Wrong-Shackle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

137

Trades

5,767

lifetime

Volume

$21.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-22 11:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 48% $-28

Other

21% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 884 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	15	$4.4K	5,992	0	+5,992	open	—	02-23 20:40
btc updown 5m 1781119500	356	$1.2K	2,656	0	+2,656	open	—	06-10 19:29
btc updown 5m 1781119200	258	$1.2K	2,475	0	+2,475	open	—	06-10 19:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$808	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-09 21:52
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$75	500	0	+500	open	—	01-16 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	7	$37	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 01:09
btc updown 5m 1783261800	9	$36	48	0	+48	open	—	07-05 14:32
btc updown 5m 1783201200	9	$34	48	0	+48	open	—	07-04 21:43
btc updown 5m 1784474100	8	$34	59	0	+59	open	—	07-19 15:17
btc updown 5m 1783247400	8	$31	48	0	+48	open	—	07-05 10:31
btc updown 5m 1783258200	10	$30	52	0	+52	open	—	07-05 13:31
btc updown 5m 1783254600	10	$29	48	0	+48	open	—	07-05 12:32
btc updown 15m 1783261800	10	$29	47	0	+47	open	—	07-05 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 19:34
btc updown 5m 1783252200	9	$29	46	0	+46	open	—	07-05 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	05-02 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	05-02 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	05-02 19:42
btc updown 15m 1783260900	8	$28	48	0	+48	open	—	07-05 14:27
btc updown 5m 1783198500	9	$28	48	0	+48	open	—	07-04 20:57
btc updown 5m 1783201500	9	$27	48	0	+48	open	—	07-04 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	4	$27	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 02:58
btc updown 5m 1784474400	7	$27	50	0	+50	open	—	07-19 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	4	$27	16	16	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 03:14
btc updown 5m 1783259400	11	$27	48	0	+48	open	—	07-05 13:52
btc updown 5m 1783254300	10	$27	54	0	+54	open	—	07-05 12:26
btc updown 5m 1783245600	10	$27	46	0	+46	open	—	07-05 10:01
btc updown 5m 1783245300	13	$27	50	0	+50	open	—	07-05 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	5	$27	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 07:54
btc updown 5m 1783252500	9	$27	48	0	+48	open	—	07-05 11:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 11:47:12	btc updown 15m 1784720700	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf33829…
07-22 11:46:16	btc updown 15m 1784720700	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x12a056…
07-22 11:46:06	btc updown 5m 1784720700	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xb4edf4…
07-22 11:45:37	btc updown 5m 1784720700	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x6cb760…
07-22 11:45:36	btc updown 5m 1784720700	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xed8fca…
07-22 11:37:28	btc updown 5m 1784720100	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x97b19b…
07-22 11:37:09	btc updown 5m 1784720100	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa535c6…
07-22 11:36:34	btc updown 5m 1784720100	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8c4709…
07-22 11:35:45	btc updown 5m 1784720100	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x1ccb72…
07-22 11:34:03	btc updown 5m 1784719800	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x05cc67…
07-22 11:31:45	btc updown 5m 1784719800	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xce6cdf…
07-22 11:31:43	btc updown 5m 1784719800	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xdc5a51…
07-22 11:27:22	btc updown 5m 1784719500	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x4c75a5…
07-22 11:21:43	btc updown 15m 1784718900	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x122c9a…
07-22 11:19:36	btc updown 15m 1784718900	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x307169…
07-22 11:17:55	btc updown 5m 1784718900	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xca4227…
07-22 11:17:54	btc updown 15m 1784718900	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb42511…
07-22 11:14:12	btc updown 5m 1784718600	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x747c8d…
07-22 11:14:07	btc updown 5m 1784718600	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x81c725…
07-22 11:13:54	btc updown 5m 1784718600	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x2ff729…
07-22 11:13:34	btc updown 15m 1784718000	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x794d0f…
07-22 11:13:34	btc updown 5m 1784718600	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x507efe…
07-22 11:12:46	btc updown 5m 1784718600	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfe07c2…
07-22 11:08:55	btc updown 5m 1784718300	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb62aaf…
07-22 11:08:54	btc updown 5m 1784718300	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xb13325…
07-22 11:08:10	btc updown 5m 1784718300	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xf52a34…
07-22 11:07:12	btc updown 5m 1784718300	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8ac11b…
07-22 11:07:03	btc updown 5m 1784718300	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe9f4da…
07-22 11:05:03	btc updown 15m 1784718000	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5b5e17…
07-22 11:03:04	btc updown 5m 1784718000	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x5905d4…
07-22 11:02:39	btc updown 15m 1784718000	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x9e4204…
07-22 11:02:39	btc updown 5m 1784718000	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x47484c…
07-22 11:02:25	btc updown 5m 1784718000	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0xd58014…
07-22 11:02:16	btc updown 5m 1784718000	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x71ce78…
07-22 11:01:58	btc updown 5m 1784718000	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x9f0a31…
07-22 11:01:54	btc updown 5m 1784718000	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xa7a36a…
07-22 11:00:51	btc updown 15m 1784718000	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x2cac59…
07-22 10:56:12	btc updown 5m 1784717700	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x2dc1db…
