Bountiful-Mare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

Trades

325

lifetime

Volume

$199.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$613

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-09 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

54% 72% +$15,249

Crypto

25% 100% +$200

Other

21% 50% +$13,549

Sports

0% 100% +$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+33	$3	12¢	$4	+$1	08-14 00:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	+2	$2	37¢	$1	-$1	08-14 00:03
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	+3	$2	4¢	$0	-$2	08-14 00:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$49.8K	50,000	0	+50,000	No	+$200	06-03 23:01
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$26.6K	14,936	14,936	+0	No	+$3,014	05-15 04:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	6	$23.2K	17,057	17,057	+0	No	-$656	05-29 16:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14	9	$21.7K	24,454	13	+24,441	Yes	+$2,791	06-14 22:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$16.8K	20,000	0	+20,000	Yes	+$3,200	07-29 18:00
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	8	$13.5K	13,691	0	+13,691	Yes	+$232	05-21 20:38
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$8.9K	13,385	0	+13,385	Yes	+$4,443	05-14 10:34
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	4	$7.5K	12,765	0	+12,765	No	+$5,227	07-24 15:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$6.0K	6,479	0	+6,479	No	+$467	09-16 18:00
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	11	$3.8K	2,645	2,645	+0	No	+$1,508	06-23 05:00
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	7	$2.6K	1,821	1,821	+0	Yes	+$1,011	06-23 04:45
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	24	$2.6K	3,411	10	+3,401	Yes	+$856	05-29 06:26
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	1	$2.5K	3,611	0	+3,611	Yes	+$1,111	05-14 21:42
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?	3	$2.3K	2,564	0	+2,564	Yes	+$261	05-17 10:09
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	1	$2.2K	4,063	0	+4,063	Yes	-$2,235	09-03 19:50
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$1.4K	976	976	+0	No	+$534	05-15 04:06
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,176	0	+1,176	Yes	+$165	05-13 04:11
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 9 2026	4	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$50	06-09 13:14
San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	1	$791	842	0	+842	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$50	09-03 19:40
will trump say too big to rig this week march 22	28	$705	2,998	0	+2,998	Yes	+$2,293	03-21 16:35
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 19 2026 20260630182730897	2	$587	473	273	+200	Yes	+$60	07-19 21:49
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?	1	$520	1,317	0	+1,317	Yes	+$797	10-09 18:00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	1	$500	715	0	+715	Yes	+$215	05-15 18:38
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$494	272	272	+0	No	+$44	05-15 04:05
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?	1	$443	757	0	+757	No	-$443	07-24 15:30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	125	$298	674	674	+0	open	—	09-03 22:04
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?	2	$269	4,063	0	+4,063	Yes	+$3,793	09-03 19:40
Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?	1	$239	420	0	+420	Yes	+$181	09-16 18:00
will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	5	$215	3,700	0	+3,700	No	-$215	09-03 23:22
Duane Keith Davis convicted of Tupac's murder?	1	$211	280	0	+280	Yes	+$69	09-01 01:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 18:00:47	Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	1,317	39¢	$520	0x5f577a…
10-02 18:54:35	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x17a57a…
09-29 07:39:20	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x84cf3d…
09-16 18:00:07	Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	420	57¢	$239	0x3a451f…
09-16 18:00:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6,479	93¢	$6,012	0x644445…
09-03 23:22:45	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	Yes	BUY	238	6¢	$14	0xb5c84b…
09-03 23:22:30	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	Yes	BUY	1,462	6¢	$85	0x0fa79a…
09-03 22:44:58	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	Yes	BUY	76	6¢	$4	0x270e75…
09-03 22:44:45	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x521bea…
09-03 22:44:43	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	Yes	BUY	1,903	6¢	$110	0x324e75…
09-03 22:04:57	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	578	24¢	$136	0x4914f4…
09-03 21:07:13	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xbe8e90…
09-03 21:07:13	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	245	4¢	$10	0x850d05…
09-03 21:07:04	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xb36a51…
09-03 21:07:03	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0xdf7333…
09-03 21:05:37	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9b1432…
09-03 19:50:27	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	4,063	55¢	$2,235	0xc06f6a…
09-03 19:40:42	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x604906…
09-03 19:40:30	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,047	7¢	$268	0xe0f3f3…
09-03 19:40:30	San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	842	94¢	$791	0x1336a7…
09-01 01:04:49	Duane Keith Davis convicted of Tupac's murder?	Yes	BUY	280	75¢	$211	0x470d39…
08-25 11:36:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	89¢	$79	0x97381c…
08-19 07:14:43	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x202254…
08-19 07:10:06	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x56d3c6…
