Inexperienced-Credenza — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.5%

Resolved

Trades

957

lifetime

Volume

$7.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 06-13 19:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 23% $-3

Other

20% 0% $-40

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$231	220	220	+0	open	—	03-30 08:58
sol updown 15m 1775133000	20	$205	114	117	-2	open	—	04-02 12:45
sol updown 15m 1775139300	11	$189	120	119	+1	open	—	04-02 14:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	13	$186	200	131	+69	open	—	04-27 08:48
highest temperature in ankara on april 2 2026 18c	4	$178	100	100	+0	open	—	04-02 15:23
sol updown 15m 1775018700	18	$173	100	100	+0	open	—	04-01 04:59
highest temperature in ankara on april 2 2026 16c	10	$130	121	120	+1	open	—	04-02 05:07
sol updown 15m 1775212200	15	$124	109	89	+20	open	—	04-03 10:44
sol updown 15m 1775132100	3	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	04-02 12:30
bitcoin up or down april 3 2026 9pm et	4	$108	55	55	+0	open	—	04-04 02:00
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 8am et	13	$108	57	56	+0	open	—	04-04 13:00
sol updown 15m 1775025900	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 07:00
sol updown 15m 1775023200	3	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 06:12
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 12c	9	$94	65	53	+12	open	—	04-02 07:27
sol updown 15m 1775213100	13	$94	70	69	+1	open	—	04-03 11:00
sol updown 15m 1775059200	5	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 16:11
sol updown 15m 1775026800	4	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 07:14
sol updown 15m 1775214000	16	$89	90	83	+7	open	—	04-03 11:15
sol updown 15m 1775024100	2	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 06:30
sol updown 15m 1775025000	2	$87	50	49	+1	open	—	04-01 06:45
sol updown 15m 1775016900	12	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 04:22
sol updown 15m 1775137500	2	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	04-02 13:58
xrp updown 15m 1775243700	6	$78	40	40	+0	open	—	04-03 19:29
doge updown 15m 1775312100	5	$75	40	40	+0	open	—	04-04 14:30
btc updown 15m 1775215800	6	$72	40	40	+0	open	—	04-03 11:45
xrp updown 5m 1775252100	3	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	04-03 21:40
dogecoin up or down april 3 2026 10pm et	6	$68	35	35	+0	open	—	04-04 03:00
sol updown 15m 1775133900	7	$67	40	40	+0	open	—	04-02 12:58
xrp updown 15m 1775251800	7	$67	35	35	+0	open	—	04-03 21:45
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$64	50	50	+0	No	$-1	05-07 13:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 19:25:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x9ac44c…
06-13 18:11:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x684dcc…
06-13 18:00:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x531bba…
06-13 14:13:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xecef21…
06-13 14:12:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x2c7b78…
06-13 13:37:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xe8c415…
05-29 15:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xf8d428…
05-29 15:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xadba2c…
05-29 14:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc0209f…
05-29 14:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x29f604…
05-29 13:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd9004f…
05-29 13:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x91ce7f…
05-28 16:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa22200…
05-28 14:27:04	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x539088…
05-28 14:27:04	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x42c149…
05-28 04:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3a71f4…
05-28 03:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x92fadd…
05-27 11:31:58	Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	magic	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x0404f7…
05-27 11:30:50	Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	9z	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xc8e92a…
05-27 11:29:29	Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner	9z	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xde2c66…
05-26 07:33:32	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xc038d7…
05-23 19:16:25	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x57d67d…
05-23 00:45:33	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x779830…
05-22 15:41:58	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x71ec33…
05-22 14:50:35	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x2e729e…
05-22 14:09:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xdb5d4f…
05-22 12:53:29	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xfca9e7…
05-22 09:40:59	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x4b3de9…
05-22 09:40:06	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x4d30c9…
05-22 08:08:42	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x473497…
05-22 06:37:19	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xf85e8b…
05-22 06:21:20	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9fa963…
05-22 04:42:19	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xf41328…
05-22 04:42:19	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb61b2b…
05-21 11:07:12	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	paiN	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x199856…
05-20 22:21:52	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	paiN	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1c9090…
05-19 20:28:40	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x23db0e…
05-19 20:28:34	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x846550…
05-19 20:28:29	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x24d2d4…
05-19 20:28:24	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x3d9896…
05-19 20:28:19	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x8659c2…
05-19 20:28:13	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x57af45…
05-19 20:21:34	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0xb4a109…
05-19 20:18:48	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x203e9c…
05-19 20:18:45	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x04c025…
05-19 20:18:43	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xbb1e70…
05-19 20:18:39	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x653b0e…
05-19 20:18:38	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x512969…
05-18 22:48:16	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x4d1b5b…
05-18 14:51:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x8ab65f…
05-18 14:49:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xdbdfd7…
05-13 20:07:02	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.5B in Q3?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x4826da…
05-13 13:08:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x1b7af0…
05-13 13:08:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x668b64…
05-13 11:35:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xb8abc4…
05-12 22:40:51	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.5B in Q3?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x1817ee…
05-12 10:07:02	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf40263…
05-11 14:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x06a922…
05-11 14:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x14a3a5…
05-11 14:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4c07c7…
05-11 14:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0ae606…
05-10 13:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x96a377…
05-10 13:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x54037d…
05-09 10:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x2fbd66…
05-09 10:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x186d26…
05-09 05:58:50	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x6c9de9…
05-09 05:57:52	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb351a2…
05-09 02:14:31	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xb3a0cf…
05-09 02:13:22	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x30de35…
05-09 01:12:53	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x71ff74…
05-09 01:12:28	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1651bf…
05-08 14:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x367609…
05-08 14:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8c93a5…
05-08 12:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0x04c843…
05-08 12:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x284fb4…
05-08 07:12:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x86a199…
05-08 07:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5e62bb…
05-08 00:11:41	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0xce74ed…
05-08 00:11:10	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc7f8c0…
05-07 13:23:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x68760d…
05-07 12:52:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf50042…
05-07 12:52:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0xe2fc58…
05-06 14:34:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xf97be8…
05-06 13:40:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	78¢	$4	0xd8c35b…
05-06 13:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xec9a06…
05-06 12:13:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x3c7226…
05-06 11:50:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xa9c4ce…
05-06 10:45:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x89dec4…
05-06 10:36:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	No	BUY	27	57¢	$15	0x0fe214…
05-06 10:30:58	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x34cd46…
05-06 10:29:00	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x4ffbba…
05-06 10:20:44	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x061043…
05-05 13:58:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x944d0b…
05-05 13:57:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7ddc91…
05-05 13:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb811c3…
05-05 13:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe7c04c…
05-04 17:30:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x51ec0d…
05-04 17:11:10	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	Yes	SELL	49	47¢	$23	0xd34961…
05-04 17:09:34	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0x90d2f9…
05-04 15:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x44fb60…