Stained-Deployment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$111

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-08 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

94% 100% +$109

Crypto

6% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	6	$2.5K	1,432	1,432	+0	open	—	05-11 15:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$2.4K	1,455	1,455	+0	open	—	05-11 08:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	5	$1.2K	688	688	+0	No	+$109	05-06 01:30
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$131	66	66	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 09:35
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$130	66	66	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 09:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$129	134	0	+134	open	—	05-22 18:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$129	148	0	+148	open	—	05-22 18:30
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$129	65	65	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 09:51
iran closes its airspace by june 8	11	$83	2,712	712	+2,000	open	—	06-08 15:22
xrp updown 5m 1779714900	4	$16	18	10	+8	open	—	05-25 13:19
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$5	79	0	+79	open	—	05-25 13:12
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	2	$4	39	0	+39	open	—	06-08 15:36
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 18 2026	2	$4	27	27	+0	open	—	06-08 15:27
xrp updown 5m 1780881900	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-08 01:28
btc updown 5m 1780882500	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-08 01:39
xrp updown 5m 1780882200	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	06-08 01:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 15:36:07	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	No	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x5bf80e…
06-08 15:29:22	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	No	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x56d433…
06-08 15:27:43	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 18 2026	No	SELL	27	6¢	$2	0xdf3d43…
06-08 15:25:31	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 18 2026	No	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0x771d93…
06-08 15:22:31	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,750	0¢	$2	0xb9dfa5…
06-08 01:39:57	btc updown 5m 1780882500	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x573a11…
06-08 01:37:22	btc updown 5m 1780882500	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe75000…
06-08 01:32:13	xrp updown 5m 1780882200	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5bda1f…
06-08 01:28:43	xrp updown 5m 1780881900	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x6cf1a5…
06-08 01:28:15	xrp updown 5m 1780881900	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x03609a…
06-08 01:02:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xac3499…
06-08 01:02:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x7bea96…
06-07 21:16:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	152	9¢	$13	0xd9a3b2…
06-07 21:16:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xa5cef7…
06-07 21:08:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	162	6¢	$10	0xd97891…
06-07 21:08:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	265	5¢	$14	0x240fec…
06-07 21:07:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	265	6¢	$15	0x78557c…
06-07 20:03:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	36	26¢	$9	0x6d000f…
06-07 19:54:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x2fdb93…
06-07 19:34:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x4b6da4…
05-25 13:19:13	xrp updown 5m 1779714900	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8d74d8…
05-25 13:17:11	xrp updown 5m 1779714900	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf7ebe8…
05-25 13:15:38	xrp updown 5m 1779714900	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x182d70…
05-25 13:14:51	xrp updown 5m 1779714900	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbcb2e5…
05-25 13:12:15	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x205321…
05-22 18:30:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	148	87¢	$129	0x9aad41…
05-22 18:01:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x09d276…
05-22 18:01:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	133	97¢	$128	0xc01adc…
05-11 15:34:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	322	96¢	$311	0x40d8c3…
05-11 08:11:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	322	96¢	$308	0x190f0d…
05-11 08:10:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	78¢	$312	0x7a6865…
05-11 07:23:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	80¢	$320	0x110594…
05-11 07:09:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	345	96¢	$329	0xf510ff…
05-10 09:23:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	345	87¢	$299	0xf5f8ad…
05-07 11:00:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	765	78¢	$600	0x5f1f4d…
05-07 08:42:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	765	84¢	$641	0x4e5d1d…
05-06 01:30:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	688	93¢	$640	0x8d2041…
05-05 13:40:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xa48529…
05-05 09:51:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	78	83¢	$65	0x7da69e…
05-05 09:51:14	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	65	99¢	$65	0x779c9e…
05-05 09:49:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x121414…
05-05 09:45:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x046b17…
05-05 09:35:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	66	99¢	$66	0x210a9e…
05-05 09:34:28	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0xc667bb…
05-05 09:30:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x689c71…
05-05 09:29:26	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	66	98¢	$64	0x2ec03e…
05-05 02:20:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	586	76¢	$445	0xe9e7f4…
05-04 13:55:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	524	83¢	$435	0x52fec8…
05-04 13:04:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	524	84¢	$440	0x71deb1…
05-04 13:03:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	530	83¢	$440	0x53c48e…
05-04 05:17:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	530	82¢	$435	0xe6813b…