08-19 06:38:43	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6ae0d1…
08-19 02:59:33	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x716310…
08-19 02:55:18	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x90f32a…
08-19 02:02:46	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xff8900…
08-14 00:24:00	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x8e1297…
08-14 00:11:07	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6f4493…
08-14 00:09:48	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x48a3e4…
08-14 00:03:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xde7001…
08-14 00:03:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc2a915…
08-14 00:03:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8d9bb2…
08-14 00:03:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x33c019…
08-14 00:03:43	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1d8cb0…
08-14 00:03:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x119ed9…
08-13 23:41:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc84b38…
08-13 23:41:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc77e2f…
08-13 23:41:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x735764…
08-13 23:41:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4abbfc…
08-13 23:41:12	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf2e887…
08-13 23:41:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3780ee…
08-13 23:29:00	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x63a1ea…
08-13 23:28:57	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xacaf90…
08-13 23:28:54	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x369cd5…
08-13 23:28:49	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x904c49…
08-13 23:28:45	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5f2fe0…
08-13 23:24:24	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9a61fc…
08-13 23:24:22	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5a9a5b…
08-13 23:24:22	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x160e79…
08-13 23:24:22	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x13110b…
08-13 23:24:22	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x111bf6…
08-13 22:48:04	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xff6673…
08-13 22:48:04	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfacc7d…
08-13 22:48:04	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x63da9c…
08-13 22:48:04	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5eb674…
08-13 22:48:04	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3a1109…
08-13 22:40:13	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x13d984…
08-13 12:32:15	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x39279a…
08-13 12:30:33	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5312fb…
08-13 10:16:04	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1a13d3…
08-13 10:02:55	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcc1da8…
08-12 22:39:31	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0ef252…
08-12 22:39:25	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x58ebd5…
08-12 22:37:13	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf00728…
08-12 22:35:48	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x44af4f…
08-12 21:01:54	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd870c3…
08-12 11:43:49	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcf3604…
08-12 11:36:24	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xf3876e…
08-12 11:36:24	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xa84537…
08-12 11:36:22	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xcca8ac…
08-12 11:36:22	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xa37826…
08-12 11:36:22	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x35c74b…
08-12 11:36:22	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x2c1f19…
08-12 11:36:21	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xd3b098…
08-12 11:36:21	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xad43c0…
08-12 11:36:21	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x6d4166…
08-12 11:36:21	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x38e7db…
08-12 11:32:06	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb510e4…
08-12 11:32:04	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf5f636…
08-12 11:32:03	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6341c3…
08-12 11:32:03	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x552d62…
08-12 11:32:01	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd2c4d1…
08-12 11:32:01	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x54e29d…
08-12 11:32:00	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd02daa…
08-12 11:32:00	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc258c3…
08-12 11:32:00	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x597ccc…
08-12 11:31:58	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x015e88…
08-12 11:24:48	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x818c18…
08-12 11:24:46	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xf3dda4…
08-12 11:24:46	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xe1d8f4…
08-12 11:24:46	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xbe6142…
08-12 11:24:46	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xb260cd…
08-12 11:24:46	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x071559…
08-12 11:24:45	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xa24b91…
08-12 11:24:45	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x7e6950…
08-12 11:24:45	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x281d53…
08-12 11:24:43	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x8a5b15…
08-12 11:06:04	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbe4355…