Muddy-Shore — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

1,309

Trades

2,590

lifetime

Volume

$283.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 07-19 20:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 40% -$11,007

Other

21% 20% -$7,972

Sports

8% 31% -$2,300

Politics

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:45 UTC	5	$6.4K	5,938	4,073	+1,865	Up	+$1,460	03-05 20:50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	5	$5.2K	3,825	3,825	+0	No	+$1,757	06-29 22:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 16:10 UTC	5	$4.9K	3,382	3,329	+53	Up	+$1,536	03-05 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:35 UTC	6	$4.4K	3,192	3,144	+48	Up	+$1,667	03-14 19:40
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	5	$4.0K	2,924	2,924	+0	Yes	-$370	07-06 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 23:50 UTC	6	$3.6K	2,488	2,453	+35	Down	+$832	03-04 23:55
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$3.2K	6,316	0	+6,316	Switzerland	-$3,239	07-07 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 13:30 UTC	5	$3.2K	1,717	1,717	+0	Up	+$200	07-06 13:34
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	11	$2.9K	1,542	1,542	+0	Yes	-$50	06-27 15:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 15:00 UTC	4	$2.7K	1,913	1,884	+29	Down	+$986	03-05 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 19:05 UTC	5	$2.6K	2,781	2,062	+719	Down	+$1,279	02-27 19:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 07:30 UTC	2	$2.5K	5,151	0	+5,151	Up	-$2,550	03-06 07:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 16:25 UTC	7	$2.5K	2,390	2,365	+24	Up	+$925	03-13 16:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:35 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,804	1,777	+26	Down	+$846	03-12 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:55 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,304	1,298	+6	Up	+$203	03-05 10:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:25 UTC	4	$2.3K	1,337	1,326	+11	Down	+$319	03-05 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:50 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,295	1,286	+9	Down	+$261	03-05 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 18:50 UTC	4	$2.1K	1,963	1,441	+522	Up	+$545	03-12 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:15 UTC	3	$2.1K	1,532	1,510	+22	Down	+$918	03-10 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:00 UTC	2	$2.1K	3,317	0	+3,317	Up	-$2,072	03-14 22:03
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	4	$2.1K	1,135	1,039	+96	Under	+$13	07-06 21:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 06:55 UTC	5	$2.0K	1,181	1,167	+14	Up	+$370	03-06 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 15:30 UTC	3	$1.8K	2,065	1,135	+930	Up	+$422	03-13 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 23:55 UTC	2	$1.8K	1,366	1,349	+17	Up	+$904	03-13 00:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:20 UTC	3	$1.7K	1,445	1,436	+10	Up	+$1,133	03-05 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 21:20 UTC	4	$1.7K	1,303	1,303	+0	Up	+$721	07-06 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:45 UTC	5	$1.7K	1,171	1,153	+18	Down	+$569	02-27 22:50
f1 chinese grand prix winner russell 2026 03 15	5	$1.7K	2,879	0	+2,879	No	-$1,682	03-15 06:55
Besiktas vs. Galatasaray	4	$1.6K	990	977	+13	Besiktas	+$246	05-30 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 07:25 UTC	4	$1.6K	4,076	0	+4,076	Up	-$1,598	03-06 07:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 20:07:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	82	18¢	$15	0x6b82a5…
07-19 18:15:52	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	152	43¢	$65	0xf9c846…
07-19 18:15:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x71ac2c…
07-19 18:15:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	233	9¢	$21	0x8c9f99…
07-19 18:15:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	238	13¢	$31	0x369819…
07-19 18:15:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x83e8e0…
07-19 18:14:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	195	1¢	$2	0xdc33f8…
07-19 18:14:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	222	2¢	$4	0x739c7a…
07-19 18:14:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0xcf80bd…
07-19 18:14:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	87	11¢	$10	0xde4afc…
07-19 18:14:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	129	23¢	$30	0xf11cd3…
07-19 18:14:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	217	41¢	$90	0x5fa561…
07-19 18:12:24	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	702	100¢	$701	0x1f0dd4…
07-19 14:28:36	Will Lando Norris achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	98	9¢	$9	0x4ee6e8…
07-19 14:19:46	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	915	2¢	$18	0xfa878a…
07-19 14:14:19	Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	173	12¢	$21	0xf58572…
07-19 14:08:22	Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	143	67¢	$96	0x68b7e7…
07-19 14:07:28	Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x20ee04…
07-19 13:59:58	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	86	57¢	$49	0x774826…
07-19 13:58:10	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	76	58¢	$44	0xf5a384…
07-19 13:56:15	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x64068b…
07-19 13:55:31	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xa978d8…
07-19 13:55:07	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x2e797b…
07-19 13:52:52	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x5392ca…
07-19 13:51:10	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	88	4¢	$3	0x7b10ed…
07-19 13:50:58	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	226	31¢	$69	0x5b01c1…
07-19 13:50:16	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x8b4657…
07-19 13:49:51	Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	173	76¢	$131	0x565a7a…
07-19 13:46:21	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	189	59¢	$111	0xa882bd…
07-19 08:59:24	f1 belgian grand prix red flag 2026 07 19	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2ef487…
