Wilted-Lecture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$55

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

1,753

Trades

2,289

lifetime

Volume

$787.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$344

Open exposure

$577

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 01:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 290 days

Categories

Sports

70% 45% -$19,475

Other

30% 41% -$17,295

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets		+1,004	$632	57¢	$577	-$55	10-27 02:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba dal bos 2026 03 06 spread home 14pt5	2	$8.6K	5,640	5,640	+0	Celtics	+$2,645	03-07 02:34
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	1	$5.5K	0	5,460	-5,460	Broncos	-$5	01-18 01:20
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	2	$5.4K	3,856	3,856	+0	Cavaliers	+$1,510	05-04 01:59
nba atl mil 2026 03 04	2	$4.4K	3,853	3,853	+0	Hawks	+$578	03-05 03:44
cbb clmsn duke 2026 02 14 spread home 13pt5	2	$4.3K	2,778	2,778	+0	Clemson Tigers	+$1,275	02-14 19:03
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)	2	$4.3K	3,224	3,224	+0	Chicago White Sox	+$2,189	05-30 20:57
nba atl nyk 2026 04 18 spread home 6pt5	2	$3.9K	2,663	2,622	+41	Knicks	+$1,361	04-19 00:57
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 219pt5	2	$3.6K	2,314	2,314	+0	Under	+$1,016	06-06 03:42
nba nop cha 2026 02 02 total 231pt5	2	$3.6K	2,358	2,358	+0	Under	+$1,106	02-02 23:04
Spread: Utah (-7.5)	2	$3.6K	2,586	2,586	+0	Utah	+$569	10-25 04:04
nba phi was 2026 04 01 spread away 14pt5	2	$3.5K	2,369	2,333	+36	76ers	+$1,182	04-02 01:24
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)	2	$3.5K	2,500	2,500	+0	Seattle Mariners	+$1,498	06-03 05:06
mlb min det 2026 06 10 total 10pt5	2	$3.5K	2,385	2,385	+0	Under	+$1,311	06-11 03:25
cbb day vcu 2026 03 15 spread home 2pt5	2	$3.3K	2,190	2,180	+10	VCU Rams	+$1,033	03-15 19:31
nba uta sac 2026 03 15 total 230pt5	2	$3.3K	2,138	2,138	+0	Under	+$938	03-16 04:25
mlb cle tb 2026 07 25 spread home 1pt5	3	$3.3K	2,772	2,772	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$1,341	07-26 00:01
nba dal atl 2026 03 10 spread home 10pt5	2	$3.2K	2,193	2,193	+0	Hawks	+$1,138	03-11 02:26
nba nop uta 2026 02 28 spread away 6pt5	2	$3.2K	2,173	2,173	+0	Pelicans	+$1,171	03-01 05:06
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova	4	$3.2K	2,996	2,916	+80	Anastasia Potapova	-$289	05-30 16:45
nba ind cha 2026 04 03 spread home 15pt5	2	$3.0K	2,000	1,970	+30	Hornets	+$998	04-04 01:20
nba was atl 2026 02 26 spread home 10pt5	2	$3.0K	1,963	1,963	+0	Hawks	+$971	02-27 02:55
nba sas mil 2026 03 28 spread away 17pt5	2	$2.9K	1,943	1,943	+0	Spurs	+$941	03-28 22:58
Spread: Lions (-6.5)	2	$2.9K	1,921	1,921	+0	Lions	+$920	09-27 20:50
nba was por 2026 03 29 spread home 16pt5	2	$2.9K	1,887	1,887	+0	Trail Blazers	+$885	03-30 00:58
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	2	$2.8K	1,818	1,818	+0	Thunder	+$816	05-27 03:33
nba min ind 2026 04 07 spread away 12pt5	3	$2.8K	1,835	1,810	+25	Timberwolves	+$833	04-08 02:24
nba sac cha 2026 03 24 spread home 16pt5	2	$2.8K	1,786	1,786	+0	Hornets	+$784	03-25 02:39
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	2	$2.8K	1,802	1,802	+0	Patriots	+$845	01-25 23:54
nba cha bkn 2026 03 31 spread away 16pt5	2	$2.8K	1,754	1,754	+0	Hornets	+$753	04-01 02:13
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	1	$2.7K	5,019	0	+5,019	Cleveland Guardians	+$2,309	10-15 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:47:57	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	SELL	714	7¢	$50	0xdd6dee…
10-27 02:44:00	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	1,004	63¢	$632	0x986022…
10-27 02:27:45	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	714	21¢	$150	0x7e7f1c…
10-27 02:08:15	Hawks vs. Rockets	Hawks	BUY	833	24¢	$200	0xd1fab5…
10-27 02:04:57	Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	BUY	315	32¢	$100	0xb25bee…
10-27 01:37:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xa49e01…
10-27 01:14:56	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x346665…
10-26 23:50:51	Wizards vs. Hornets	Wizards	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x6053ea…
