Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$60.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,836

lifetime

Volume

$374.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$204

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 09-16 17:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% 20% -$80,989

Politics

48% 100% +$20,949

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 278 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1,465	$180.7K	682,557	839,609	-157,052	No	+$20,949	01-19 08:58
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	75	$95.4K	138,855	50,000	+88,856	Yes	+$17,745	07-07 17:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	46	$49.0K	350,000	0	+350,000	No	-$49,000	09-16 17:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	226	$47.7K	358,419	0	+358,419	Yes	-$47,670	09-16 17:45
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	18	$1.8K	39,042	0	+39,042	No	-$1,826	01-19 08:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$239	238,574	0	+238,574	No	-$239	09-16 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 17:45:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150,000	14¢	$21,000	0x2a7029…
09-16 17:45:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22,267	14¢	$3,117	0x68c772…
09-16 17:45:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xbc8adb…
09-16 17:44:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,163	14¢	$163	0xf29544…
09-16 17:44:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x242c5d…
09-16 17:44:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	140	14¢	$20	0x0c6c43…
09-16 17:44:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	250	14¢	$35	0x4eaab7…
09-16 17:44:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x9851ba…
09-16 17:43:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	349	14¢	$49	0xb47770…
09-16 17:43:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0xe75aa0…
09-16 17:43:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8,000	14¢	$1,120	0x133b50…
09-16 17:43:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0x96f6e7…
09-16 17:42:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xd99630…
09-16 17:42:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0xd97e23…
09-16 17:42:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	416	14¢	$58	0x805b02…
09-16 17:42:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x8c5347…
09-16 17:42:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xb8301b…
09-16 17:42:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x057ffc…
09-16 17:42:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xeab498…
09-16 17:42:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x9c9869…
09-16 17:41:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x85935c…
09-16 17:41:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x6a3465…
09-16 17:41:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	163,851	14¢	$22,939	0x661ad2…
09-16 17:41:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0x04bc0d…
09-16 17:41:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x181ba0…
09-16 17:40:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x76e316…
09-16 17:40:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	307	14¢	$43	0x782806…
09-16 17:40:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xc2b597…
09-16 17:40:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	81	14¢	$11	0xb4f1d8…
09-16 17:40:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0x6a748e…
09-16 17:40:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x83b106…
09-16 17:40:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x91ab29…
09-16 17:40:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	521	14¢	$73	0xe67bbe…
09-16 17:40:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xbf0748…
09-16 17:40:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x983d44…
09-16 17:40:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x7ef7c5…
09-16 17:39:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0xd1c1a8…
09-16 17:39:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x7ba612…
09-16 17:39:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0xcb5d9a…
09-16 17:39:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	329	14¢	$46	0xdab9c2…
09-16 17:39:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	138	14¢	$19	0xcf849d…
09-16 17:39:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	92	14¢	$13	0xb6c33e…
09-16 17:39:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,651	14¢	$651	0x185491…
09-16 17:38:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,000	14¢	$280	0xa3a240…
09-16 17:38:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16,505	14¢	$2,311	0xb6f6cb…
09-16 17:38:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xd28df6…
09-16 17:38:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,000	14¢	$280	0xc3e127…
09-16 17:38:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0xba8328…
09-16 17:37:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x1ae046…
09-16 17:37:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x4a1fb2…
09-16 17:37:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xa61c1f…
09-16 17:37:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x780ec0…
09-16 17:37:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	14¢	$7	0x6f4397…
09-16 17:37:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xe30c33…
09-16 17:37:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xd1342c…
09-16 17:37:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0xb25140…
09-16 17:37:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	14¢	$1,400	0xcb4c25…
09-16 17:37:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	14¢	$280	0x9530cd…
09-16 17:37:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x717147…
09-16 17:37:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,218	14¢	$171	0xf88bdc…
09-16 17:36:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x7428c4…
09-16 17:35:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,647	14¢	$371	0xa6f016…
09-16 17:35:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x960535…
09-16 17:35:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	116	14¢	$16	0x8cd31b…
09-16 17:35:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xaac362…
09-16 17:34:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	116	14¢	$16	0xcbf6bf…
09-16 17:34:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x9fb1f3…
09-16 17:34:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	58	14¢	$8	0xeaba3d…
09-16 17:34:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x643c41…
09-16 17:34:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xae85ce…
09-16 17:34:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	14¢	$700	0x10d894…
09-16 17:34:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	184	14¢	$26	0xf8e00e…
09-16 17:34:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x1ede02…
09-16 17:34:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x6f8eae…
09-16 17:34:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xea3c69…
09-16 17:34:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0x6b5ddc…
09-16 17:33:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x7b66e9…
09-16 17:33:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xeb96e3…
09-16 17:33:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xf7452a…
09-16 17:33:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x84b7f3…
09-16 17:33:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x6c8361…
09-16 17:33:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0x4f7576…
09-16 17:33:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xfa3e52…
09-16 17:33:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x926c04…
09-16 17:33:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x4e1a8f…
09-16 17:33:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x14e81b…
09-16 17:33:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	137	14¢	$19	0x71f84e…
09-16 17:33:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xcf3aa1…
09-16 17:32:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x12c02b…
09-16 17:32:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe12360…
09-16 17:32:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	98	14¢	$14	0x8e8a8e…
09-16 17:32:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	101	14¢	$14	0x2f7d45…
09-16 17:32:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	250	14¢	$35	0x7ea1cc…
09-16 17:32:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	64	14¢	$9	0xefc6c9…
09-16 17:32:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	558	14¢	$78	0x616c1f…
09-16 17:32:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8f70d3…
09-16 17:32:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xac0849…
09-16 17:32:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xef0ab9…
09-16 17:32:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x5edfe5…
09-16 17:31:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xb4fa16…