Authentic-Flugelhorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$493

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

2,093

Trades

5,428

lifetime

Volume

$26.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 11-01 11:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% -$493

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$426	228	228	+0	Down	+$26	04-30 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$319	171	171	+0	Down	+$19	04-30 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$264	176	176	+0	Up	+$84	04-30 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$230	132	132	+0	Down	+$30	04-30 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	6	$223	246	83	+163	Up	+$23	04-30 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$218	119	119	+0	Up	+$18	04-30 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:00 UTC	8	$212	412	0	+412	Down	-$6	08-02 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$210	153	136	+16	Up	+$68	04-30 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$208	109	109	+0	Up	+$8	04-30 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	7	$206	147	200	-53	Up	-$94	04-30 15:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:40 UTC	6	$206	406	0	+406	Down	-$3	08-02 10:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 11:05 UTC	6	$196	390	0	+390	Up	-$1	08-07 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	5	$194	116	116	+0	Up	+$24	04-30 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$190	296	0	+296	Down	-$106	04-30 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 10:50 UTC	5	$169	110	108	+2	Up	+$46	04-17 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:05 UTC	12	$168	126	100	+26	Up	+$15	08-02 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:15 UTC	2	$154	120	120	+0	Up	+$60	08-02 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$151	161	0	+161	Up	+$10	04-30 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:35 UTC	7	$148	326	0	+326	Up	-$35	08-02 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$140	207	0	+207	Up	-$140	04-30 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$130	140	0	+140	Down	-$130	04-30 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:05 UTC	11	$128	129	63	+65	Up	$0	04-20 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$124	185	10	+175	Up	+$17	04-30 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:45 UTC	5	$123	106	43	+64	Down	-$8	04-20 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$120	173	0	+173	Down	-$4	04-30 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	9	$118	100	200	-100	Down	-$12	05-27 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:45 UTC	10	$115	230	0	+230	Down	$0	08-02 10:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:55 UTC	8	$115	230	0	+230	Up	+$0	08-02 10:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:25 UTC	5	$114	200	100	+100	Down	+$7	08-02 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 10:05 UTC	6	$108	70	50	+20	Down	+$2	04-18 10:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 11:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe0ce31…
11-01 11:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4832dd…
11-01 10:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdb7fd9…
11-01 10:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x01d697…
11-01 09:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd3d17e…
11-01 08:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xeed200…
11-01 08:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc92757…
11-01 08:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf1aec3…
11-01 08:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcdc778…
10-30 05:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5f7506…
10-30 05:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8aab63…
10-30 05:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8f313f…
10-30 04:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5d77dc…
10-29 13:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa42bd1…
10-29 12:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x621590…
10-29 12:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe838d8…
10-29 12:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x5224a1…
10-29 12:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ccc7f…
10-29 12:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xd340b6…
10-29 12:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x524b83…
10-29 12:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc7d481…
10-29 12:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1ff885…
10-29 12:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x209824…
10-29 10:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xec5b3d…
10-29 10:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3428b2…
10-28 19:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x73655b…
10-28 13:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc82294…
10-28 12:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5534f3…
10-28 12:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe9d023…
10-28 12:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7eb391…
08-19 08:19:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xcbf047…
08-19 08:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x149fb4…
08-19 08:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x73bd31…
08-19 08:10:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x33e726…
08-19 08:02:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf7d381…
08-19 07:57:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8e2acc…
08-19 07:57:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:55 UTC	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x00ef00…
08-19 07:56:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x30fdb2…
08-19 07:53:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:50 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4d6a85…
08-19 07:53:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x06df98…
08-19 07:52:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:50 UTC	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x9bfe00…
08-19 07:52:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x07f647…
08-19 07:44:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xea83ee…
08-19 07:44:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaa17fd…
08-19 07:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe338cf…
08-19 07:41:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0xecf719…
08-19 07:40:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9479de…
08-19 07:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xf76f38…
08-19 07:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x06c2b5…
08-19 07:38:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0xe0af08…
08-19 07:36:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x37bed2…
08-19 07:32:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x831bd4…
08-19 07:29:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xddc5be…
08-19 07:28:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x60a771…
08-19 07:28:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xfff95f…
08-19 07:27:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xea288c…
08-19 07:23:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x01f43a…
08-19 07:22:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe251b8…
08-19 07:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb4f062…
08-19 07:17:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x80afb1…
08-19 07:12:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1629c8…
08-19 07:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x84e994…
08-19 07:07:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x7bbb70…
08-19 07:07:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x17ed4c…
08-19 07:02:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x505989…
08-19 07:02:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x05952d…
08-19 06:59:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xf610b6…
08-19 06:58:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x801b25…
08-19 06:52:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb4a4e6…
08-19 06:51:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x861cdf…
08-19 06:48:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb335f4…
08-19 06:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf790f3…
08-19 06:42:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa5f772…
08-19 06:38:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa97a32…
08-19 06:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x465171…
08-19 06:33:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x56fd32…
08-19 06:33:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4aa769…
08-19 06:28:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x076883…
08-19 06:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x58b3ee…
08-19 06:23:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2ce118…
08-19 06:22:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5cfd54…
08-19 06:17:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x26002d…
08-19 06:17:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x00331e…
08-17 16:06:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x32e18a…
08-17 16:02:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x055853…
08-17 15:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:55 UTC	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xecf5d2…
08-17 15:57:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$9	0x665470…
08-17 15:53:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:50 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xfccbda…
08-17 15:52:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0xba7970…
08-17 15:46:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0x28fdb1…
08-17 15:37:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x4b7c55…
08-17 15:36:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xc4f444…
08-17 15:14:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:10 UTC	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xce9750…
08-17 15:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$9	0xbf8e75…
08-17 14:02:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0xa23a02…
08-17 13:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x1ce353…
08-17 13:58:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x72f8ff…
08-17 13:56:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0x87295d…
08-17 13:53:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0x17c3c6…
08-17 13:52:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x77d6c0…