
11-03 14:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xbeed56…
11-03 14:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x27c529…
11-03 14:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	60¢	$8	0x6a21bf…
11-03 14:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x475ffb…
11-03 13:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9229aa…
11-03 13:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x02dbb9…
11-03 13:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xffcac2…
11-03 13:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xe9ad62…
11-03 13:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x703825…
11-03 13:32:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	608	33¢	$200	0x738cfe…
11-03 13:28:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	704	31¢	$219	0xee0475…
10-27 19:15:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	704	27¢	$190	0x060e6e…
08-09 21:19:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 21:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x64e980…
08-09 21:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa27fda…
08-08 22:46:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe62a4b…
08-08 22:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 22:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3981b3…
08-08 22:41:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xaaae29…
08-08 22:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x0e6a4a…
08-08 22:37:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x87cf79…
08-08 13:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x5a97db…
08-08 13:04:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x9e726a…
08-08 12:57:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9e9ff2…
08-08 12:55:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3829bc…
08-08 12:50:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x62f809…
08-07 19:58:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x85b340…
08-07 18:48:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x66bd26…
08-07 18:48:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x3c2096…
08-07 18:10:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x05a461…
08-07 18:07:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5de4af…
08-07 17:56:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x955dcc…
08-07 17:56:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3f629f…
08-07 15:30:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb9530c…
08-07 15:28:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x600047…
08-07 15:26:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 15:25 UTC	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x8edfbf…
08-07 15:25:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb3e76b…
08-07 14:08:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xecfebe…
08-07 14:03:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0xe47809…
08-07 14:01:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc36c9e…
08-07 14:00:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa69a58…
08-07 13:56:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:55 UTC	Down	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x04bc2e…
08-07 13:55:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe0dbfc…
08-07 13:53:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x790bd4…
08-07 13:51:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc80795…
08-07 13:46:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x42a371…
08-07 13:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x3bfbfd…
08-07 13:16:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe05212…
08-07 13:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x84943d…
08-07 13:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd1532d…
08-07 13:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x699be0…
08-06 10:52:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xeed128…
08-06 10:45:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xce5147…
08-06 10:38:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x3bb224…
08-03 09:05:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0b3015…
08-03 09:00:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1b3d14…
07-13 12:46:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x6443b6…
07-13 12:42:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x9d3aa6…
07-13 12:36:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	302	33¢	$100	0xbc3cf6…
07-13 12:35:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	184	99¢	$182	0x1c83ab…
07-13 12:33:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0xa32011…
07-13 12:29:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:25 UTC	Up	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xd0f3be…
07-13 12:28:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x9aba47…
07-13 12:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x3e7388…
07-13 12:18:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0xbce78d…
07-13 12:11:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0xc7a2a6…
07-13 11:46:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xa878a8…
07-13 11:30:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 11:25 UTC	Up	SELL	176	99¢	$174	0x1224a6…
07-13 11:29:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x5e3253…
07-13 11:25:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0xe780d3…