Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$166

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

1,433

Trades

2,789

lifetime

Volume

$6.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-28 00:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 65% -$75

Other

24% 44% -$94

Politics

0% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 552 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	99¢	$5	+$2	10-28 01:58
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+120	$3	2¢	$2	-$1	10-10 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	—	+5	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-28 01:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 ty navi 2026 09 27	5	$143	1,032	62	+970	Team Yandex	-$22	09-27 15:12
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	7	$110	190	90	+100	Team Spirit	+$8	08-23 10:17
dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22 game2	4	$74	108	45	+63	Team Spirit	+$16	08-23 04:07
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	5	$69	71	55	+16	Team Falcons	+$15	04-25 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 21:30 UTC	24	$64	135	0	+135	Up	-$4	08-30 21:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 21:55 UTC	24	$61	123	5	+118	Up	$0	08-30 21:56
dota2 cs 1win 2026 09 21	11	$61	55	55	+0	1win	+$4	09-21 13:18
dota2 pari sar1 2026 04 21	2	$59	39	38	+1	PARIVISION	+$18	04-21 14:31
dota2 cs 1win 2026 09 21 game2	9	$56	65	55	+10	Conventus Stellarum	+$3	09-21 11:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 22:35 UTC	20	$53	90	20	+70	Up	+$4	08-30 22:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 22:30 UTC	21	$52	100	10	+90	Up	+$2	08-30 22:32
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner	4	$52	46	46	+0	Natus Vincere	+$12	05-02 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:05 UTC	24	$51	105	0	+105	Down	-$1	08-31 11:08
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	3	$48	50	50	+0	Pipsqueak+4	+$2	09-20 16:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:20 UTC	24	$48	100	0	+100	Up	-$13	08-31 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:55 UTC	19	$47	95	0	+95	Up	-$2	08-31 11:56
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	5	$46	58	17	+41	TEAM VISION	-$30	08-23 08:10
dota2 lgd xtreme 2026 09 21 game1	7	$44	34	34	+0	Xtreme Gaming	+$3	09-21 14:34
dota2 ty liquid 2026 03 15	11	$44	216	129	+87	Team Yandex	-$5	03-15 21:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:25 UTC	16	$43	80	0	+80	Up	-$8	08-31 14:25
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	5	$41	80	12	+68	Team Spirit	+$38	08-23 12:28
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	6	$40	30	20	+10	Yes	-$3	10-05 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 09:50 UTC	2	$40	45	0	+45	Up	-$17	08-26 09:54
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 2 Winner	4	$37	20	20	+0	Natus Vincere	+$1	09-22 12:13
dota2 nem cs 2026 09 23	4	$37	130	130	+0	Team Nemesis	+$2	09-23 11:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 22:15 UTC	15	$36	70	1	+70	Down	$0	08-30 22:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 23:15 UTC	13	$35	65	5	+60	Down	-$3	08-30 23:16
dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22	2	$33	22	22	+0	Team Spirit	+$3	08-23 02:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 16:10 UTC	16	$30	65	0	+65	Up	$0	08-29 16:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:45 UTC	13	$30	60	0	+60	Down	-$10	08-31 15:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x67d19f…
10-28 01:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x2faa2a…
10-28 01:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa1315f…
10-28 01:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc729f9…
10-28 01:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x6afc70…
10-28 01:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5245c4…
10-28 01:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcc3eb1…
10-28 01:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xbc47c4…
10-28 01:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xca1ebc…
10-28 01:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xedca26…
10-28 01:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x00e04a…
10-28 01:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x62aefc…
10-28 01:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x4b76db…
10-28 01:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb35618…
10-28 01:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2e32aa…
10-28 01:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9dca98…
10-28 01:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8439aa…
10-28 01:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4227ec…
10-28 01:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbb8fb4…
10-28 01:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x49f422…
10-28 01:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xab8099…
10-28 01:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x000b04…
10-28 01:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x772c48…
10-28 01:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1aa3bc…
10-28 01:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa6a7c4…
10-28 01:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xeef826…
10-28 00:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8a9e5d…
10-28 00:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0e4e5c…
10-28 00:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xccc958…
10-28 00:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2ff44b…
10-28 00:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x45eba4…
10-28 00:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd7923f…
10-28 00:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc9904d…
10-28 00:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x8e48bc…
10-28 00:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe2d15a…
10-28 00:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb7e221…
10-28 00:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x313d53…
10-28 00:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0e8492…
10-28 00:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe52168…
10-28 00:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4b6d0b…
10-28 00:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xbc7e65…
10-28 00:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x5f607b…
10-28 00:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf84a4f…
10-27 23:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5f299c…
10-27 23:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xab2693…
10-27 23:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc4b764…
10-27 23:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x700fe8…
10-27 23:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1be74c…
10-27 23:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5c5022…
10-27 23:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xccbd5c…
10-27 23:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe12d21…
10-27 23:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xab9d91…
10-27 23:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa40823…
10-27 23:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x617005…
10-27 23:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8ea481…
10-27 23:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x540f04…
10-27 23:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb29858…
10-27 23:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xff3378…
10-27 23:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x97348b…
10-27 22:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x11f618…
10-27 22:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6bd7f7…
10-27 22:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa989f8…
10-27 22:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x031229…
10-27 22:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x193953…
10-27 22:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x57f23e…
10-27 22:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe4a62d…
10-27 21:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x916b59…
10-27 21:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6b737b…
10-27 21:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc92cb6…
10-27 21:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc53dbc…
10-27 21:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfa6ff2…
10-27 21:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x111a07…
10-27 21:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x516d41…
10-27 21:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd93c1d…
10-27 20:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x87eb02…
10-27 20:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf351a7…
10-27 20:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x545b9a…
10-27 20:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5ff8ea…
10-27 20:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe8859e…
10-27 20:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x09a789…
10-27 20:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc537ac…
10-27 20:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7b3a67…
10-27 20:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x229569…
10-27 20:19:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe4873f…
10-27 20:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x76a8e0…
10-27 20:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x44a86c…
10-27 20:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4e0a74…
10-27 20:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa984c7…
10-27 20:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0370c5…
10-27 17:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x739b90…
10-27 17:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3b41bd…
10-27 17:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3990fe…
10-27 17:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x502a22…
10-27 17:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x24f340…
10-27 17:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8dde32…
10-27 17:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfacd0a…
10-27 17:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xf8b518…
10-27 17:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2c3087…
10-27 17:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x03f8f6…
10-27 17:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcf17bb…