Orderly-Justification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$204

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

3,318

Trades

4,991

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-28 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 73% -$203

Sports

0% 62% +$1

Politics

0% 80% -$1

Other

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 08:00 UTC	19	$447	422	422	+0	Down	-$3	06-21 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$210	219	0	+219	Down	+$9	04-27 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$200	208	0	+208	Up	+$8	04-27 19:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 06:15 UTC	18	$189	148	102	+46	Up	+$10	06-21 06:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 07:45 UTC	4	$175	192	192	+0	Down	-$22	06-21 07:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 19:45 UTC	3	$164	149	149	+0	Down	+$1	06-20 19:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 19:00 UTC	8	$159	118	118	+0	Up	+$32	06-20 19:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 18:15 UTC	9	$153	127	127	+0	Up	+$9	06-20 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$150	213	0	+213	Up	-$150	04-27 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 07:15 UTC	2	$145	102	102	+0	Down	+$45	06-21 07:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 19:30 UTC	5	$142	204	204	+0	Up	-$76	06-20 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	5	$138	82	80	+2	Up	+$20	04-27 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$128	134	10	+124	Down	-$2	04-27 19:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 00:15 UTC	17	$122	202	0	+202	Up	-$63	06-21 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$117	65	64	+1	Down	+$6	04-25 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	7	$114	63	62	+0	Down	+$3	04-25 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$114	60	59	+0	Up	+$4	04-25 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 08:40 UTC	13	$113	100	100	+0	Up	+$0	06-21 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	6	$109	116	10	+106	Down	+$0	04-25 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$108	57	57	+0	Down	+$2	04-25 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 22:30 UTC	5	$107	141	141	+0	Up	-$6	06-20 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$103	54	53	+0	Up	+$3	04-26 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$97	68	66	+2	Up	+$29	04-26 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$93	77	25	+52	Up	+$5	04-26 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$93	92	5	+87	Up	+$2	04-26 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 22:45 UTC	2	$93	166	0	+166	Up	-$93	06-20 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 17:00 UTC	8	$93	178	0	+178	Down	+$85	06-20 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 00:45 UTC	6	$88	157	0	+157	Up	-$88	06-21 00:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 17:45 UTC	9	$82	145	0	+145	Down	-$35	06-20 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$81	77	26	+51	Down	+$5	04-27 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x91f34d…
10-28 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x73dfdc…
10-28 18:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x896b09…
10-28 09:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcf52c5…
10-27 21:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xeb6afa…
10-27 13:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbcfb59…
10-27 11:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2ed123…
10-27 06:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4b2260…
10-27 00:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6da8d1…
10-26 22:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x89e3f7…
10-26 22:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbeda68…
10-26 19:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd51da0…
10-26 19:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x43204e…
10-26 16:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x021ebb…
10-26 16:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa1f42a…
10-26 13:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x671f8c…
10-26 12:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5e12fd…
10-26 11:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa578a8…
10-25 20:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x35319b…
10-25 17:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x49cb10…
10-25 11:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfb22fa…
10-25 06:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x10eabd…
10-25 03:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x41df9e…
10-24 21:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7a366a…
10-24 18:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcf96bb…
10-24 17:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1aed7e…
10-24 07:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd7c95c…
10-24 06:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc93f7f…
10-24 05:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xed6534…
10-24 02:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe69bd9…
10-23 20:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x796fbe…
10-23 19:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x68c7d1…
10-23 18:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4130e2…
10-23 17:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe09341…
10-23 15:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd2588e…
10-23 10:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd63824…
10-23 08:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xba3c41…
10-23 04:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x929165…
10-22 20:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x45f3e5…
10-22 20:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc3db2a…
10-22 20:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x702aac…
10-22 19:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xac31dc…
10-22 08:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8d59d6…
10-22 07:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x35e023…
10-22 07:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x22db12…
10-22 01:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6fa0ee…
10-22 00:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf9f930…
10-22 00:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x23c735…
10-21 23:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb167aa…
10-21 20:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x994250…
10-21 19:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x074f82…
10-21 18:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd1888a…
10-21 18:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcd4fcb…
10-21 12:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3d736e…
10-21 07:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7fc4aa…
10-21 07:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x448861…
10-21 06:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x61c881…
10-20 22:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb71b85…
10-20 22:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x455997…
10-20 20:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa4287d…
10-20 19:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd03330…
10-20 19:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x870ae6…
10-20 18:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x38d8cb…
10-20 17:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4cb6a4…
10-20 14:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2fed08…
10-20 12:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xde1bdc…
10-20 10:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x339937…
10-20 08:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x414f74…
10-20 07:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x73e2e7…
10-20 07:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6a7281…
10-20 06:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfce3bf…
10-20 02:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb74de6…
10-19 11:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2c58e7…
10-19 09:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x64d422…
10-19 08:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3e6c94…
10-19 06:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x90290e…
10-19 02:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4d8a55…
10-18 23:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x78f1b1…
10-18 20:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc82d2d…
10-18 19:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd1a07b…
10-18 18:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x058448…
10-18 11:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa13725…
10-18 10:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x839e33…
10-18 08:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa8aa67…
10-18 04:18:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa73090…
10-18 00:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x463a3a…
10-17 22:33:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa5285c…
10-17 20:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfb23b5…
10-17 18:58:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x015811…
10-17 16:09:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x40ca5c…
10-17 13:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfdebd0…
10-17 09:24:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x847796…
10-17 07:53:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x18a35c…
10-17 07:38:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa650b9…
10-17 07:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x219420…
10-17 05:29:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xad6384…
10-17 02:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x157839…
10-17 02:13:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x66015f…
10-17 02:09:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdbbf5a…
10-17 01:23:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc428a2…