Realistic-Sibling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,086

lifetime

Volume

$30.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 05-18 18:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 100% +$15

Other

18% 100% +$33

Sports

5% 0% $-1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	13	$1.6K	2,065	2,065	+0	open	—	05-15 16:48
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	18	$1.1K	967	967	+0	open	—	03-31 16:44
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	11	$744	704	704	+0	open	—	05-14 17:21
btc updown 5m 1773130800	6	$519	609	453	+156	open	—	03-10 08:23
btc updown 5m 1773117600	3	$501	561	243	+318	open	—	03-10 04:45
nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	8	$481	394	394	+0	open	—	03-10 04:14
btc updown 5m 1773116700	2	$464	247	247	+1	open	—	03-10 04:30
cricipl luc del 2026 04 01	8	$463	552	543	+9	open	—	04-01 16:51
btc updown 5m 1773117300	3	$445	526	225	+301	open	—	03-10 04:40
btc updown 5m 1774863600	4	$444	455	213	+243	open	—	03-30 09:45
btc updown 5m 1773132000	5	$421	415	338	+77	open	—	03-10 08:45
nba gsw uta 2026 03 09	4	$420	250	211	+39	open	—	03-10 03:32
btc updown 5m 1773114300	4	$406	602	202	+400	open	—	03-10 03:50
btc updown 5m 1772906100	2	$404	206	206	+0	open	—	03-07 18:00
btc updown 5m 1773127800	6	$396	350	203	+147	open	—	03-10 07:35
btc updown 5m 1774863900	9	$396	1,381	326	+1,055	open	—	03-30 09:50
btc updown 5m 1772903100	3	$382	282	224	+58	open	—	03-07 17:10
btc updown 5m 1773133800	8	$352	474	469	+5	open	—	03-10 09:14
btc updown 5m 1773124500	8	$340	426	265	+161	open	—	03-10 06:40
btc updown 5m 1773130500	7	$340	565	493	+72	open	—	03-10 08:19
btc updown 5m 1773131400	6	$336	451	337	+113	open	—	03-10 08:35
btc updown 5m 1773132600	4	$334	420	126	+294	open	—	03-10 08:55
btc updown 5m 1773134100	7	$334	601	452	+149	open	—	03-10 09:20
btc updown 5m 1773119100	4	$329	324	193	+131	open	—	03-10 05:11
btc updown 5m 1773110100	5	$328	210	170	+41	open	—	03-10 02:40
btc updown 5m 1773134400	6	$306	511	358	+153	open	—	03-10 09:25
btc updown 5m 1773133200	4	$300	246	173	+73	open	—	03-10 09:05
btc updown 5m 1773040800	2	$299	178	176	+2	open	—	03-09 07:23
btc updown 5m 1773134700	5	$298	282	145	+137	open	—	03-10 09:30
btc updown 5m 1773118200	5	$296	293	148	+145	open	—	03-10 04:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 18:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf2dfe4…
05-18 18:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0efcab…
05-18 18:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x52d359…
05-18 18:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd2175e…
05-16 09:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdf9b45…
05-16 09:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x48f4cc…
05-16 09:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa107eb…
05-16 09:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x49fb9c…
05-16 09:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6ba445…
05-16 09:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xfa0a35…
05-16 09:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa73c24…
05-16 09:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdc1611…
05-16 08:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x82ba73…
05-16 08:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x97579d…
05-16 08:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0xb2c070…
05-16 08:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3430e2…
05-16 08:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x68a50f…
05-16 08:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc80e48…
05-16 08:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xee3575…
05-16 08:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3b05b8…
05-16 08:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x101df9…
05-16 08:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf8a971…
05-16 08:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x31ddbe…
05-16 08:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb40271…
05-16 05:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x82dddc…
05-16 05:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe3e789…
05-16 05:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x19bbe9…
05-15 19:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0x8d3d70…
05-15 19:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0a6b12…
05-15 19:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x9d0e99…
05-15 19:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x28e449…
05-15 19:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x806057…
05-15 19:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa97614…
05-15 19:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb0dd2a…
05-15 19:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa5df65…
05-15 19:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0x1972b1…
05-15 19:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7ce029…
05-15 19:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xd9853e…
05-15 19:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x62299d…
05-15 19:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0xcb1339…
05-15 19:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x858200…
05-15 19:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x943984…
05-15 19:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x45cf2d…
05-15 19:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x7fcdee…
05-15 19:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x91fb8b…
05-15 19:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6fa2c9…
05-15 19:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc767ab…
05-15 19:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x4b86e2…
05-15 19:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6d02c4…
05-15 19:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8fcf39…
05-15 19:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb90265…
05-15 19:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xad1c41…
05-15 19:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x2486b8…
05-15 19:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x40b74d…
05-15 19:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x1be918…
05-15 19:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xbebb6b…
05-15 19:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9c65a5…
05-15 18:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0xc178c3…
05-15 18:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9cd4be…
05-15 18:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0x289e3a…
05-15 18:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x223db8…
05-15 18:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x8cdf68…
05-15 18:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb6bc97…
05-15 18:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x726398…
05-15 18:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$5	0x7e6e85…
05-15 18:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x9c405f…
05-15 18:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x78b6f3…
05-15 18:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9759ff…
05-15 17:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	42	6¢	$3	0xd957dd…
05-15 17:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	40¢	$17	0x9aeaca…
05-15 17:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	65	23¢	$15	0x6c7bac…
05-15 17:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	65	66¢	$43	0xb8ddd5…
05-15 17:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	117	42¢	$49	0x12032b…
05-15 17:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	117	37¢	$43	0x1d71a1…
05-15 17:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	55	41¢	$22	0xc4495e…
05-15 17:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xcbb871…
05-15 17:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbb1afc…
05-15 17:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbc5785…
05-15 17:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	112	34¢	$38	0xc37394…
05-15 17:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	112	39¢	$43	0x1f4dc4…
05-15 17:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	66	71¢	$47	0x847a8a…
05-15 17:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	66	65¢	$43	0x671b67…
05-15 17:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x2e045f…
05-15 17:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0xed1987…
05-15 17:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	69	66¢	$46	0x6b0641…
05-15 17:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	69	61¢	$42	0x4385a6…
05-15 16:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	117	38¢	$45	0xd67639…
05-15 16:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	117	53¢	$62	0xc056a6…
05-15 16:48:02	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	SELL	828	8¢	$66	0x539484…
05-15 16:27:37	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	244	37¢	$90	0x4f0498…
05-15 16:24:14	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x777001…
05-15 16:04:57	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	314	51¢	$160	0xb4e842…
05-15 16:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x1efbb9…
05-15 16:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x78351a…
05-15 15:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x45fc2e…
05-15 15:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xcbd22e…
05-15 15:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xc40c66…
05-15 15:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6317be…
05-15 15:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2dfbd9…
05-15 15:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	58	77¢	$45	0xba882a…