Failing-Machine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$835

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-23 20:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Sports

58% 80% -$31

Other

26% 67% +$21

Crypto

17% 67% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Texans vs. Jaguars	5	$152	139	117	+22	Texans	+$12	10-18 16:51
Idaho vs. Montana	4	$81	49	49	+0	Idaho	+$18	10-17 22:46
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$72	37	37	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$2	10-19 00:02
James Madison vs. Appalachian State	3	$69	44	44	+0	Appalachian State	-$1	10-18 23:29
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-17?	2	$64	34	34	+0	Yes	+$4	10-17 20:29
Ravens vs. Browns	1	$60	72	0	+72	Browns	-$60	10-18 18:55
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$59	32	32	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$5	10-13 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$55	30	30	+0	Down	+$5	10-22 16:54
Golden Knights vs. Wild	2	$52	27	27	+0	Wild	+$2	10-13 02:46
Timberwolves vs. Knicks	2	$44	25	25	+0	Timberwolves	+$6	10-13 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	Up	-$25	10-22 18:42
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$15	19	0	+19	Milwaukee Brewers	+$4	10-12 23:53
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	1	$11	16	0	+16	Hurricanes	+$5	05-29 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	10-22 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	10-22 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	10-22 16:45
nba was mil 2025 12 31	1	$9	12	0	+12	Wizards	-$9	01-01 02:22
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	2	$8	15	0	+15	Hurricanes	+$2	05-26 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$5	38	0	+38	Up	-$5	10-22 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	-$5	10-22 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$4	3	2	+1	Down	+$1	10-22 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	10-23 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	10-23 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	10-22 20:57
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 01:50 UTC	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$0	10-23 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	-$1	10-22 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	-$1	10-23 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	10-22 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	10-22 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	10-22 20:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 20:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x2a7309…
10-23 20:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x049b3d…
10-23 02:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa872e3…
10-23 02:03:38	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 01:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xab1ea7…
10-23 02:02:44	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd3a802…
10-23 02:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xf526e4…
10-23 02:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0646e4…
10-23 01:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xad5930…
10-22 20:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x5efcfd…
10-22 20:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x674ac5…
10-22 20:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x901e9c…
10-22 20:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf5b5f5…
10-22 20:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x1eda84…
10-22 20:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x76bf21…
10-22 20:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb916a4…
10-22 20:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1debb0…
10-22 18:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb63a20…
10-22 18:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xcd5b77…
10-22 18:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xadebc4…
10-22 17:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x270afb…
10-22 17:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4c3c1e…
10-22 16:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xf27975…
10-22 16:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf1028b…
10-22 16:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xbf3b88…
10-22 16:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xc0ffe8…
10-22 16:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x33c416…
10-22 16:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xca9052…
10-22 16:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x16cc5c…
10-19 00:02:44	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xc059b3…
10-18 23:40:26	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x5158e3…
10-18 23:29:50	James Madison vs. Appalachian State	James Madison	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x8a21b6…
10-18 21:05:11	James Madison vs. Appalachian State	James Madison	SELL	42	78¢	$32	0xf97387…
10-18 20:58:42	James Madison vs. Appalachian State	James Madison	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0x79d388…
10-18 18:55:59	Ravens vs. Browns	Ravens	BUY	72	83¢	$60	0xd1aa47…
10-18 16:51:08	Texans vs. Jaguars	Texans	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x33746b…
10-18 16:41:47	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x54e32b…
10-18 16:14:51	Texans vs. Jaguars	Texans	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xe61249…
10-18 16:14:27	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	SELL	54	36¢	$20	0x70613e…
10-18 14:38:33	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x4e3b10…
10-17 22:46:26	Idaho vs. Montana	Idaho	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x0ec5e8…
10-17 22:17:06	Idaho vs. Montana	Idaho	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x76eba4…
10-17 20:30:30	Idaho vs. Montana	Idaho	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9707a4…
10-17 20:29:03	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x8fd90d…
10-17 19:47:42	Idaho vs. Montana	Idaho	BUY	3	44¢	$2	0x8d3c33…
10-17 19:45:03	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x119cef…
10-13 03:04:47	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x5998e6…
10-13 02:48:18	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0x56543b…
10-13 02:46:59	Golden Knights vs. Wild	Wild	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xcfdea2…
10-13 02:15:32	Golden Knights vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x6e9863…
10-13 02:14:14	Timberwolves vs. Knicks	Timberwolves	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2e1428…
10-13 01:31:00	Timberwolves vs. Knicks	Timberwolves	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x325a33…
10-12 23:53:36	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x56ed9f…
05-29 01:18:55	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x992b91…
05-26 00:11:18	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe4a52e…
05-26 00:10:52	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x904790…
01-01 02:22:35	nba was mil 2025 12 31	Bucks	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x7048e6…