Grandiose-Assumption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

Trades

974

lifetime

Volume

$5.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 06-03 00:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 34% $-62

Sports

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1774941300	7	$95	69	68	+2	open	—	03-31 07:29
btc updown 15m 1775104200	2	$67	52	52	+0	open	—	04-02 04:40
btc updown 15m 1774922400	3	$63	50	34	+16	open	—	03-31 02:15
btc updown 15m 1775071800	12	$60	42	42	+0	open	—	04-01 19:38
btc updown 15m 1774979100	2	$59	42	40	+2	open	—	03-31 17:57
btc updown 15m 1774947600	2	$58	43	39	+5	open	—	03-31 09:15
btc updown 15m 1774945800	2	$57	42	39	+3	open	—	03-31 08:35
btc updown 15m 1774968300	2	$55	39	38	+1	open	—	03-31 14:50
btc updown 15m 1774995300	2	$55	38	37	+1	open	—	03-31 22:27
btc updown 15m 1774948500	2	$53	47	36	+11	open	—	03-31 09:23
btc updown 15m 1775081700	3	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	04-01 22:30
btc updown 15m 1774958400	2	$45	39	38	+2	open	—	03-31 12:11
btc updown 15m 1774928700	2	$41	31	27	+4	open	—	03-31 04:00
will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	13	$41	56	56	+0	open	—	03-30 07:35
btc updown 15m 1775072700	5	$40	56	56	+0	open	—	04-01 19:58
btc updown 15m 1774929600	2	$39	31	28	+3	open	—	03-31 04:15
btc updown 15m 1774932300	2	$38	33	26	+7	open	—	03-31 04:59
btc updown 15m 1774931400	4	$36	46	21	+25	open	—	03-31 04:45
btc updown 15m 1774892700	4	$36	32	30	+2	open	—	03-30 17:55
btc updown 15m 1774938600	2	$34	43	42	+2	open	—	03-31 06:42
btc updown 15m 1774942200	4	$32	43	43	+1	open	—	03-31 07:40
btc updown 15m 1774946700	2	$32	44	42	+2	open	—	03-31 08:52
btc updown 15m 1774896300	3	$28	39	22	+17	open	—	03-30 18:42
btc updown 15m 1775151900	1	$27	55	0	+55	open	—	04-02 17:45
btc updown 15m 1775184300	1	$27	55	0	+55	open	—	04-03 02:45
btc updown 15m 1775177100	3	$27	40	0	+40	open	—	04-03 00:52
btc updown 15m 1775201400	2	$27	48	0	+48	open	—	04-03 07:30
btc updown 15m 1775136600	4	$27	56	0	+56	open	—	04-02 13:30
btc updown 15m 1775180700	1	$25	56	0	+56	open	—	04-03 01:45
btc updown 15m 1775152800	1	$25	55	0	+55	open	—	04-02 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 00:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x540def…
06-02 23:00:22	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xf6f787…
06-02 22:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x2359ed…
06-02 20:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x29b8ae…
06-02 20:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x804256…
06-02 19:38:36	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc3baad…
06-02 19:30:22	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x53b038…
06-02 19:15:10	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x17336e…
06-02 18:32:09	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xfbca17…
06-02 18:30:26	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xad7bc9…
06-02 18:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x9107d9…
06-02 18:30:24	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x459b11…
06-02 17:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x64d552…
06-02 15:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0xf6cc9a…
06-02 14:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xfa94d4…
06-02 14:15:17	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x6f40fb…
06-02 13:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x773920…
06-02 08:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x770a5f…
06-02 06:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x99e088…
06-02 06:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd26088…
06-02 02:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0x5b2b75…
06-01 22:45:08	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xaa2d48…
06-01 16:27:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xb56184…
06-01 16:12:33	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8e57dd…
06-01 16:12:31	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xc780f1…
06-01 14:59:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3e32ca…
06-01 14:59:11	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7db668…
06-01 14:14:27	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5fca19…
06-01 13:29:55	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x42c405…
06-01 13:29:53	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x64b996…
06-01 13:29:53	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x2f39bd…
06-01 13:28:04	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfee6fd…
06-01 13:28:04	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xbfea00…
06-01 13:28:03	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa8bce8…
06-01 13:28:03	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x85c4d7…
06-01 13:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x41cbe9…
06-01 09:58:13	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x898730…
06-01 08:29:47	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb7542b…
05-31 08:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xa25163…
05-31 00:30:18	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x3cad90…
05-30 15:45:13	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0xa20741…
05-30 15:45:11	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf763f8…
05-30 15:45:06	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x343ccd…
05-30 15:15:08	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xa20ad9…
05-30 04:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x559cf4…
05-29 16:55:06	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x60ea32…
05-29 15:45:13	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xd2ec11…
05-29 14:40:23	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x332e93…
05-29 14:40:21	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x8e87e5…
05-29 14:25:18	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xec46dc…
05-29 10:25:09	sol updown 5m 1780050300	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x077a1a…
05-29 02:55:06	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xb64a3d…
05-29 02:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x5fa862…
05-29 01:35:20	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x47c863…
05-28 23:08:43	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xe767af…
05-28 22:51:51	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcf2022…
05-28 13:56:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0xeea30c…
05-28 11:40:12	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3db7c2…
05-28 04:21:10	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$3	0x54cab2…
05-28 04:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$3	0x34da5f…
05-28 03:51:14	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0xe221d1…
05-28 03:40:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x5210d0…
05-28 03:31:07	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x101e08…
05-28 03:12:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x29b2d2…
05-28 01:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x749800…
05-27 22:33:09	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x0065ea…
05-27 17:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x24d17b…
05-27 15:55:55	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x50d593…
05-27 14:28:24	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd845f1…
05-27 14:28:24	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xcc72ed…
05-27 14:28:22	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xe0da16…
05-27 14:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf6f988…
05-27 13:20:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x56e400…
05-27 10:10:11	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xeed6c2…
05-27 09:25:35	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xc99c6d…
05-27 09:25:32	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4d704d…
05-26 22:55:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7d4bc1…
05-26 17:09:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0xffa92e…
05-26 17:09:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x38f011…
05-26 16:50:17	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x99e329…
05-26 14:05:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4ea32a…
05-19 01:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4842fe…
05-19 01:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1889eb…
05-19 00:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3b694a…
05-18 16:10:26	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x5af166…
05-18 15:45:21	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x75bcd8…
05-18 15:27:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf49a00…
05-18 15:27:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x41f54b…
05-18 12:40:33	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb7f068…
05-18 12:35:21	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0xd5caff…
05-18 12:25:07	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xd05ec4…
05-18 12:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0xbcee92…
05-18 10:23:19	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x16c422…
05-18 10:10:20	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x24b318…
05-18 08:35:15	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5e5967…
05-18 05:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xba5974…
05-18 03:36:32	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x05e7b3…
05-18 03:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc3a492…
05-18 03:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4d866d…
05-18 02:55:19	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x3d818e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	674	$368.9K	23,585	06-03 00:09
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	612	$227.5K	33,636	06-03 00:09
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	608	$282.6K	85,293	06-03 00:09
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	607	$281.9K	49,677	06-03 00:09
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	604	$256.8K	83,163	06-03 00:09
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	595	$1.74M	78,833	06-03 00:09
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	592	$93.7K	29,984	06-03 00:09
Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7	590	$105.4K	9,681	06-02 22:29