Mad-Toughguy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$649

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

13.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-03 07:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Politics

54% 20% -$556

Other

20% 12% -$48

Sports

19% 57% +$24

Crypto

7% 12% -$69

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	Yes		-20	-$2	4¢	$-1	+$1	05-31 08:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$200	1,907	0	+1,907	No	-$200	05-14 03:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$175	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	06-03 07:49
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$166	506	506	+0	Yes	-$4	06-03 07:49
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	1	$100	22,436	0	+22,436	Yes	-$100	05-13 06:13
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	2	$65	723	0	+723	Yes	-$65	05-14 07:38
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	2	$55	8,810	0	+8,810	No	-$55	05-14 06:39
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	2	$41	59	0	+59	Yes	+$19	01-28 06:48
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	2	$35	216	0	+216	Yes	-$35	05-14 03:20
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	1	$30	1,071	0	+1,071	No	-$30	05-14 03:20
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$30	1,368	0	+1,368	No	-$30	05-14 03:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 03:00 UTC	3	$24	53	0	+53	Down	-$24	02-11 03:12
will trump say thousand or million or billion 8 timesduring meeting with netanyahu	2	$23	19	19	+0	No	+$3	02-11 03:06
Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$20	215	0	+215	No	-$20	05-14 03:46
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$20	29	0	+29	Seahawks	+$9	01-28 06:47
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	2	$20	19	19	+0	cancelled	$0	06-03 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$15	111	0	+111	Down	-$10	05-13 06:43
will trump say russia or putin during fox interview on tuesday	2	$13	22	22	+0	No	+$9	02-11 03:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:45 UTC	3	$13	41	36	+5	Down	+$4	02-11 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:45 UTC	7	$11	103	0	+103	Down	-$11	02-11 02:53
will trump say greenland during iowa speech 395 962	1	$10	9,643	0	+9,643	No	-$10	01-28 05:29
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	1	$10	526	0	+526	No	-$10	05-14 03:19
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	147	0	+147	No	-$10	05-14 03:46
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	83	0	+83	No	-$10	05-14 03:46
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	333	0	+333	No	-$10	05-14 03:22
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	43	0	+43	No	+$33	05-14 03:46
will trump say n word in february	1	$10	23	0	+23	No	-$10	01-28 06:46
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	3,333	0	+3,333	No	-$10	05-13 06:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:30 UTC	3	$9	306	0	+306	Down	-$9	02-11 02:44
will trump say percent 4 times during fox interview on tuesday	3	$8	35	0	+35	Yes	-$8	02-10 20:02
will trump say goy or goyim during meeting with netanyahu	1	$7	114	0	+114	No	-$7	02-11 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 07:49:39	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0xdcca4d…
06-03 07:49:27	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,149	6¢	$75	0x8d31cb…
06-03 07:49:22	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	506	16¢	$81	0xfac388…
05-31 08:08:16	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	506	17¢	$85	0xf31af0…
05-31 08:07:22	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x8f9a15…
05-14 07:38:54	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	BUY	325	11¢	$35	0x7506ca…
05-14 06:39:45	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x8a9b3f…
05-14 03:59:39	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6347fa…
05-14 03:46:35	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	215	9¢	$20	0xed8e63…
05-14 03:46:25	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0xd1797e…
05-14 03:46:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x2fae45…
05-14 03:46:04	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xef2159…
05-14 03:43:17	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,907	10¢	$200	0xbc3c9b…
05-14 03:22:37	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	911	2¢	$20	0xf72a07…
05-14 03:22:28	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	457	2¢	$10	0x2505c1…
05-14 03:22:19	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xaa100f…
05-14 03:20:36	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	1,071	3¢	$30	0x9c8ae2…
05-14 03:20:08	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x40b1e7…
05-14 03:19:49	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	7,143	1¢	$50	0x71a053…
05-14 03:19:33	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x434836…
05-14 03:19:05	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	BUY	398	8¢	$30	0x285e59…
05-13 15:05:48	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x387801…
05-13 06:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x242aa7…
05-13 06:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6718e3…
05-13 06:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd2e055…
05-13 06:40:21	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x200146…
05-13 06:39:11	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,149	9¢	$100	0x2df8c5…
05-13 06:13:29	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	22,436	0¢	$100	0x5d69b4…
05-12 05:21:19	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x164022…
02-11 14:54:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xd3dcea…
02-11 14:52:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	36	24¢	$9	0x4a4baf…
02-11 14:51:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x5dcef6…
02-11 03:16:17	will trump say nothing 2 times during meeting with netanyahu	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xf4ab77…
02-11 03:12:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x71d21d…
02-11 03:08:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xc0db5f…
02-11 03:06:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6fe5dc…
02-11 03:06:33	will trump say thousand or million or billion 8 timesduring meeting with netanyahu	No	SELL	19	72¢	$13	0xe45304…
02-11 03:00:05	will trump say russia or putin during fox interview on tuesday	No	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x2b3b87…
02-11 02:53:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc44329…
02-11 02:53:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5908fe…
