Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$916

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

968

Trades

2,273

lifetime

Volume

$8.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 10-29 12:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

41% 21% -$564

Crypto

40% 33% -$95

Politics

15% 31% -$71

Sports

2% 21% -$150

Tech

1% 23% -$20

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	Yes		+15	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	09-13 00:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$484	613	613	+0	open	—	10-28 09:10
Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	7	$325	1,290	118	+1,172	No	-$277	10-29 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 23:10 UTC	2	$290	192	192	+0	Up	+$90	07-28 23:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$225	217	217	+0	open	—	10-27 22:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:00 UTC	5	$206	172	120	+51	Up	-$14	07-29 18:01
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$128	300	300	+0	No	-$122	07-19 22:01
Will Joe Strada be the FL-11 Republican nominee?	9	$120	200	200	+0	Yes	-$8	08-16 12:14
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?	12	$108	200	200	+0	Yes	-$4	08-13 01:18
will abnb dip to 176 by august 10 2026	3	$107	100	100	+0	No	+$69	08-11 18:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:45 UTC	8	$96	87	80	+8	Down	+$34	07-31 10:49
will ewy dip to 162 by august 10 2026	2	$85	100	100	+0	No	+$51	08-12 09:07
bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 8pm et	17	$84	195	195	+0	Up	+$20	08-02 00:49
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 11?	5	$77	84	84	+0	No	+$27	08-11 18:46
will mu reach 900 by august 10 2026	2	$72	100	100	+0	Yes	+$34	08-11 18:46
Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.0M in August?	4	$68	40	40	+0	No	-$2	09-17 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:10 UTC	28	$65	125	0	+125	Up	-$1	08-03 11:12
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August?	5	$63	43	37	+5	No	-$3	09-23 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:55 UTC	12	$60	127	0	+127	Down	+$67	07-31 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:05 UTC	26	$59	120	0	+120	Down	-$4	08-03 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:50 UTC	27	$58	125	0	+125	Down	-$3	08-03 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:00 UTC	30	$52	110	0	+110	Down	-$2	08-03 11:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:40 UTC	10	$47	109	0	+109	Up	+$62	08-26 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 16:10 UTC	4	$47	114	0	+114	Down	-$47	08-25 16:10
Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 31?	2	$46	40	40	+0	Yes	+$32	09-01 17:11
Will there be a power grid emergency in the Mid-Atlantic before October 1?	2	$46	40	40	+0	Yes	+$33	09-18 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:25 UTC	8	$46	170	0	+170	Up	-$46	08-25 14:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:45 UTC	19	$45	90	0	+90	Down	-$5	08-03 10:46
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$45	25	25	+0	Yes	+$5	10-29 08:33
will xauusd reach 4500 by august 10 2026	2	$44	100	100	+0	No	+$2	08-11 18:46
Will Lars Holmin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?	2	$44	100	100	+0	No	-$10	08-16 14:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 12:45:43	Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	118	20¢	$24	0xc3630a…
10-29 08:40:23	Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0x2a5567…
10-29 08:40:10	Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	215	46¢	$100	0x525bb8…
10-29 08:39:43	Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	367	27¢	$100	0x2dbad2…
10-29 08:39:29	Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	254	16¢	$40	0x31d33b…
10-29 08:39:02	Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	126	8¢	$10	0x0f349e…
10-29 08:33:07	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xeb1816…
10-29 08:31:56	Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa1847d…
10-29 08:31:50	Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbd7d3d…
10-29 08:31:44	Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x0e00b2…
10-28 09:10:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	613	45¢	$278	0xb7bea5…
10-27 22:48:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	164	44¢	$72	0xe2ee6c…
10-27 22:47:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	167	43¢	$72	0x0304c6…
10-27 21:05:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0x232be6…
10-27 21:04:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x697136…
10-27 20:34:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x664159…
10-27 20:33:33	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xb13b87…
10-27 20:25:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xe5596e…
10-27 20:25:08	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x18ed8d…
10-27 20:21:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	217	59¢	$128	0x336aea…
10-27 20:18:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	348	29¢	$101	0xf7d9d3…
10-11 02:23:14	Will Esteban "Steve" Guerra win the 2026 Cameron County Judge election?	No	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0x4a2231…
10-07 10:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	SELL	256	3¢	$8	0x7e084a…
10-07 10:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0xe1c15a…
10-07 05:57:24	Will Esteban "Steve" Guerra win the 2026 Cameron County Judge election?	No	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x62a323…
10-03 04:22:12	Will Charles Paquin win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x981826…
09-26 12:15:41	Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 0-5%?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x434690…
09-26 01:42:38	Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xf68028…
09-26 01:32:33	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x67ebc1…
09-25 22:28:35	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0xd631bf…
09-25 19:54:21	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xdfcf91…
09-25 10:19:29	Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x073963…
09-25 03:07:18	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xd09465…
09-24 14:31:24	Will the Green Party candidate win 20-25% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x364cf6…
09-24 13:50:01	Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x41b393…
09-24 12:51:45	Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in September?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x5af9ba…
