Rundown-Concrete — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,558

lifetime

Volume

$48.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 15:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

44% 0% —

Other

40% 0% $-3

Crypto

16% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	92	$5.3K	7,275	8,225	-950	open	—	04-15 01:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	34	$3.3K	2,572	2,572	+0	open	—	04-16 00:48
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	15	$1.5K	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	04-15 20:44
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	11	$1.4K	1,270	1,270	+0	open	—	04-14 00:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	17	$1.1K	1,377	1,377	-0	open	—	05-28 06:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	10	$848	1,450	2,290	-840	open	—	05-29 09:05
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	9	$784	1,164	1,164	+0	open	—	04-15 21:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	12	$730	1,880	1,880	+0	open	—	05-08 07:46
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	14	$713	366	623	-258	open	—	03-28 09:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	12	$712	960	960	+0	open	—	04-15 15:37
will the us invade iran by march 31	8	$572	1,000	2,400	-1,400	open	—	03-19 02:36
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	14	$544	997	997	+0	open	—	04-01 10:27
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	10	$521	567	567	+0	open	—	04-27 09:58
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	13	$504	348	348	+0	open	—	02-03 16:48
will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	9	$473	210	450	-240	open	—	03-21 19:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$420	600	600	+0	open	—	03-31 18:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	3	$418	670	350	+320	open	—	04-17 18:41
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	10	$415	520	497	+23	open	—	05-23 09:37
cdr alb fcb 2026 02 03 fcb	7	$408	220	220	+0	open	—	02-03 21:56
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	6	$385	301	301	-1	open	—	03-12 05:25
hood up or down on april 16 2026	4	$369	245	475	-230	open	—	04-16 20:37
acn cmr mar 2026 01 09 mar	7	$348	175	175	+0	open	—	01-09 21:00
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	5	$316	237	237	+0	open	—	03-27 12:53
lal bar lev 2026 02 22 bar	2	$301	151	151	+0	open	—	02-22 17:25
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$298	250	350	-100	open	—	03-18 13:52
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	3	$287	1,068	870	+198	open	—	05-25 19:06
lal rea bet 2026 01 04 rea	2	$277	141	141	+0	open	—	01-04 16:36
ucl slp fcb1 2026 01 21 fcb1	5	$274	148	148	+0	open	—	01-21 21:46
epl eve bre 2026 01 04 bre	2	$270	135	135	+0	open	—	01-04 16:58
epl tot ars 2026 02 22 ars	2	$263	132	132	+0	open	—	02-22 18:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 15:41:07	bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x88b572…
06-09 14:21:40	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0xd43f62…
06-09 14:17:58	bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x0d1fff…
06-09 14:16:39	bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x515da5…
06-09 14:11:13	bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	No	SELL	43	42¢	$18	0x4f655b…
06-09 11:13:46	bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xb10537…
06-09 06:45:48	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	42	29¢	$12	0xd45dd2…
06-09 06:44:51	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xdb1385…
06-09 06:44:49	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb2368b…
06-08 15:18:28	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	No	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xcc46d2…
06-08 15:11:43	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0x68053d…
06-08 15:07:25	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	76	52¢	$39	0xa43bee…
06-08 15:04:00	ethereum above 1700 on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	28	38¢	$11	0x136fb8…
06-08 12:00:13	ethereum above 1700 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0xd59882…
06-08 08:08:00	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	76	24¢	$18	0x0cc9c0…
06-08 07:17:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	250	30¢	$75	0xfa95a8…
06-08 07:08:12	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	250	30¢	$75	0x2a31fa…
06-06 16:41:21	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	SELL	321	12¢	$38	0x6c4672…
06-06 16:14:21	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	SELL	55	14¢	$8	0xd029ff…
06-06 16:10:36	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	BUY	376	14¢	$52	0xc38480…
06-02 13:40:31	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Rafael Jodar	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x2d3e6f…
05-31 15:44:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x3aa2de…
05-30 15:53:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	53¢	$117	0x6ccf87…
05-30 15:27:46	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	SELL	29	60¢	$17	0x7ecd20…
05-30 15:23:55	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	61¢	$11	0x80c55f…
05-30 15:23:55	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x196d60…
05-30 06:28:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	270	35¢	$94	0x05af5e…
05-29 17:08:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	197	44¢	$87	0x84a2fb…
05-29 17:08:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	73	44¢	$32	0x8214bf…
05-29 15:33:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	45	50¢	$22	0x759e2c…
05-29 09:11:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0x67790a…
05-29 09:05:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	840	14¢	$118	0xff9631…
05-29 05:49:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	43¢	$34	0x22d742…
05-29 05:45:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	43¢	$34	0x64ed99…
05-28 18:23:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	34¢	$119	0xf18a1f…
