Inexperienced-Credenza — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$277

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

344

Trades

1,009

lifetime

Volume

$8.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 08-11 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 67% -$155

Other

22% 40% -$103

Politics

2% 50% -$16

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$231	220	220	+0	Yes	+$4	03-30 08:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 12:30 UTC	20	$205	114	117	-2	Down	+$26	04-02 12:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 14:15 UTC	11	$189	120	119	+1	Up	-$5	04-02 14:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	13	$186	200	131	+69	Down	-$42	04-27 08:48
highest temperature in ankara on april 2 2026 18c	4	$178	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	04-02 15:23
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 04:45 UTC	18	$173	100	100	+0	Up	+$11	04-01 04:59
highest temperature in ankara on april 2 2026 16c	10	$130	121	120	+1	No	+$2	04-02 05:07
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 10:30 UTC	15	$124	109	89	+20	Down	-$38	04-03 10:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 12:15 UTC	3	$119	60	60	+0	Up	+$1	04-02 12:30
bitcoin up or down april 3 2026 9pm et	4	$108	55	55	+0	Down	+$1	04-04 02:00
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 8am et	13	$108	57	56	+0	Down	+$3	04-04 13:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 06:45 UTC	2	$99	50	50	+0	Down	+$1	04-01 07:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 06:00 UTC	3	$94	50	50	+0	Up	+$4	04-01 06:12
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 12c	9	$94	65	53	+12	Yes	+$6	04-02 07:27
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 10:45 UTC	13	$94	70	69	+1	Up	+$2	04-03 11:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 16:00 UTC	5	$92	50	50	+0	Down	+$7	04-01 16:11
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 07:00 UTC	4	$90	50	50	+0	Up	+$10	04-01 07:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 11:00 UTC	16	$89	90	83	+7	Down	-$24	04-03 11:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 06:15 UTC	2	$89	50	50	+0	Up	+$10	04-01 06:30
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 06:30 UTC	2	$87	50	49	+1	Up	+$12	04-01 06:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 04:15 UTC	12	$82	50	50	+0	Up	+$5	04-01 04:22
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:45 UTC	2	$79	40	40	+0	Up	+$1	04-02 13:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 19:15 UTC	6	$78	40	40	+0	Up	+$1	04-03 19:29
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 14:15 UTC	5	$75	40	40	+0	Up	+$4	04-04 14:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 11:30 UTC	6	$72	40	40	+0	Up	+$8	04-03 11:45
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 21:35 UTC	3	$69	35	35	+0	Down	+$1	04-03 21:40
dogecoin up or down april 3 2026 10pm et	6	$68	35	35	+0	Down	+$1	04-04 03:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 12:45 UTC	7	$67	40	40	+0	Down	+$13	04-02 12:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 21:30 UTC	7	$67	35	35	+0	Down	+$3	04-03 21:45
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$64	50	50	+0	No	-$1	05-07 13:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 15:53:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5edaf7…
08-11 14:55:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4b34e2…
08-11 14:52:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xec2641…
08-11 14:52:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x31b63f…
08-11 14:49:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x46e535…
08-11 14:46:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x62ec21…
08-11 14:44:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7f0a5d…
08-11 14:42:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x61c483…
06-26 17:43:01	dota2 pr1 bald 2026 06 26	Team Bald	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x96bfb5…
06-26 17:09:40	dota2 pr1 bald 2026 06 26	Team Bald	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xd52044…
06-26 12:39:04	dota2 navi mouz 2026 06 26	Natus Vincere	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7e7a31…
06-26 12:28:17	dota2 navi mouz 2026 06 26	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4816b5…
06-26 12:22:08	wta wa osaka 2026 06 26	Naomi Osaka	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x772070…
06-26 11:10:29	wta wa osaka 2026 06 26	Naomi Osaka	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x70acab…
06-26 11:04:46	atp balshaw nedic 2026 06 26	Felix Balshaw	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2d6806…
06-26 10:13:43	atp balshaw nedic 2026 06 26	Felix Balshaw	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x45d238…
06-13 19:25:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x9ac44c…
06-13 18:39:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xeff8a2…
06-13 18:11:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x684dcc…
06-13 18:00:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x531bba…
06-13 14:13:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xecef21…
06-13 14:12:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x2c7b78…
06-13 13:37:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xe8c415…
05-29 15:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xf8d428…
05-29 15:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xadba2c…
05-29 14:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc0209f…
05-29 14:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x29f604…
05-29 13:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd9004f…
05-29 13:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x91ce7f…
05-28 16:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa22200…
05-28 14:27:04	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x539088…
