Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$865

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

3,382

Trades

7,041

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$81

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-16

last 10-27 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 59% -$445

Other

38% 61% -$406

Politics

2% 0% -$4

Tech

1% 0% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 556 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No		+81	$50	67¢	$54	+$4	09-22 01:56
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes		+81	$38	33¢	$27	-$12	09-22 04:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	4	$224	144	144	+0	open	—	10-20 22:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	10	$182	176	176	+0	Yes	-$2	09-22 11:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 16:10 UTC	35	$163	320	0	+320	Down	-$63	06-25 16:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 16:40 UTC	69	$156	313	0	+313	Down	-$34	06-25 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:40 UTC	54	$125	235	0	+235	Down	-$27	06-25 18:45
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	8	$124	202	40	+162	open	—	09-22 04:56
Will Denmark be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	5	$97	65	65	+0	open	—	09-28 18:29
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	2	$97	154	154	+0	open	—	10-21 11:50
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$96	200	0	+200	England	-$96	07-06 01:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:50 UTC	2	$93	77	76	+1	Up	+$54	08-17 20:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 00:00 UTC	33	$80	175	0	+175	Up	-$4	06-26 00:13
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?	5	$73	117	48	+69	Yes	-$6	09-21 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:35 UTC	2	$73	59	58	+1	Down	+$33	08-17 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:35 UTC	1	$61	120	0	+120	Down	+$59	06-25 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 21:10 UTC	2	$61	44	44	+0	Down	+$21	08-17 21:13
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?	6	$60	42	42	+0	open	—	10-24 14:46
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	2	$55	42	42	+0	open	—	10-27 12:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 00:30 UTC	20	$55	121	0	+121	Up	+$0	06-26 00:43
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	4	$52	42	42	+0	open	—	10-23 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$51	101	0	+101	Up	-$51	09-03 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	Up	-$50	09-02 19:07
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	2	$50	34	34	+0	No	$0	09-24 14:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 55%-60%?	3	$49	32	32	+0	open	—	09-26 19:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?	18	$49	44	40	+4	Yes	$0	07-08 06:37
Will Colorado have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	3	$48	32	32	+0	open	—	09-24 22:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 22:10 UTC	2	$48	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	08-11 22:13
Will the Vegas Golden Knights record 100+ points?	3	$48	34	34	+0	open	—	10-26 04:51
Will Silkeborg be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	2	$46	32	32	+0	open	—	09-24 19:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 23:15 UTC	2	$44	27	26	+1	Up	+$5	08-17 23:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:45 UTC	2	$43	25	25	+0	Down	+$3	08-17 20:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:40:35	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	42	65¢	$27	0x13e4a8…
10-27 12:40:32	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	42	68¢	$28	0x9ebff4…
10-27 12:11:24	Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x3ebd50…
10-27 12:11:21	Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd551c7…
10-26 20:14:39	Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?	Yes	SELL	35	10¢	$4	0xf6944c…
10-26 20:14:18	Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x77c91a…
10-26 20:14:17	Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x107442…
10-26 20:14:15	Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?	Yes	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x4c5936…
10-26 14:51:36	Will Sui reach $1.40 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	15¢	$3	0x53d25b…
10-26 14:39:42	Will Sui reach $1.40 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x3775dc…
10-26 14:39:42	Will Sui reach $1.40 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0x247b44…
10-26 14:14:30	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	Yes	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x886f07…
10-26 14:14:27	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	Yes	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xd97a06…
10-26 12:24:20	Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	42	39¢	$16	0xb32505…
10-26 12:24:17	Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	42	41¢	$17	0x82f6ed…
10-26 04:51:24	Will the Vegas Golden Knights record 100+ points?	Yes	SELL	34	67¢	$23	0x2d6990…
10-26 04:51:23	Will the Vegas Golden Knights record 100+ points?	Yes	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x57a0a8…
10-26 04:51:21	Will the Vegas Golden Knights record 100+ points?	Yes	BUY	26	71¢	$19	0xa4b6fe…
10-25 23:06:36	Will the Republican Party win the TX-08 House seat?	No	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x1992ea…
10-25 23:06:33	Will the Republican Party win the TX-08 House seat?	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x710c9a…
10-25 23:06:32	Will the Republican Party win the TX-08 House seat?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xf25764…
10-25 14:07:47	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xa42407…
10-25 14:07:44	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x86c7b8…
10-25 04:40:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	40	14¢	$5	0xc340f3…
10-25 04:18:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0xcd5d7e…
10-25 04:18:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xa29fac…
10-25 00:47:48	Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	No	SELL	28	62¢	$17	0xc0635d…
10-25 00:46:48	Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	No	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0xc9f137…
10-24 14:46:23	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?	No	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0x6c0aaf…
10-24 13:58:59	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xc789ce…
10-24 12:58:53	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x02d231…
10-24 12:58:45	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xd52cfe…
