Ill-Fated-Gosling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$475

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

2,758

Trades

9,903

lifetime

Volume

$35.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-07 03:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Other

96% 48% +$599

Crypto

4% 54% -$62

Politics

0% 19% -$43

Sports

0% 33% -$17

Tech

0% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 508 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings	4	$267	228	224	+4	Punjab Kings	+$101	04-25 14:14
cs2 9z eye 2026 07 01	32	$228	499	399	+100	EYEBALLERS	-$6	07-01 12:58
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	7	$194	329	229	+100	Rajasthan Royals	-$18	04-28 17:19
cs2 1win inox 2026 08 05	60	$116	86	86	+0	1WIN	-$5	08-05 14:55
cs2 1win ruby1 2026 08 03	33	$107	71	71	+0	1WIN	+$9	08-03 13:22
cs2 b8 mibr 2026 07 01	14	$103	110	110	+0	B8	+$3	07-01 18:24
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 21?	8	$97	78	78	+0	Yes	+$55	08-21 13:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:50 UTC	2	$91	47	47	+0	Down	+$0	03-14 17:54
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	11	$88	201	187	+14	Gujarat Titans	-$24	05-03 17:45
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 21?	7	$87	69	69	+0	Yes	+$51	08-21 14:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	3	$82	76	76	+0	Yes	+$69	08-26 08:05
cs2 big5 lvg 2026 07 01	19	$79	72	72	+0	BIG	-$1	07-01 17:41
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on August 31?	13	$77	72	62	+10	Yes	+$17	08-31 11:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:05 UTC	2	$75	38	38	+0	Up	+$0	03-14 16:10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 28?	8	$75	67	56	+11	Yes	+$41	08-29 00:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21?	8	$74	53	53	+0	Yes	+$32	08-21 17:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 22?	9	$72	53	53	+0	Yes	+$33	08-22 16:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:05 UTC	2	$69	36	36	+0	Up	+$1	03-14 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:30 UTC	4	$69	37	35	+2	Up	+$0	03-14 16:35
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 25?	3	$69	67	67	+0	Yes	+$62	08-25 23:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 24?	10	$68	66	43	+23	Yes	+$15	08-24 07:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:35 UTC	6	$68	51	51	+0	Up	-$6	03-14 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:50 UTC	2	$68	35	35	+0	Up	+$0	03-14 16:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 12?	12	$67	66	66	+0	Yes	+$38	08-12 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 22?	11	$67	50	50	+0	Yes	+$31	08-22 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 26?	7	$67	52	52	+0	Yes	+$37	08-26 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 30?	11	$66	59	59	+0	Yes	+$12	08-30 22:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25?	5	$64	52	52	+0	Yes	+$40	08-25 16:17
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 27?	11	$63	57	57	+0	Yes	+$9	08-27 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 27?	6	$62	48	48	+0	Yes	+$32	08-27 14:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 03:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x222604…
09-07 03:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x021352…
09-07 00:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x95cd96…
09-07 00:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 6?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x08ff80…
09-06 23:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on September 6?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe9aab1…
09-06 22:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 6?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x563fb3…
09-06 22:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xfc6972…
09-06 21:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xf1fa81…
09-06 20:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa89c37…
09-06 19:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 6?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc0a8b8…
09-06 18:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on September 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdb551f…
09-06 16:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc91056…
09-06 16:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdf7e7b…
09-06 16:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 6?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x2c6a98…
09-06 15:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4f1a69…
09-06 15:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9de150…
09-06 14:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb3bdf5…
09-06 14:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xea5679…
09-06 14:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xd008de…
09-06 13:54:40	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 6?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9280a3…
09-06 13:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2edbaf…
09-06 13:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 6?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1c7ecb…
09-06 12:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x068959…
09-06 10:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 6?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd595f9…
09-06 10:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 6?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2a1064…
09-06 10:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x09cd0b…
09-06 09:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0d0591…
09-06 09:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2d891d…
09-06 09:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xec61e6…
09-06 09:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd90408…
09-06 08:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 6?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdefe55…
09-06 08:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x38aabd…
09-06 08:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x48e911…
09-06 08:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 6?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf51e82…
09-06 08:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x9b1816…
09-06 07:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x710e18…
09-06 07:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x60b706…
09-06 06:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 6?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9a58b9…
09-06 06:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x44e320…
09-06 06:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xd5a30f…
09-06 06:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 6?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0df531…
09-06 04:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x505c1d…
09-06 04:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x04ef6e…
09-05 23:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xda24cf…
09-05 22:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 5?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf3befe…
09-05 22:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8ca19d…
09-05 22:17:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x70526f…
09-05 22:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4c9b3b…
09-05 21:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 5?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb08bbc…
09-05 21:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3fb832…
09-05 21:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xb06c5b…
09-05 19:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 5?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdf7ef3…
09-05 19:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 5?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x877205…
09-05 19:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x8d1752…
09-05 19:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa86496…
09-05 19:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x307582…
09-05 18:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 5?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x68056f…
09-05 18:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 5?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb791a7…
09-05 17:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 5?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0e3414…
09-05 17:53:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x49e1aa…
09-05 16:32:58	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1c384e…
09-05 16:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 5?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x290fb3…
09-05 16:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 5?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xfebe82…
09-05 15:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd1d7e8…
09-05 15:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x6bda6c…
09-05 15:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 5?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc33631…
09-05 15:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xaceab1…
09-05 14:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf90d4e…
09-05 14:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9833c1…
09-05 14:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc78ae9…
09-05 14:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xde5ec6…
09-05 13:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 5?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0abcf5…
09-05 13:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 5?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc8d5d2…
09-05 12:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xd62de9…
09-05 11:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf54694…
09-05 10:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x47d2c9…
09-05 09:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xc8f38a…
09-05 09:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc725ca…
09-05 09:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x0b9787…
09-05 08:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf551ec…
09-05 08:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xb50100…
09-05 08:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x96aba5…
09-05 08:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4f4aeb…
09-05 07:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe1037e…
09-05 07:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xddcec9…
09-05 07:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x41ffea…
09-05 07:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x942c37…
09-05 07:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 5?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4bac47…
09-05 07:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 5?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x03d783…
09-05 07:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe3594d…
09-05 07:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x46bf20…
09-05 07:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 5?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x01ba8a…
09-05 07:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 5?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf2dca9…
09-05 06:21:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 5?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2ec684…
09-05 06:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xf92202…
09-05 06:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb5ddb9…
09-05 06:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 6?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x02f6f5…
09-05 06:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb7d86b…
09-05 06:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x6fdb43…
09-05 06:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc8dc40…