05-28 14:27:04	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x42c149…
05-28 04:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3a71f4…
05-28 03:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x92fadd…
05-27 11:31:58	Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	magic	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x0404f7…
05-27 11:30:50	Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	9z	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xc8e92a…
05-27 11:29:29	Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner	9z	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xde2c66…
05-26 20:31:09	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	Heroic	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x37c71e…
05-26 07:33:32	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xc038d7…
05-23 19:16:25	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x57d67d…
05-23 00:45:33	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x779830…
05-22 17:04:50	Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x7eb11e…
05-22 15:41:58	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x71ec33…
05-22 14:50:35	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x2e729e…
05-22 14:09:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xdb5d4f…
05-22 13:08:14	Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x2e14f0…
05-22 12:53:29	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xfca9e7…
05-22 11:16:26	Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x277e00…
05-22 11:15:27	Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xf00456…
05-22 09:40:59	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x4b3de9…
05-22 09:40:06	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x4d30c9…
05-22 08:08:42	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x473497…
05-22 06:37:19	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xf85e8b…
05-22 06:21:20	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9fa963…
05-22 04:42:19	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xf41328…
05-22 04:42:19	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb61b2b…
05-21 11:07:12	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	paiN	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x199856…
05-20 22:21:52	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	paiN	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1c9090…
05-19 20:28:40	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x23db0e…
05-19 20:28:34	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x846550…
05-19 20:28:29	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x24d2d4…
05-19 20:28:24	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x3d9896…
05-19 20:28:19	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x8659c2…
05-19 20:28:13	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x57af45…
05-19 20:21:34	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0xb4a109…
05-19 20:18:48	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x203e9c…
05-19 20:18:45	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x04c025…
05-19 20:18:43	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xbb1e70…
05-19 20:18:39	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x653b0e…
05-19 20:18:38	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x512969…
05-18 22:48:16	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x4d1b5b…
05-18 18:04:04	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xd206e6…
05-18 18:01:58	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0x0351f5…
05-18 17:49:36	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x03fd72…
05-18 14:51:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x8ab65f…
05-18 14:49:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xdbdfd7…
05-15 02:46:57	Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x8aff54…
05-14 21:47:06	Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x566499…
05-14 18:14:32	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x8036ac…
05-14 16:23:29	Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x3366e6…
05-14 15:26:49	Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x7cf4fd…
05-13 20:07:02	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.5B in Q3?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x4826da…
05-13 19:15:37	Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0xe45d62…
05-13 18:57:58	Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xab5d40…
05-13 15:20:16	Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf9cd40…
05-13 15:20:16	Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	No	BUY	17	74¢	$13	0x226d62…
05-13 13:08:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x1b7af0…
05-13 13:08:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x668b64…
05-13 11:35:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xb8abc4…
05-13 10:07:26	Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x41e579…
05-13 10:06:28	Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x4fb655…
05-13 10:06:19	Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xe64503…
05-13 10:02:00	Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 75% and 76%?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x8f3d30…
05-13 09:50:31	Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 75% and 76%?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x05f20f…
05-12 22:40:51	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.5B in Q3?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x1817ee…
05-12 10:07:02	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf40263…
05-11 14:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x06a922…
05-11 14:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x14a3a5…
05-11 14:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4c07c7…
05-11 14:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0ae606…