10-26 16:47:57	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Holger Rune	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x287202…
10-26 16:27:12	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	SELL	469	98¢	$459	0x1fc7d5…
10-26 15:12:32	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	469	16¢	$75	0x9f7abe…
10-26 14:29:20	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone	Mariano Navone	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x947390…
10-26 03:08:42	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Grizzlies	BUY	847	60¢	$508	0x9c501d…
10-25 23:50:36	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	1,927	26¢	$501	0x0c44a2…
10-25 21:55:47	Spread: Broncos (-6.5)	Cardinals	BUY	771	45¢	$347	0xeac84a…
10-25 21:55:03	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	SELL	797	40¢	$319	0xe2f7d8…
10-25 21:53:03	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	SELL	99	35¢	$35	0x718ffe…
10-25 21:21:24	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	BUY	896	56¢	$502	0x82a98d…
10-25 18:13:38	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	1,443	46¢	$664	0x8b6885…
10-25 16:17:57	Spread: Panthers (-2.5)	Panthers	BUY	3,704	54¢	$2,000	0xd3f164…
10-25 06:47:33	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Saints	BUY	1,786	56¢	$1,000	0x82a25b…
10-25 04:46:39	Spread: New Mexico (-7.5)	North Dakota State	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0xe09d7b…
10-25 04:04:20	Spread: Utah (-7.5)	Houston	SELL	2,586	80¢	$2,069	0x3f9c03…
10-25 02:18:05	Spread: Utah (-7.5)	Houston	BUY	2,586	58¢	$1,500	0x06c9e8…
10-25 01:43:41	Spread: Arkansas State (-3.5)	Georgia State	SELL	755	7¢	$53	0x6aecd5…
10-25 00:05:39	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0x40b462…
10-24 23:51:33	Spread: Arkansas State (-3.5)	Georgia State	BUY	1,250	52¢	$644	0xf56c56…
10-24 20:43:42	Spread: Alabama (-4.5)	Alabama	BUY	938	53¢	$500	0x60379e…
10-24 20:28:05	Spread: BYU (-6.5)	BYU	BUY	1,232	47¢	$575	0x5adfb7…
10-24 17:51:57	Spread: LSU (-14.5)	Auburn	SELL	979	16¢	$161	0xd1407d…
10-24 17:34:14	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Arthur Fils	BUY	431	58¢	$250	0xfe32ed…
10-24 16:39:23	Spread: LSU (-14.5)	Auburn	BUY	979	56¢	$550	0xd80869…
10-24 05:34:05	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	177	25¢	$44	0x32e144…
10-24 04:17:03	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0x9979c4…
10-24 02:45:48	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	948	58¢	$550	0xfe6b6d…
10-24 02:33:30	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xd8ccfa…
10-24 01:27:47	Air Force vs. Wyoming	Air Force	BUY	481	52¢	$250	0x4aa6f4…
10-24 00:03:45	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Pacers	SELL	326	10¢	$32	0x1fc3f5…
10-23 23:33:56	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	326	46¢	$150	0xf83cdf…
10-23 23:24:38	UMass vs. UConn: O/U 51.5	Under	BUY	446	56¢	$250	0x3c8401…
10-23 23:14:27	Duke vs. Virginia: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	948	58¢	$550	0x92329c…
10-23 21:40:17	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	424	59¢	$250	0x4272d1…
10-23 03:46:44	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	977	51¢	$500	0x0a6544…
10-23 03:03:44	Spread: Memphis (-3.5)	East Carolina	BUY	848	59¢	$500	0x52ed30…
10-23 02:59:53	Utah vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	636	55¢	$350	0xcd5d32…
10-23 02:36:47	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	660	53¢	$350	0xc1b289…
10-23 02:01:12	Spread: Memphis (-6.5)	Memphis	SELL	508	9¢	$46	0x73161d…
10-23 01:53:54	James Madison vs. Appalachian State: O/U 55.5	Under	BUY	957	52¢	$500	0xac01a2…
10-23 01:18:50	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	893	42¢	$379	0x36fe9a…
10-23 00:38:12	Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0xb2f030…
10-22 23:54:36	Spread: Memphis (-6.5)	Memphis	BUY	508	59¢	$300	0xc289da…
10-22 23:45:45	Panthers vs. Penguins	Panthers	BUY	735	34¢	$250	0xdccfb3…
10-22 22:58:45	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	893	56¢	$500	0xd90e80…
10-22 18:45:17	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	397	63¢	$250	0x60cf44…
