Chilly-Beck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

686

Trades

1,742

lifetime

Volume

$7.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 09-01 09:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 41% -$237

Other

8% 29% +$194

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 29c	8	$185	183	182	+1	Yes	+$176	04-23 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	12	$171	123	121	+3	Down	-$6	04-27 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$115	71	69	+1	Up	+$15	04-28 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$110	66	64	+1	Down	+$19	04-25 19:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	8	$106	85	85	+0	Yes	+$47	08-31 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$97	58	57	+1	Up	+$9	04-27 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	4	$89	94	90	+4	Down	+$9	04-25 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$79	80	40	+40	Up	+$8	04-28 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$75	40	40	+0	Up	+$3	04-27 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	11	$69	151	119	+32	Down	+$11	04-27 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 19:00 UTC	3	$69	58	31	+27	Down	+$9	04-16 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$58	59	0	+59	Down	+$1	04-28 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	7	$57	59	47	+12	Up	+$6	04-26 10:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 08:05 UTC	1	$57	72	0	+72	Up	+$15	04-10 08:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 10:00 UTC	2	$57	31	31	+0	Down	+$3	04-22 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	6	$55	86	70	+16	Down	-$17	04-27 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	6	$55	37	37	+0	Up	+$9	04-27 11:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 18:35 UTC	3	$55	29	29	+0	Up	+$2	04-16 18:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 11:05 UTC	4	$52	36	36	+0	Down	+$19	04-22 11:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 18:05 UTC	4	$51	43	34	+9	Down	+$1	04-16 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$51	38	37	+1	Up	+$13	04-27 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	7	$50	53	53	+0	Up	+$30	04-30 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:25 UTC	9	$50	65	65	+0	Up	+$10	08-30 17:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 18:00 UTC	5	$49	36	35	+1	Up	-$4	04-16 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$47	25	25	+0	Up	+$2	04-27 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$47	28	28	+0	Up	+$7	04-29 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 07:15 UTC	3	$46	27	27	+1	Up	+$7	04-10 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	4	$46	56	54	+2	Down	-$6	04-27 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$43	27	26	+0	Down	+$3	04-28 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 18:10 UTC	5	$42	144	135	+9	Up	-$3	04-16 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 09:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	182	4¢	$7	0x28b6c5…
09-01 09:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	51	1¢	$0	0x95b249…
09-01 04:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0xba74c5…
09-01 04:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	106	6¢	$6	0x2327da…
09-01 03:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x66a995…
09-01 02:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x836527…
09-01 01:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcf2035…
09-01 01:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5b9321…
09-01 01:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xfeef9e…
09-01 01:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xb7e495…
09-01 01:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xaa74d3…
09-01 01:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0xb89945…
08-31 21:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x2e0a03…
08-31 19:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0a7f56…
08-31 19:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe5bad7…
08-31 13:04:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xf405cf…
08-31 13:04:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xcf478c…
08-31 13:04:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x9df3a8…
08-31 12:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xe2f287…
08-31 12:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x5aaeb8…
08-31 12:45:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x975fcc…
08-31 12:40:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x9b9c23…
08-31 12:37:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd0b2a9…
08-31 12:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe64372…
08-31 12:35:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1b7dc8…
08-31 12:33:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x77056e…
08-31 12:31:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfa2fc0…
08-31 05:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xfada29…
08-31 05:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	75	90¢	$68	0x9e723d…
08-31 02:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x7ae4cd…
08-31 02:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x8bf700…
08-31 02:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xc6e19c…
08-30 21:44:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdda961…
08-30 21:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc01094…
08-30 21:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x191564…
08-30 21:22:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x50c68a…
08-30 21:13:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0717d6…
08-30 17:53:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:50 UTC	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x654fe8…
08-30 17:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xaf9acd…
08-30 17:47:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x84f3df…
08-30 17:47:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x14ac50…
08-30 17:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc33c87…
08-30 17:33:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xf6153f…
08-30 17:32:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc2703f…
08-30 17:26:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xa4805a…
08-30 17:26:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x90d4b2…
08-30 17:26:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x843e16…
08-30 17:26:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0xca68b3…
08-30 17:26:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xb4c61f…
08-30 17:26:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x73d22a…
08-30 17:26:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x2ea37d…
08-30 17:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa281a0…
08-30 17:25:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xbeca88…
08-30 17:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xda6dc3…
08-30 17:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x8a6970…
08-30 17:19:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x3f7e54…
08-30 17:19:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xe369da…
08-30 17:19:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x3f5327…
08-30 17:16:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9bb940…
08-30 17:12:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xb06f4a…
08-30 17:12:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x099983…
08-30 11:17:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x75a2ab…
08-30 11:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x69828c…
08-30 11:15:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xfefeba…
08-30 11:06:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x4f669b…
08-30 11:05:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc0e4ff…
08-30 11:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x51c8f1…
08-30 11:00:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb2f8e4…
08-30 10:56:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x34b4b4…
08-30 10:54:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:50 UTC	Down	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x69dfec…
08-30 10:52:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0601b0…
08-30 10:48:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1a65e4…
08-30 10:46:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xd61daf…
08-30 10:46:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xe68c69…
08-30 10:46:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x639540…
08-30 10:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x000326…
08-30 10:44:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbb4cff…
08-30 10:42:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:40 UTC	Up	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x526252…
08-30 10:40:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf71bc4…
08-30 05:11:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:10 UTC	Down	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0xd9b220…
08-30 05:10:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xbd5d74…
08-30 05:08:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:05 UTC	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x8a872d…
08-30 05:04:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa54a0d…
08-30 05:00:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x371809…
08-30 05:00:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x1b3a73…
08-30 04:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdd20d4…
08-30 04:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 30?	No	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xa98f96…
08-30 04:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$1	0x5c89f7…
08-30 04:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x650292…
08-30 04:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbbca30…
08-13 08:31:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7eaa77…
08-13 08:23:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xfccae3…
08-13 08:23:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2cea82…
08-12 07:57:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x383c36…
08-12 07:55:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:55 UTC	Down	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x2cc2fd…
08-12 07:54:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9ba256…
08-12 07:45:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xd30648…
08-12 07:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf30c3a…
08-12 07:41:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xe55236…
08-12 07:39:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8a7bdf…