05-28 17:16:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	34¢	$119	0xbabbc4…
05-28 15:01:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	160	52¢	$83	0x8cc2c3…
05-28 14:58:57	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	160	52¢	$83	0xf1ce25…
05-28 06:17:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	52¢	$119	0x6d36ea…
05-28 06:17:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	51¢	$118	0x19f602…
05-27 17:46:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	307	38¢	$118	0x3e467c…
05-27 17:38:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	38¢	$118	0xa7157c…
05-27 14:51:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	380	31¢	$118	0xa0989d…
05-27 14:27:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	380	33¢	$125	0x9e1cf5…
05-26 15:59:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	388	19¢	$75	0xa5056d…
05-26 06:51:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0xf96a31…
05-26 06:19:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	428	25¢	$109	0x2dc8b1…
05-26 06:15:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	294	27¢	$78	0x9d4884…
05-26 06:15:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0x0b7306…
05-26 06:11:20	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	164	27¢	$44	0x0f4445…
05-26 06:10:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	482	26¢	$126	0x301514…
05-26 05:21:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	540	26¢	$141	0x1554bf…
05-26 04:54:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	540	26¢	$141	0xe16648…
05-26 04:23:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	540	24¢	$130	0x32d9ee…
05-26 04:22:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	540	24¢	$130	0x9c6924…
05-25 19:06:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	SELL	870	15¢	$130	0xc3c7e8…
05-25 18:28:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	870	15¢	$130	0x9e7a2e…
05-25 15:11:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	770	17¢	$131	0xa3483b…
05-25 15:02:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	770	14¢	$108	0xadef6d…
05-25 15:01:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xbcdee1…
05-25 08:11:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x55b489…
05-25 06:42:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	198	13¢	$26	0x9b7bf6…
05-25 04:57:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	279	38¢	$107	0xa4f784…
05-25 04:45:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	279	40¢	$112	0xe3d053…
05-24 08:02:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	258	44¢	$113	0x19f5e5…
05-24 08:00:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	44¢	$113	0xee436d…
05-24 07:53:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x291806…
05-24 07:49:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x38e0d7…
05-23 09:37:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	SELL	197	49¢	$97	0x28d729…
05-23 08:19:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	BUY	220	48¢	$106	0x365ac6…
05-23 07:49:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x6a314d…
05-23 07:48:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x00a14b…
05-23 06:56:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	SELL	46	47¢	$22	0xf9a9a6…
05-23 06:53:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbd8d19…
05-23 06:43:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	BUY	44	51¢	$23	0x7c5b29…
05-22 07:09:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	390	29¢	$113	0x5c237d…
05-22 06:54:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	390	29¢	$113	0x11e4e4…
05-20 07:20:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	SELL	300	34¢	$102	0x88a679…
05-20 06:42:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xd5da05…
05-20 06:42:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xeb1a8f…
05-20 06:42:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe4381b…
05-20 06:42:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xba584f…
05-20 06:41:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xaefae3…
05-20 06:41:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x7e5713…
05-20 06:41:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xcd790f…
05-19 13:21:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x5eecab…
05-19 13:20:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x48b5c5…
05-19 13:17:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	85	33¢	$28	0xf1fe19…
05-19 13:16:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	85	32¢	$27	0xd18b9e…
05-15 01:41:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	270	32¢	$85	0x8fa73d…
05-15 01:36:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	270	32¢	$86	0xe23205…
05-11 20:56:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x9ed595…
05-11 20:56:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x444658…
05-11 20:56:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	39¢	$49	0xa5ad5f…
05-11 20:56:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x2094b6…
05-11 20:56:11	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x424b69…
05-11 20:56:11	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x21901b…
05-11 20:56:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	39¢	$15	0xf2b9c4…
05-08 16:35:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	228	40¢	$91	0xa601bb…
05-08 09:27:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0xb17599…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	342	$15.4M	59,410	06-02 15:09
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	313	$4.96M	48,180	06-02 15:09
Classic-Potato 0x972b…78ba	299	$800.6K	18,628	04-21 22:30
Parallel-Flock 0x507e…beae	289	$2.66M	18,576	04-28 18:49
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	264	$57.1K	1,985	04-10 09:17
(anonymous) 0x2652…2a1d	262	$551.1K	12,063	04-04 18:20
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	259	$46.0K	11,403	06-10 00:36
(anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2	258	$63.9K	7,476	03-19 01:06