09-24 11:16:12	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x5581ee…
09-24 10:44:39	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x9bf27a…
09-24 10:44:39	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0x3beeac…
09-24 09:54:36	Will PPI YoY be 5.7% in September?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe774c9…
09-24 09:24:08	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x967c3b…
09-24 09:17:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x585595…
09-24 08:53:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x63c4b6…
09-24 08:51:20	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x5d8e96…
09-23 22:48:34	dwts 35 week 3 elimination guirod	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x74d75b…
09-23 22:09:22	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 650,000 and 700,000?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xbf40cd…
09-23 22:09:20	Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xc231f4…
09-23 22:09:20	SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0xb66506…
09-23 22:09:20	Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x9e9a1c…
09-23 22:09:19	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in September?	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x88f2fd…
09-23 22:09:19	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x60a3f6…
09-23 22:09:19	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x06c8aa…
09-23 22:09:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 15%-18%?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xd3458b…
09-23 21:36:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 15%-18%?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x60efbb…
09-23 20:38:17	Will Esteban "Steve" Guerra win the 2026 Cameron County Judge election?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xa2378a…
09-23 12:24:05	Will BlackBerry say "Interest Rate" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x9fe457…
09-23 11:15:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x111566…
09-23 11:10:29	Will BlackBerry say "Interest Rate" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x94c52e…
09-23 11:00:55	Will BlackBerry say "Interest Rate" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xfa8897…
09-23 10:13:07	Will BlackBerry say "Interest Rate" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x03c92e…
09-23 07:50:38	republican senate odds hit 55 by october 31	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x822f89…
09-23 03:48:16	Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x17d537…
09-23 01:37:13	will ukraine target moscow on september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x67f2af…
09-23 00:53:37	Will BlackBerry say "Interest Rate" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xf1dbbe…
09-23 00:16:01	highest wind gust at boston logan at least 50 kt	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0xf2e046…
09-23 00:16:01	highest wind gust at boston logan at least 50 kt	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb61d4d…
09-22 23:45:28	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xbaffec…
09-22 20:49:06	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x0aba82…
09-22 20:49:06	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x09afcb…
09-22 20:04:03	Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Visual Effects at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x3a7d32…
09-22 20:04:01	Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Visual Effects at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x5bc634…
09-22 12:30:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xd870fb…
09-22 07:39:18	Will Cracker Barrel say "Tariff" during earnings call?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x6f8d7b…
09-22 07:39:16	Will Cracker Barrel say "Tariff" during earnings call?	No	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0x566196…
09-22 04:43:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xf7ab17…
09-22 04:41:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8e25ec…
09-22 04:41:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xbd46ee…
09-22 04:41:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x7263bb…
09-22 04:41:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x0c11dc…
09-22 04:38:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd82515…
09-22 02:07:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-06 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x520e33…
09-22 01:03:06	Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?	No	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x69836e…
09-22 00:22:31	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in September?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xcbbd79…
09-22 00:22:31	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in September?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x391269…
09-21 23:11:42	Will Cracker Barrel say "Tariff" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x9addbf…
09-21 21:40:07	Will Cracker Barrel say "Tariff" during earnings call?	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xcaff1a…
09-21 21:03:25	Will Cracker Barrel say "Tariff" during earnings call?	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x2b5a38…
09-21 20:45:12	Will Cracker Barrel say "Tariff" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xe81666…
09-21 20:43:16	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc4c642…
09-21 20:36:09	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xb87f5d…
09-21 18:05:49	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 650,000 and 700,000?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xcb05ac…
09-21 17:10:34	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x7d206c…
09-21 17:06:48	Will “Runway” by Lady Gaga and Doechii win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xec90ee…
09-21 15:42:46	Will Trump say "Epstein" in September?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x113264…
09-21 14:03:23	Will AutoZone say "Interest Rate" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	37	12¢	$4	0xd17985…
09-21 13:07:15	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe1f5cc…
09-21 12:49:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x72fd67…
09-21 11:17:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x4dbe4b…
09-21 10:42:50	Will AutoZone say "Interest Rate" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xc5349c…
09-21 07:17:15	Will AutoZone say "Used Car" during earnings call?	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xb642c4…