07-22 10:55:57	btc updown 5m 1784717700	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x6fb505…
07-22 10:53:31	btc updown 5m 1784717400	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x39352c…
07-22 10:51:01	btc updown 5m 1784717400	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x177acb…
07-22 10:43:03	btc updown 5m 1784716800	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xabf0de…
07-22 10:42:52	btc updown 5m 1784716800	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x48066f…
07-22 10:42:25	btc updown 5m 1784716800	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xe35be1…
07-22 10:42:22	btc updown 5m 1784716800	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x909926…
07-22 10:42:15	btc updown 5m 1784716800	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x9e0ece…
07-22 10:42:13	btc updown 15m 1784716200	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x3a3c68…
07-22 10:37:12	btc updown 5m 1784716500	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x117b4a…
07-22 10:37:09	btc updown 5m 1784716500	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x17a3fc…
07-22 10:36:45	btc updown 5m 1784716500	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xfacaae…
07-22 10:36:42	btc updown 5m 1784716500	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xcbf233…
07-22 10:35:52	btc updown 15m 1784716200	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xde1abb…
07-22 10:35:52	btc updown 5m 1784716500	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xaaaf15…
07-22 10:35:46	btc updown 15m 1784716200	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xc73b64…
07-22 10:35:46	btc updown 5m 1784716500	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x2fe102…
07-22 10:35:42	btc updown 5m 1784716500	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x94a730…
07-22 10:34:28	btc updown 15m 1784716200	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x0f1b52…
07-22 10:34:16	btc updown 5m 1784716200	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xbd0c74…
07-22 10:34:13	btc updown 5m 1784716200	Down	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xcc065a…
07-22 10:33:46	btc updown 5m 1784716200	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x4fae03…
07-22 10:33:30	btc updown 5m 1784716200	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x3fd72c…
07-22 10:33:07	btc updown 5m 1784716200	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x25e563…
07-22 10:33:06	btc updown 5m 1784716200	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf99b70…
07-22 10:31:19	btc updown 5m 1784716200	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x72d717…
07-22 10:31:03	btc updown 5m 1784716200	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x116ecd…
07-22 10:28:34	btc updown 5m 1784715900	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x597e12…
07-22 10:28:15	btc updown 5m 1784715900	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xba62e5…
07-22 10:27:13	btc updown 5m 1784715900	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xbe4a99…
07-22 10:26:55	btc updown 5m 1784715900	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x8663ad…
07-22 10:26:54	btc updown 5m 1784715900	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x3187d7…
07-22 10:26:13	btc updown 5m 1784715900	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x129454…
07-22 10:23:57	btc updown 5m 1784715600	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xdbcef7…
07-22 10:23:18	btc updown 5m 1784715600	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x23eb34…
07-22 10:23:06	btc updown 5m 1784715600	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xbabf40…
07-22 10:20:33	btc updown 15m 1784715300	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9db091…
07-22 10:20:04	btc updown 15m 1784715300	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xfbdf07…
07-22 10:19:39	btc updown 15m 1784715300	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7d3c69…
07-22 10:18:21	btc updown 5m 1784715300	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xdb7403…
07-22 10:18:09	btc updown 5m 1784715300	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x646451…
07-22 10:17:34	btc updown 5m 1784715300	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x28b3c8…
07-22 10:16:36	btc updown 5m 1784715300	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x6e32ef…
07-22 10:16:33	btc updown 5m 1784715300	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x0338e6…
07-22 10:10:45	btc updown 5m 1784715000	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf662f3…
07-22 10:10:28	btc updown 15m 1784714400	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x748fb0…
07-22 10:09:46	btc updown 15m 1784714400	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x8e476e…
07-22 10:09:43	btc updown 15m 1784714400	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x3a782c…
07-22 10:06:36	btc updown 5m 1784714700	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xadf96b…
07-22 10:06:36	btc updown 15m 1784714400	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x01c162…
07-22 10:06:12	btc updown 15m 1784714400	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x095da7…
07-22 10:06:06	btc updown 5m 1784714700	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb034b0…
07-22 10:06:06	btc updown 15m 1784714400	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x0d2924…
07-22 10:03:31	btc updown 5m 1784714400	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xba34e3…
07-22 10:03:09	btc updown 15m 1784714400	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x7c37fe…
07-22 10:02:43	btc updown 5m 1784714400	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x2ea123…
07-22 10:02:34	btc updown 15m 1784714400	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xde6a63…
07-22 10:02:34	btc updown 5m 1784714400	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x9c36c2…
07-22 10:02:25	btc updown 5m 1784714400	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x0d367d…
07-22 10:01:37	btc updown 5m 1784714400	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xb856b6…
07-22 09:56:49	btc updown 5m 1784714100	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xeeb2df…
07-22 09:56:25	btc updown 5m 1784714100	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x436caf…