07-19 08:56:00	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium hadjar 2026 07 26	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xf51c41…
07-19 08:47:25	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x7f6ac0…
07-19 08:47:21	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	229	3¢	$8	0x134f7d…
07-19 08:47:16	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	226	3¢	$7	0x0ece6d…
07-19 08:47:09	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	233	9¢	$21	0x65a646…
07-18 13:39:28	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	329	15¢	$50	0x936a03…
07-18 13:38:27	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0x9948cf…
07-18 13:38:18	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x3e4bbe…
07-18 13:38:13	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x61f160…
07-18 13:38:09	Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x1033b4…
07-18 13:38:01	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	139	17¢	$23	0xcc42a6…
07-18 12:56:15	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0x0dcfb9…
07-18 12:56:09	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0x58c337…
07-18 12:56:03	Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	82	11¢	$9	0xbb0e5a…
07-18 12:55:57	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	133	14¢	$19	0x00de95…
07-15 20:57:07	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	129	7¢	$9	0x4df7ae…
07-15 18:13:43	Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	470	2¢	$10	0x2567f6…
07-15 18:13:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 2pt5	England	BUY	213	4¢	$8	0x8e4145…
07-15 17:31:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	105	9¢	$10	0xa86397…
07-15 17:31:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x6df365…
07-15 17:31:14	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0xd732e3…
07-15 17:29:41	Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x446ac7…
07-15 17:29:29	Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x33218d…
07-15 17:29:23	Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0xecd3e0…
07-15 17:29:16	Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	308	4¢	$12	0x94bb86…
07-15 17:29:10	Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x327dcc…
07-15 17:29:01	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0x8c44a4…
07-15 17:28:53	Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	257	7¢	$18	0x22ee95…
07-15 17:28:44	Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	165	17¢	$28	0x74f523…
07-15 11:31:25	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	176	23¢	$40	0x054341…
07-15 00:05:22	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	284	94¢	$267	0xd5710b…
07-14 20:59:38	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?	Yes	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0x278024…
07-14 20:55:58	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	SELL	231	100¢	$230	0x6c46c4…
07-14 20:25:07	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	SELL	231	88¢	$204	0x0fa1e3…
07-14 18:57:11	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners total 11pt5	Over	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x56fa73…
07-14 18:32:17	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0x7fc02c…
07-14 18:32:10	Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0x70fb53…
07-14 18:32:04	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	217	5¢	$10	0x0a0e36…
07-14 18:31:58	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	178	9¢	$16	0xe2845b…
07-14 18:30:44	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	463	30¢	$140	0x7238af…
07-12 00:49:49	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 corners total 11pt5	Over	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0x5e4252…
07-12 00:49:43	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x91856d…
07-12 00:49:37	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x949c86…
07-11 15:20:53	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	231	1¢	$3	0xe9f397…
07-11 15:20:43	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	176	3¢	$6	0x77fafc…
07-11 15:20:34	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x1ccd45…
07-11 15:20:28	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x7a026a…
07-10 19:58:47	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	284	57¢	$162	0x69cb95…
07-10 19:01:28	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	No	BUY	138	40¢	$56	0x137484…
07-10 18:58:32	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	133	6¢	$8	0x913dab…
07-10 18:58:25	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0x621bcf…
07-10 18:58:13	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	157	7¢	$11	0x418de6…
07-09 21:47:53	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0x62fb45…
07-09 21:35:40	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$3	0xd6a7fc…
07-09 21:31:43	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	36	54¢	$19	0x0fc8e8…
07-09 19:57:25	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	204	14¢	$29	0x2ddcda…
07-09 19:02:50	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	No	BUY	151	39¢	$59	0x36c680…
07-09 10:32:37	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	476	2¢	$10	0x851c02…
07-09 10:32:26	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	512	4¢	$22	0xc30227…
07-08 01:02:17	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	567	58¢	$329	0x092f45…
07-08 00:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	261	3¢	$8	0x9de2cc…
07-08 00:17:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	285	13¢	$37	0xfbd1de…
07-08 00:06:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	284	25¢	$71	0x8eb667…
07-08 00:04:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	146	97¢	$142	0xa9e7e7…
07-08 00:02:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	146	13¢	$19	0x400fcb…
07-07 23:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	114	8¢	$9	0xc94334…
07-07 23:43:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1,025	2¢	$23	0x5f3422…
07-07 23:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x844076…
07-07 23:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	364	4¢	$15	0x97f547…
07-07 23:19:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	355	2¢	$8	0x80287b…