10-24 12:58:45	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0703bf…
10-24 12:58:45	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?	No	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x01313e…
10-23 15:21:30	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	59¢	$25	0xe447fd…
10-23 15:21:14	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x88dece…
10-23 15:21:14	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x755aec…
10-23 15:21:14	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x6ff006…
10-22 16:57:39	Will Donte DiVincenzo win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xfe010d…
10-22 16:57:39	Will Donte DiVincenzo win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x6cf305…
10-22 14:51:39	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x0bd1fe…
10-22 14:51:32	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x615f3a…
10-22 14:51:32	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x4dc175…
10-22 13:32:59	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	42	18¢	$7	0xd28531…
10-22 13:32:50	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xc455f0…
10-22 13:32:50	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xb81422…
10-22 12:56:00	Will a UK social media ban take effect by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	34	36¢	$12	0xdf13bb…
10-22 12:55:51	Will a UK social media ban take effect by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x3f9f21…
10-22 12:55:50	Will a UK social media ban take effect by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x10721b…
10-22 07:09:00	Will zekken play for Sentinels in 2027?	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x0efde4…
10-22 07:06:56	Will zekken play for Sentinels in 2027?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x1e45b1…
10-22 07:01:54	Will zekken play for Sentinels in 2027?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xb0c7c4…
10-22 07:01:54	Will zekken play for Sentinels in 2027?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xa6fd71…
10-21 17:01:08	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	53	19¢	$10	0x12c4cb…
10-21 17:00:45	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xa54120…
10-21 17:00:45	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x79735b…
10-21 11:50:21	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	SELL	154	30¢	$46	0x0c3c36…
10-21 11:50:15	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	BUY	154	33¢	$51	0x22a263…
10-20 22:41:00	Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	144	76¢	$110	0xcc5742…
10-20 22:40:48	Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xc68416…
10-20 22:40:48	Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	99	80¢	$79	0x6cc9a4…
10-20 22:40:47	Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0xefe09b…
09-28 18:30:09	Will Drake Maye have 3,799.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	21	31¢	$6	0xe13323…
09-28 18:29:54	Will Denmark be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x6f1073…
09-28 10:42:42	Will Drake Maye have 3,799.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x8f1546…
09-28 05:00:36	Will Rico Dowdle have 549.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	21	13¢	$3	0xdd1cc3…
09-28 02:41:56	Will Garrett Wilson have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	16	47¢	$7	0x3795c2…
09-28 00:57:02	Will Garrett Wilson have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x283869…
09-27 19:56:00	Will Garrett Wilson have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x1ad480…
09-27 19:35:03	Will Carnell Tate have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x9de022…
09-27 19:34:26	Will Carnell Tate have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x1868dd…
09-27 18:03:05	Will Quinshon Judkins have 499.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x95ba38…
09-27 17:48:32	Will Quinshon Judkins have 499.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	21	31¢	$6	0x780dca…
09-27 15:04:14	Will Rico Dowdle have 549.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0xfc54ef…
09-27 15:04:14	Will Rico Dowdle have 549.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xc606b3…
09-27 08:07:33	Will Hassania Agadir be relegated from the 2026-27 Morocco Botola Pro?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x4083df…
09-27 08:07:06	Will Hassania Agadir be relegated from the 2026-27 Morocco Botola Pro?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xfbd085…
09-27 08:05:35	Will Hassania Agadir be relegated from the 2026-27 Morocco Botola Pro?	Yes	BUY	41	28¢	$12	0x1e60bf…
09-27 03:06:48	Will "Verity" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	41	17¢	$7	0x9f2c66…
09-27 03:06:15	Will "Verity" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	41	21¢	$9	0xb1021c…
09-26 20:25:06	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0xf30b5d…
09-26 20:24:44	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	49¢	$13	0xb3d145…
09-26 20:24:32	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x655773…
09-26 19:50:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 55%-60%?	No	SELL	22	76¢	$17	0x340a05…
09-26 19:43:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 55%-60%?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xc506f4…
09-26 19:40:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 55%-60%?	No	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x7fa0ed…
09-26 13:18:08	Will Denmark be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x571702…
09-25 22:20:00	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0xa5bfe5…
09-25 22:19:08	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0x69769d…
09-25 16:41:56	Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	40	37¢	$15	0x15dc57…
09-25 12:32:35	Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xc16e04…
09-25 12:32:32	Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x5767e7…
09-25 12:32:32	Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x422355…
09-25 12:32:32	Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x362755…
09-25 11:55:36	Will Denmark be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x8fdfcc…
09-25 10:21:32	Will Borussia Dortmund reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x1febe9…
09-25 10:20:38	Will Borussia Dortmund reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xebd357…
09-25 09:25:51	Will Cameron Ward have 3,299.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	40	41¢	$17	0x8cc665…
09-25 09:25:00	Will Cameron Ward have 3,299.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	40	46¢	$19	0x4c164a…
09-25 08:50:29	Will Jeremiyah Love have 899.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	40	36¢	$15	0xa24f92…