Realized P&L
+$21.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$382
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
226
Trades
5,094
lifetime
Volume
$1.32M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$260
Open exposure
$18.4K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-31 23:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
84% 83% +$21,145
Politics
6% 70% -$627
Tech
6% 100% +$312
Crypto
3% 78% +$553
Sports
0% 83% +$333
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +11,070 $9,129 72¢ $8.0K -$1,103 10-29 00:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -11,070 -$8,419 70¢ $-7694 +$725 10-30 19:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +909 $727 80¢ $732 +$4 10-31 21:53
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -234 -$208 97¢ $-227 -$18 04-29 20:34
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -21,000 -$305 1¢ $-221 +$85 08-23 16:44
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -21,000 -$29 1¢ $-210 -$181 09-13 06:14
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +12,777 $80 2¢ $192 +$112 10-29 15:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -11,070 -$255 2¢ $-172 +$83 10-29 07:37
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -21,000 -$132 1¢ $-116 +$17 10-12 20:09
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -64,004 -$64 0¢ $-96 -$32 08-19 15:45
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -64,004 -$64 0¢ $-96 -$32 08-23 00:25
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -64,004 -$64 0¢ $-96 -$32 09-25 00:52
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -64,004 -$64 0¢ $-96 -$32 08-19 15:46
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -64,004 -$128 0¢ $-96 +$32 10-07 15:02
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -21,000 -$154 0¢ $-95 +$60 10-12 20:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -11,070 -$55 1¢ $-72 -$17 10-29 00:17
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -13,001 -$13 0¢ $-46 -$33 07-25 13:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -11,070 -$22 0¢ $-39 -$17 10-29 00:17
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -13,001 -$26 0¢ $-33 -$7 07-30 20:50
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -13,001 -$13 0¢ $-20 -$7 07-25 13:59
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -13,001 -$26 0¢ $-20 +$7 07-25 13:59
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -13,001 -$13 0¢ $-20 -$7 10-12 14:23
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -13,001 -$26 0¢ $-20 +$7 07-25 21:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +0 -$2 99¢ $0 +$2 09-30 05:46