Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$100

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

525

Trades

1,290

lifetime

Volume

$3.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-08-01

last 10-13 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 43% -$100

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No		+21	$18	80¢	$17	-$1	10-13 19:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 21:30 UTC	10	$48	43	43	+0	Down	+$10	08-19 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 18:40 UTC	3	$43	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	08-02 18:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 23:45 UTC	2	$41	67	67	+0	Down	+$31	08-07 23:47
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 16:00 UTC	8	$39	39	39	-0	Down	+$6	08-18 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$38	38	38	+0	Up	+$5	09-04 15:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 16:45 UTC	9	$35	34	34	+0	Up	$0	08-18 16:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 15:45 UTC	7	$30	37	37	+0	Up	+$1	08-19 15:59
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 23:10 UTC	7	$27	19	19	+0	Up	+$7	08-07 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$26	37	37	+0	Down	-$2	09-05 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:30 UTC	3	$26	15	15	+0	Up	+$4	08-02 17:35
Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	6	$26	36	36	+0	Down	+$0	09-05 21:52
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	5	$26	33	33	+0	Down	-$5	09-04 00:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 16:45 UTC	3	$23	19	19	+0	Down	+$3	08-19 16:48
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 20:30 UTC	3	$22	19	19	+0	Down	+$3	08-19 20:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:00 UTC	3	$22	29	12	+17	Up	$0	08-20 00:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 23:55 UTC	7	$21	29	29	+0	Down	+$7	08-07 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 18:35 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	08-02 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	5	$21	31	31	+0	Down	+$4	09-04 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	4	$21	17	17	+0	Down	+$7	09-04 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$21	17	17	+0	Down	+$6	09-04 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:15 UTC	10	$20	17	17	+0	Down	+$4	08-11 14:17
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	13	$20	40	40	+0	Up	-$7	09-06 14:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 16:00 UTC	4	$20	20	20	-0	Down	+$4	08-18 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	4	$20	17	17	+0	Down	+$6	09-04 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$20	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	09-05 22:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 21:00 UTC	4	$20	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	08-19 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:05 UTC	4	$20	29	5	+24	Down	+$8	08-03 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$20	16	16	+0	Down	+$4	09-04 14:18
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	6	$19	16	16	-0	Down	+$5	09-04 00:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 16:30 UTC	4	$19	20	20	-0	Up	+$3	08-18 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 19:17:52	Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xfbdad4…
09-09 03:01:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xafabb1…
09-09 03:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xb323cc…
09-09 01:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xc4a019…
09-09 01:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xf6c80d…
09-09 01:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0x9e4faf…
09-09 01:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x115bac…
09-09 01:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x5f2e3b…
09-09 01:30:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xe5623c…
09-09 01:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xe35877…
09-09 01:16:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	32¢	$2	0x5fbc74…
09-09 01:16:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x663329…
09-09 01:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc312de…
09-09 00:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x488f6d…
09-09 00:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3dbcbf…
09-08 00:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xeb988f…
09-08 00:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd65ce1…
09-08 00:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x955a12…
09-08 00:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x575843…
09-08 00:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x0d519c…
09-08 00:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xadb6ef…
09-08 00:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xeffbd7…
09-08 00:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x4dac84…
09-08 00:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0xea5565…
09-08 00:20:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc9c2b8…
09-08 00:18:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0xe4f304…
09-08 00:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xe89063…
09-08 00:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xdb8dc2…
09-08 00:05:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x100041…
09-08 00:04:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x9ebe13…
09-08 00:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x8dfdde…
09-07 01:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x78ccd0…
09-07 01:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x1bf3ed…
09-07 01:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x760d15…
09-07 01:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xa05815…
09-07 01:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x162062…
09-07 01:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x100cf8…
09-07 01:30:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xc7a218…
09-07 01:30:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xa44db6…
09-07 01:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xacd6b3…
09-07 01:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9ed0f3…
09-07 00:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x1391c7…
09-07 00:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x62e7c1…
09-07 00:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xebf667…
09-07 00:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xd4e6a0…
09-07 00:16:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xdecc79…
09-07 00:15:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xee6d87…
09-07 00:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x4b57d8…
09-07 00:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0xa72756…
09-07 00:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x8bafea…
09-07 00:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x23c5cf…
09-07 00:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x23380b…
09-07 00:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xef6a10…
09-07 00:01:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x85e881…
09-07 00:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xe7dd81…
09-06 15:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0x72307c…
09-06 15:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	47¢	$9	0xd673c6…
09-06 15:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xd4f029…
09-06 15:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x4c2992…
09-06 15:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x3e4ffe…
09-06 15:01:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	25¢	$5	0xf48957…
09-06 15:00:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	47¢	$9	0x041c66…
09-06 14:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xbae51e…
09-06 14:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x37cd16…
09-06 14:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x53d447…
09-06 14:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd50e28…
09-06 14:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x044f64…
09-06 14:38:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x847989…
09-06 14:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x77ef51…
09-06 14:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x35a16d…
09-06 14:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x0044bd…
09-06 14:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x000110…
09-06 14:30:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x5f6720…
09-06 14:30:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbefb27…
09-06 14:30:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3c2d73…
09-06 14:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xeac697…
09-06 14:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xb9b5cb…
09-06 14:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x65f888…
09-06 14:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x441e86…
09-06 14:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x92333d…
09-06 14:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0xf24e87…
09-06 14:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xc87152…
09-06 06:04:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x61242b…
09-06 06:00:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbb84ad…
09-06 04:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	14¢	$2	0x33fb9e…
09-06 04:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x76a672…
09-06 04:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x95a8cd…
09-06 02:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x7865da…
09-06 02:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x661fa0…
09-06 02:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xa7cddd…
09-06 02:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb9087b…
09-06 02:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x950a71…
09-06 02:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x7742d2…
09-06 02:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xcb3541…
09-05 22:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xa62f2c…
09-05 22:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x301670…
09-05 21:52:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x4d1f30…
09-05 21:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x13a9a5…
09-05 21:48:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0x5d5f7b…
09-05 21:48:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x961973…