02-11 02:49:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x1660d4…
02-11 02:49:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x1ec436…
02-11 02:48:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfe03c2…
02-11 02:48:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x50818e…
02-11 02:47:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x71679d…
02-11 02:44:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xe467ff…
02-11 02:44:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0xd75031…
02-11 02:42:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x25b602…
02-11 02:30:41	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during fox interview on tuesday	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x3344d6…
02-11 02:30:31	will trump say bad bunny or super bowl during fox interview on tuesday	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xe178c8…
02-11 02:27:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x482fe2…
02-11 02:25:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x755b50…
02-11 02:18:21	will trump say peace 8 times during meeting with netanyahu 167	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc68957…
02-11 02:18:11	will trump say thousand or million or billion 8 timesduring meeting with netanyahu	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd2dcc2…
02-11 02:16:25	will trump say goy or goyim during meeting with netanyahu	Yes	BUY	114	6¢	$7	0xfe6c45…
02-11 02:16:13	will trump say palestine or palestinian during meeting with netanyahu	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x36c14b…
02-11 02:15:43	will trump say nothing 2 times during meeting with netanyahu	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc467b6…
02-11 02:14:43	will trump say venezuela during meeting with netanyahu	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x4ade4e…
02-11 02:14:35	will trump say nato during meeting with netanyahu	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x0fcb0a…
02-11 02:14:13	will trump say israel 13 times during meeting with netanyahu	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xa83402…
02-11 02:13:07	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf2777f…
02-10 20:06:11	will damian lillard win the 2026 nba 3 point contest	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x76bea3…
02-10 20:05:37	will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa832d1…
02-10 20:05:31	will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by february 15	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x25ba0e…
02-10 20:05:17	will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xecb0a8…
02-10 20:04:43	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x88f83a…
02-10 20:03:07	will trump say stock market or dow during fox interview on tuesday	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4d7bc0…
02-10 20:02:59	will trump say hell during fox interview on tuesday	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9f20d4…
02-10 20:02:51	will trump say kevin or warsh during fox interview on tuesday	No	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x7b65f2…
02-10 20:02:37	will trump say midterm during fox interview on tuesday	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x9f6e7a…
02-10 20:02:31	will trump say bad bunny or super bowl during fox interview on tuesday	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x1fd99b…
02-10 20:02:21	will trump say biden 3 times during fox interview on tuesday	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x01a341…
02-10 20:02:09	will trump say percent 4 times during fox interview on tuesday	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x875610…
02-10 20:01:59	will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during fox interview on tuesday	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf88ece…
02-10 19:11:31	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xcda1e3…
02-10 19:11:07	2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 curling mixed doubles sweden	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x908870…
02-10 16:54:29	will trumps interview not air	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x18c533…
02-10 16:54:19	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during fox interview on tuesday	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x753ec1…
02-10 16:53:35	will trump say russia or putin during fox interview on tuesday	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xb93048…
02-10 16:53:21	will trump say percent 4 times during fox interview on tuesday	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x29c8bd…
02-10 16:53:07	will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during fox interview on tuesday	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x57c491…
02-10 16:50:45	will trump say percent 4 times during fox interview on tuesday	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x71be78…
01-28 06:48:39	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	58	68¢	$40	0xb7ce8c…
01-28 06:47:55	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xf75b81…
01-28 06:46:49	will trump say n word in february	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x3c3021…
01-28 06:37:11	will trump say penguin in february	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x04b4ba…
01-28 06:37:03	will trump say daddy in february	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xff8aca…
01-28 06:27:23	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0071e2…
01-28 06:27:01	will usd reach 1pt5m iranian rials by january 31	No	BUY	252	0¢	$1	0x7ccfe5…
01-28 06:08:27	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc6f7ba…
01-28 06:07:01	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x39d3f0…
01-28 06:05:33	will trump say stagflation during iowa speech 838	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xafbd47…
01-28 05:29:25	will trump say death tax during iowa speech 413	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x17bab4…
01-28 05:29:13	will trump say greenland during iowa speech 395 962	Yes	BUY	9,643	0¢	$10	0x511b5b…
01-28 05:29:03	will trump say stupid during iowa speech 776 398	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xaf5c3e…
01-28 05:28:55	will trump say stagflation during iowa speech 838	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x283cf1…
01-28 05:28:49	will trump say biden 15 times during iowa speech 792	Yes	BUY	151	1¢	$1	0x991d46…
01-28 05:28:43	will trump say china or russia 15 times during iowa speech 993	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4f6bba…