10-22 16:46:09	Set 1 Winner: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	379	66¢	$250	0x765b19…
10-22 03:02:12	Spread: Lakers (-6.5)	Lakers	BUY	948	53¢	$500	0x76ae00…
10-22 02:13:11	Pacers vs. Pelicans	Pacers	BUY	306	49¢	$150	0x33f5aa…
10-22 01:46:08	Hornets vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	796	19¢	$150	0x87339c…
10-22 01:35:51	Spread: Raptors (-20.5)	Bulls	SELL	289	10¢	$29	0x0fe269…
10-22 01:27:03	Hawks vs. Magic	Hawks	BUY	334	45¢	$150	0x1237fa…
10-22 01:12:26	New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	572	61¢	$350	0x95c652…
10-22 00:51:42	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	577	26¢	$150	0x81c2e4…
10-22 00:17:06	nba chi tor 2026 10 21 spread home 20pt5	Bulls	BUY	306	49¢	$150	0xbd98e2…
10-21 17:11:15	Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti	Moise Kouame	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x353423…
10-21 05:18:45	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger	Tereza Valentova	BUY	219	16¢	$35	0x5dd7b7…
10-21 04:24:21	Red Wings vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	157	48¢	$76	0x88b638…
10-21 02:34:42	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	674	23¢	$155	0x3aec61…
10-21 02:21:12	Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International	Florida International	SELL	417	18¢	$75	0xdaf46a…
10-21 00:48:57	Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International	Florida International	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0xe08f28…
10-20 16:51:48	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0x6c58ec…
10-20 04:57:42	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x8f28e9…
10-20 03:39:38	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones	Ann Li	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xa0fa32…
10-20 02:10:00	Sharks vs. Maple Leafs	Sharks	SELL	426	10¢	$43	0x4083c4…
10-20 01:42:39	Sharks vs. Maple Leafs	Sharks	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x65ef61…
10-20 01:27:17	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	943	100¢	$942	0x98d4dc…
10-20 01:25:51	Spread: 49ers (-13.5)	Commanders	SELL	1,317	40¢	$527	0xbb0a7a…
10-20 01:12:41	Spread: 49ers (-13.5)	Commanders	BUY	455	55¢	$250	0xb35c8f…
10-20 00:26:14	Spread: 49ers (-13.5)	Commanders	BUY	862	58¢	$500	0x35eb75…
10-19 23:48:44	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2,203	59¢	$1,300	0x53e5f0…
10-19 13:35:11	European Open: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex Michelsen	Andrea Guerrieri	BUY	275	20¢	$55	0x11a86b…
10-19 06:14:38	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Elise Mertens	SELL	909	39¢	$355	0x8e6661…
10-19 03:54:44	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Elise Mertens	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x1d858e…
10-19 02:52:35	Cowboys vs. Packers	Cowboys	SELL	2,075	7¢	$145	0xd047ab…
10-19 00:43:00	Cowboys vs. Packers	Cowboys	BUY	714	35¢	$250	0x66cdc3…
10-19 00:26:12	Cowboys vs. Packers	Cowboys	BUY	1,001	55¢	$550	0x219d50…
10-19 00:24:32	Cowboys vs. Packers	Cowboys	BUY	360	53¢	$190	0x7224de…
10-18 22:32:56	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	943	53¢	$500	0xa73456…
10-18 22:24:23	Spread: Chiefs (-14.5)	Chargers	SELL	902	30¢	$274	0xb52afb…
10-18 20:47:27	Spread: Chiefs (-14.5)	Chargers	BUY	902	61¢	$550	0x0042d7…
10-18 20:44:53	Spread: Rams (-6.5)	Rams	BUY	958	57¢	$550	0xfa5322…
10-18 20:36:35	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	SELL	556	4¢	$22	0xc47ea0…
10-18 20:14:42	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	556	45¢	$250	0xc70fc2…
10-18 20:01:03	Titans vs. Colts	Colts	SELL	833	4¢	$33	0x9bf212…
10-18 19:35:24	Titans vs. Colts	Colts	BUY	833	30¢	$250	0x5f4a9a…
10-18 19:18:41	Spread: Bears (-10.5)	Falcons	SELL	556	36¢	$200	0xbc87df…
10-18 17:36:56	Spread: Bears (-10.5)	Falcons	BUY	556	45¢	$250	0xe6c463…
10-18 13:33:12	Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)	Texans	BUY	583	60¢	$350	0xd3f21d…
10-18 03:56:17	Spread: Oregon (-3.5)	Nebraska	BUY	648	54¢	$350	0xa95cfa…
10-18 00:50:48	Notre Dame vs. BYU	Notre Dame	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0xb7b30c…
10-17 22:13:42	Spread: Oregon State (-18.5)	Oregon State	BUY	481	52¢	$250	0xe4bf5a…