Cautious-Microlending — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$464

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

594

Trades

3,076

lifetime

Volume

$215.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 10-22 18:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Other

100% 97% +$464

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 29c	21	$4.2K	2,222	1,968	+254	Yes	+$4	04-24 03:48
highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 30corhigher	13	$3.6K	2,077	1,500	+578	Yes	+$5	04-17 02:31
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 14c	8	$2.8K	1,420	1,420	+1	No	+$9	04-03 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 21?	32	$2.3K	1,133	1,133	+0	No	+$9	07-21 01:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?	22	$2.2K	1,098	1,098	+0	Yes	+$9	05-01 09:07
highest temperature in wellington on april 13 2026 19c	50	$2.0K	957	1,083	-126	Yes	+$4	04-13 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12?	4	$2.0K	1,147	872	+275	No	+$11	06-12 06:06
will bitget resume withdrawals by september 27 2026	3	$2.0K	1,014	1,014	+0	No	+$29	09-27 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 13?	4	$1.9K	955	955	+0	No	+$9	10-12 15:35
highest temperature in hong kong on april 6 2026 28c	40	$1.8K	890	927	-38	Yes	+$4	04-07 22:50
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 29?	1	$1.8K	1,800	0	+1,800	No	+$2	04-29 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 25?	2	$1.8K	892	892	+0	No	+$6	09-25 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 29?	18	$1.7K	860	860	-0	Yes	+$7	04-29 09:40
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 30c	31	$1.7K	508	1,200	-692	Yes	+$2	04-20 02:31
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 4 2026 24c	1	$1.7K	1,698	0	+1,698	Yes	+$2	04-04 14:33
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 15c	3	$1.6K	1,198	438	+760	No	+$3	04-13 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 21?	2	$1.6K	803	803	+0	No	+$7	09-21 01:08
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 28c	6	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$1	04-18 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 6?	9	$1.6K	1,100	500	+600	No	+$6	05-06 13:56
highest temperature in beijing on april 6 2026 18c	2	$1.6K	1,594	0	+1,594	Yes	+$2	04-06 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?	12	$1.6K	782	782	+0	Yes	+$9	07-23 05:06
highest temperature in ankara on april 2 2026 20corhigher	6	$1.5K	1,546	0	+1,546	No	+$3	04-02 15:51
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 14c	23	$1.5K	1,558	0	+1,558	No	+$20	04-23 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	16	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	+$4	05-05 21:40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 30?	8	$1.5K	1,000	500	+500	No	+$6	07-30 03:53
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 17c	15	$1.5K	1,488	0	+1,488	Yes	+$12	04-03 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 29?	46	$1.4K	1,469	0	+1,469	Yes	+$31	04-29 10:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?	12	$1.4K	1,358	0	+1,358	No	+$3	05-17 14:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 25?	4	$1.3K	677	677	+0	Yes	+$3	04-25 09:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 10 2026 19c	7	$1.3K	1,149	200	+949	No	+$9	04-10 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 18:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x223bd9…
10-22 15:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbfd797…
10-22 15:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x82216a…
10-22 15:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xedeb90…
10-22 15:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xa5a62f…
10-22 15:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0b0d12…
10-22 15:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x81f74f…
10-22 15:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x478a83…
10-22 15:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xbad623…
10-22 15:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0d1151…
10-22 15:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xd08fc2…
10-22 15:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x1b4d5d…
10-22 15:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x25e8da…
10-22 15:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6327a7…
10-22 15:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x0b98a9…
10-22 15:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc0164f…
10-22 15:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x62a799…
10-22 15:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xb11def…
10-22 15:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x4e1d53…
10-22 15:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	58	97¢	$57	0xfb62df…
10-22 15:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xd7d0a6…
10-22 15:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x66e86a…
10-22 15:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x31168a…
10-22 15:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x206276…
10-22 15:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xddfaeb…
10-22 15:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xca5335…
10-22 15:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x58d809…
10-22 15:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x5ddb49…
10-22 15:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	Yes	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0xeaf3ea…
10-22 15:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x73b8e2…
10-22 15:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x6d1ea2…
10-21 08:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xbdb55e…
10-21 08:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xb23e77…
10-21 08:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x437de7…
10-21 08:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xc7795c…
10-21 08:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x22c02b…
10-21 07:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x383d64…
10-21 07:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x326ac5…
10-21 07:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x54c192…
10-21 07:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0xe50f04…
10-21 07:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x7948a9…
10-21 07:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xba8f54…
10-21 07:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xe2780e…
10-21 07:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x6a933d…
10-17 15:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x80d91f…
10-17 15:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 17?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x534a37…
10-17 15:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	667	100¢	$665	0xe8f5e9…
10-14 16:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 15?	No	SELL	393	100¢	$393	0x23942b…
10-14 16:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xf38834…
10-14 16:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x43d7c9…
10-14 16:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 15?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xdf2718…
10-14 16:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15?	No	SELL	199	100¢	$199	0x218ce6…
10-14 16:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x393d20…
10-14 15:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf0f3c0…
10-14 15:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x993ba1…
10-14 15:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x80841a…
10-14 15:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x2fe339…
10-14 15:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x3afebd…
10-14 15:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x66e62a…
10-14 15:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x48b7e5…
10-14 15:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x26a434…
10-14 15:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0xfdf0cf…
10-14 15:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	86	95¢	$82	0xb56937…
10-14 15:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdf958f…
10-14 15:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x303ccf…
10-14 15:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x3b13b9…
10-14 15:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x0c52a7…
10-14 15:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x682c1f…
10-14 15:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x94d10c…
10-14 15:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc66376…
10-14 15:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x317a98…
10-14 15:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x64f4d4…
10-14 15:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	125	97¢	$122	0xd84f8e…
10-12 15:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 13?	No	SELL	955	100¢	$954	0xfd6d45…
10-12 14:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xcbad60…
10-12 14:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9699c9…
10-12 14:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	895	99¢	$886	0xe1e3c9…
10-04 03:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x53f29c…
10-04 03:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x861d93…
10-04 03:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x607b3a…
10-01 14:30:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4620f5…
10-01 14:30:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6042e7…
10-01 14:30:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x54263e…
10-01 14:30:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x601eed…
10-01 14:30:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	570	100¢	$569	0x406fbe…
10-01 14:30:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x0f3ed1…
10-01 14:19:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 1?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe42d6b…
10-01 14:19:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 1?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4ce7b4…
10-01 14:19:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 1?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3b85c4…
10-01 14:19:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 1?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3aa941…
10-01 14:19:36	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 1?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0xf200f5…
10-01 14:16:11	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 1?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x611795…
10-01 09:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7d3c25…
10-01 09:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x721da0…
10-01 09:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdb9f06…
10-01 09:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a7dea…
10-01 08:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf92aa5…
10-01 07:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xf3c44f…
10-01 07:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xf12741…
09-30 07:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x6dc213…