Flustered-Authority — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved

Trades

14,330

lifetime

Volume

$39.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-17 10:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 38% $-8

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 615 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1774521900	139	$318	619	1	+617	open	—	03-26 10:58
btc updown 5m 1776768300	30	$273	200	200	+0	open	—	04-21 10:47
btc updown 5m 1773727500	22	$254	440	0	+440	open	—	03-17 06:10
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	2	$224	147	147	+0	open	—	02-28 12:40
btc updown 15m 1773240300	43	$219	415	5	+410	open	—	03-11 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	16	$212	660	618	+42	open	—	04-26 13:48
btc updown 15m 1772960400	19	$198	175	163	+12	open	—	03-08 09:01
btc updown 5m 1774518900	88	$191	375	0	+375	open	—	03-26 09:59
btc updown 15m 1773001800	39	$191	210	80	+130	open	—	03-08 20:35
btc updown 15m 1771776900	62	$185	271	110	+161	open	—	02-22 16:20
btc updown 5m 1773519000	16	$161	320	0	+320	open	—	03-14 20:14
btc updown 5m 1774618500	35	$160	310	0	+310	open	—	03-27 13:38
btc updown 5m 1772306400	28	$149	182	103	+79	open	—	02-28 19:25
btc updown 5m 1774351500	60	$140	270	0	+270	open	—	03-24 11:28
btc updown 5m 1773727800	13	$137	260	0	+260	open	—	03-17 06:11
btc updown 5m 1777039500	40	$131	264	0	+264	open	—	04-24 14:08
btc updown 15m 1773088200	49	$126	245	0	+245	open	—	03-09 20:43
btc updown 5m 1773522000	12	$124	240	0	+240	open	—	03-14 21:01
btc updown 5m 1773510300	11	$122	220	0	+220	open	—	03-14 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	30	$121	150	0	+150	open	—	04-28 18:54
btc updown 15m 1772530200	89	$120	240	0	+240	open	—	03-03 09:42
btc updown 15m 1771942500	59	$115	226	0	+226	open	—	02-24 14:25
btc updown 15m 1772999100	34	$114	205	5	+200	open	—	03-08 19:52
btc updown 5m 1776519000	45	$113	220	5	+215	open	—	04-18 13:33
btc updown 5m 1773992700	26	$113	215	0	+215	open	—	03-20 07:49
btc updown 5m 1776801000	24	$113	230	0	+230	open	—	04-21 19:54
btc updown 5m 1776763800	23	$112	220	0	+220	open	—	04-21 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	28	$112	220	0	+220	open	—	04-29 14:54
btc updown 5m 1776519900	24	$111	225	0	+225	open	—	04-18 13:49
btc updown 5m 1774344300	27	$110	216	0	+216	open	—	03-24 09:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 10:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x926c2a…
05-16 08:30:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	343	21¢	$73	0xaed2fc…
05-16 08:28:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x5c1b82…
05-16 07:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb90306…
05-16 07:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xf5085c…
05-16 07:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x9b4f44…
05-16 07:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0x5faf9f…
05-16 07:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x32188d…
05-16 07:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x4827a6…
05-16 07:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xe732b8…
05-16 07:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xbc3111…
05-16 07:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x8624ec…
05-16 07:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x64d625…
05-16 07:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0xcce3e2…
05-16 07:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x226a68…
05-16 07:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x9e39a0…
05-15 09:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x30f4db…
05-15 08:59:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa1439e…
05-15 08:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xf06040…
05-14 19:08:45	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	58	20¢	$12	0x52030b…
05-14 15:47:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x1f1944…
05-14 09:21:36	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x4c0373…
05-14 09:21:18	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x84cd32…
05-14 09:21:08	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xc102c5…
05-12 09:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xa8d56e…
05-12 09:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x502816…
05-12 09:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x2ee337…
05-12 09:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x917e00…
05-12 09:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc57f6f…
05-12 09:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x99c415…
05-12 09:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x911c81…
05-12 09:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5fe26e…
05-12 09:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4d5bab…
05-12 09:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfbd04a…
05-12 09:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x4c5f7d…
05-12 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5f2e8e…
05-12 09:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x4845c1…
05-12 09:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x0b3902…
05-12 09:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0692ee…
05-12 09:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x440787…
05-12 09:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfd40de…
05-12 09:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xcb9f4d…
05-12 09:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x79c981…
05-12 09:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbf3991…
05-12 09:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd06240…
05-12 08:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x13013e…
05-12 08:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x453703…
05-12 08:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x741fd9…
05-12 08:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x361e59…
05-12 08:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3f0690…
05-12 08:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x11cee3…
05-12 08:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x3fe776…
05-12 08:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6dd67b…
05-12 08:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5792ad…
05-12 08:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x3ffc56…
05-12 08:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xcfb265…
05-12 08:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x77f3e1…
05-12 08:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8cd5ba…
05-12 08:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x2b1056…
05-12 08:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x058aca…
05-12 08:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x0a6992…
05-12 08:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x922ac0…
05-12 08:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbbc918…
05-12 08:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2672d1…
05-12 08:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1db553…
05-12 08:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb7bf07…
05-12 08:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf8c45a…
05-12 08:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xdcd17c…
05-12 08:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x33a06b…
05-12 08:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xae67d1…
05-12 08:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbf7ce3…
05-12 08:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x965bda…
05-12 08:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8811a7…
05-12 08:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x485d1e…
05-12 08:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x6d4df3…
05-12 08:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf4a914…
05-12 08:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x6a64a9…
05-12 08:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x362aed…
05-12 08:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x261bea…
05-12 08:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x5e1ba1…
05-12 08:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0998cf…
05-12 08:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcd222e…
05-12 08:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x401147…
05-12 08:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x892909…
05-12 08:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x66dac0…
05-12 08:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x65482d…
05-12 08:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xaa9cf6…
05-12 08:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0f79ad…
05-12 08:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa78c32…
05-12 08:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x10e4bd…
05-12 08:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x72f1c2…
05-12 08:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x8ee812…
05-12 08:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x0000c6…
05-12 08:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf495ed…
05-12 08:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xee8e9f…
05-12 08:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa9ca18…
05-12 08:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x9cd263…
05-12 08:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb82645…
05-12 08:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xdb9de3…
05-12 08:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xb47461…