Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

132

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$213

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-28

last 11-04 03:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

74% 61% +$14

Politics

22% 68% +$4

Tech

4% 75% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	2	$4	8	+8	No	-$1	09-16 17:58
will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	07-29 11:36
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 05:00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-09 09:39
will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-11 12:02
will xauusd dip to 4300 by september 21 2026 from september 22	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-23 02:31
will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-16 09:32
will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-10 18:10
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-21 13:52
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-23 19:09
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-09 17:41
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-07 17:25
will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-14 03:47
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-17 01:58
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 06:13
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-13 19:34
spx up or down on september 23 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	-$2	09-23 10:50
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-13 18:51
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-08 16:09
will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-24 03:14
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-04 02:04
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-27 13:22
spx up or down on september 11 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	09-11 05:57
will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-12 02:00
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-16 00:45
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-14 11:02
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-24 06:27
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-13 11:28
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-14 02:52
will abnb reach 172 by september 7 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-10 08:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 03:15:00	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7832e4…
11-03 19:08:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 3?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfe8097…
11-03 11:07:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd932d6…
11-03 03:07:00	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x40907f…
11-02 19:06:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfd1d6f…
11-02 11:05:28	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd643d2…
11-02 03:05:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe03244…
11-01 15:30:25	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe8b045…
10-30 02:08:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4f9c81…
10-30 01:53:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5e8e81…
10-29 17:14:29	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x13bb15…
10-29 04:01:50	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x408fa0…
10-28 20:01:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa68b14…
10-28 11:58:31	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8e5a91…
10-28 03:57:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0783a2…
10-27 19:47:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x74755c…
10-27 11:45:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x09008b…
10-27 03:36:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x329de5…
10-26 13:41:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe129de…
10-26 05:40:02	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4141d4…
10-25 21:39:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9fec8b…
10-25 10:52:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe63915…
10-25 02:20:33	Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4a2e22…
10-23 16:48:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe215fb…
10-22 20:33:38	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa8b5ca…
10-22 12:24:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x988411…
10-22 02:41:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe15f37…
10-20 18:16:57	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcc6ed1…
10-19 21:02:43	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xad69ec…
10-19 21:02:16	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcd0df6…
10-19 12:25:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbf84c7…
10-19 12:25:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe76435…
10-19 04:25:20	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9b9606…
10-18 20:25:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3b67c4…
10-18 11:51:50	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2bc98a…
10-18 00:04:59	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd0bce5…
10-16 13:01:45	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfdc44e…
10-16 04:36:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf9ff6d…
10-16 04:36:09	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x111766…
10-15 14:33:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x89ee32…
10-15 14:31:08	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6e8258…
10-15 06:02:58	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x77bed9…
10-14 22:01:21	will lam research lrcx q1 total revenue be above 20261008120025000 8pt5b	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xba018a…
10-14 13:45:20	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x135ca2…
10-14 05:33:17	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $213 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xed012a…
10-13 21:22:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfc4ff0…
10-13 12:15:59	will nvda reach 228 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0ae692…
10-12 03:58:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc6708d…
10-11 14:37:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf8a86e…
10-11 09:46:16	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf3a407…
10-11 01:25:15	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x18ea3b…
10-10 11:58:12	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5dcffd…
10-09 14:56:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfdbedb…
10-09 06:27:33	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7f8a64…
10-08 22:27:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0c2f2e…
10-08 01:15:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7c15b8…
10-07 17:15:08	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa0af44…
10-07 04:29:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x863fef…
10-06 20:29:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdeb2e7…
10-06 12:29:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9ed10f…
10-06 04:27:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8da07f…
10-05 18:09:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x01dbc2…
10-05 10:04:46	will xauusd reach 4200 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5255cc…
10-05 00:44:11	will tsla reach 390 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x62992c…
10-02 16:02:47	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 2?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9972d0…
10-02 07:33:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4cf2cb…
10-02 06:51:12	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x95ead6…
10-01 09:14:20	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8df93f…
10-01 01:13:53	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7436c4…
09-30 11:06:14	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2943bd…
09-30 03:03:45	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4b9eab…
09-27 05:48:30	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd7f752…
09-26 08:15:17	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0ea834…
09-25 21:17:18	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9423e0…
09-25 13:11:03	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x810928…
09-25 04:20:42	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfd5800…
09-24 19:54:59	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xef245d…
09-24 11:14:45	will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x35dc08…
09-24 03:14:02	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2ba514…
09-23 19:09:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xcfe1e9…
09-23 10:50:59	spx up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xe9dbc1…
09-23 02:31:43	will xauusd dip to 4300 by september 21 2026 from september 22	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x93a475…
09-21 13:52:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9bc9a8…
09-20 03:59:13	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xaedc73…
09-19 05:00:06	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x131761…
09-17 01:58:34	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3fc6f1…
09-16 17:58:06	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd184e1…
09-16 09:32:49	will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x46fbb3…
09-16 09:31:12	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $175 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xd14b00…
09-16 00:45:27	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x62ce60…
09-15 20:42:54	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdd44fc…
09-14 11:02:19	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x62df74…
09-14 02:52:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xad3bdd…
09-13 18:51:36	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe775dd…
09-11 05:57:39	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xe8fd4b…
09-10 18:10:34	will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x3528e9…
09-10 08:09:01	will abnb reach 172 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe08b62…
09-09 17:41:18	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x33cf08…
09-09 09:39:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0365ed…
09-08 16:09:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x840d28…