Fat-Declination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$104

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

1,285

Trades

2,292

lifetime

Volume

$5.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 09-19 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% +$104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 00:00 UTC	17	$43	47	39	+8	Down	+$4	04-10 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:55 UTC	4	$31	184	40	+144	Up	+$106	04-16 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 00:55 UTC	15	$28	31	28	+3	Up	+$6	04-10 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:30 UTC	4	$26	193	40	+153	Down	+$155	04-16 17:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:55 UTC	6	$26	177	40	+137	Up	+$139	04-16 17:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 23:35 UTC	13	$25	27	24	+3	Up	+$6	04-09 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 19:30 UTC	4	$22	180	0	+180	Down	+$81	04-16 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 19:55 UTC	4	$22	209	0	+209	Down	+$62	04-16 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 23:30 UTC	12	$22	26	19	+7	Down	+$0	04-09 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 01:15 UTC	13	$21	45	0	+45	Down	-$1	04-09 01:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 00:45 UTC	9	$18	20	19	+1	Up	+$3	04-10 00:47
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 20:45 UTC	9	$17	25	3	+22	Up	+$0	04-08 20:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 00:45 UTC	14	$17	20	16	+4	Up	+$2	04-10 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 00:50 UTC	9	$17	25	23	+2	Up	+$3	04-10 00:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 23:30 UTC	9	$17	35	0	+35	Up	+$3	04-08 23:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 17:20 UTC	14	$16	18	15	+3	Up	+$4	04-10 17:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 00:15 UTC	7	$16	22	13	+9	Down	+$1	04-10 00:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 23:45 UTC	9	$15	18	14	+4	Up	+$3	04-09 23:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 00:05 UTC	8	$15	21	18	+3	Down	+$3	04-10 00:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 23:25 UTC	6	$15	16	15	+1	Down	+$2	04-09 23:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 01:00 UTC	9	$15	30	0	+30	Down	$0	04-09 01:05
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 22:45 UTC	7	$15	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	04-08 22:51
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 21:45 UTC	5	$15	25	0	+25	Down	+$0	04-08 21:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 04:15 UTC	6	$14	30	0	+30	Down	+$1	04-09 04:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 23:25 UTC	10	$14	21	14	+7	Down	+$1	04-09 23:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 21:30 UTC	6	$14	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	04-08 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 00:05 UTC	6	$14	16	14	+2	Up	+$2	04-10 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 01:40 UTC	12	$14	15	13	+2	Down	+$3	04-10 01:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 04:00 UTC	6	$13	25	0	+25	Down	+$2	04-09 04:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 00:30 UTC	6	$13	20	9	+11	Up	-$3	04-10 00:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 21:40:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x42d069…
09-13 21:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3a3db8…
09-13 21:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7503c4…
09-13 21:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd92173…
09-13 21:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xde60e1…
09-13 21:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x91830c…
09-11 01:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb85df7…
09-11 01:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xff21e1…
09-11 01:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x65bc0b…
09-11 01:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x40ba99…
09-11 01:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x271123…
09-11 01:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe01e9d…
09-11 01:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0f7477…
09-11 00:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x134f66…
09-11 00:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe54ce8…
09-11 00:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x31f450…
09-11 00:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0c66ea…
09-11 00:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x978861…
09-11 00:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xbea701…
09-11 00:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x5b0636…
09-11 00:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x10de1d…
09-11 00:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x867a3f…
09-11 00:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9acef0…
09-11 00:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x662c0b…
09-11 00:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3565c9…
09-11 00:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xaab06d…
09-11 00:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x537284…
09-11 00:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x250f3b…
09-11 00:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9570c5…
09-11 00:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd6ae30…
09-11 00:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x714ae2…
09-11 00:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc80fc1…
09-10 23:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5fc2ba…
09-10 23:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xff63a8…
09-10 23:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3996bb…
09-10 23:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x44eecf…
09-10 23:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd3b721…
09-10 23:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa3d907…
09-10 23:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x89cedf…
09-10 23:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd7f649…
09-10 23:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x110b51…
09-10 23:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfffffc…
09-10 23:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x49fece…
09-10 23:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6dd33c…
09-10 23:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb8bb66…
09-10 23:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x18eb51…
09-10 23:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x003940…
09-10 23:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x482c50…
09-10 23:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x264a74…
09-10 23:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xcb47de…
09-10 23:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf30b93…
09-10 23:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xab873c…
09-10 23:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xd4105d…
09-10 23:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x43efba…
09-10 23:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x91f941…
09-10 22:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf3f9e9…
09-10 22:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x67550f…
09-10 22:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x77112b…
09-10 22:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x836bb7…
09-10 22:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2b448f…
09-10 22:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1f0e66…
09-10 22:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9e7a61…
09-10 22:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf6e23b…
09-10 22:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd89370…
09-10 22:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x3bb01f…
09-10 22:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3c38e3…
09-10 22:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x830429…
09-10 22:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x2fb0d7…
09-10 22:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6d7bdd…
09-10 22:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x039754…
09-10 22:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x85aedb…
09-10 22:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf6a393…
09-10 22:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa43409…
09-10 22:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x755b29…
09-10 22:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0f8564…
09-10 22:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x0c0dd8…
09-10 22:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8897e5…
09-10 22:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x76c07b…
09-10 22:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x980388…
09-10 21:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7c4f9d…
09-10 21:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd36439…
09-10 21:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd238d0…
09-10 21:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x27df77…
09-10 21:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x519307…
09-10 21:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x978eda…
09-10 21:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x36bd5d…
09-10 21:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x79b21c…
09-10 21:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xebecc1…
09-10 21:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4a5acc…
09-10 21:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x65c411…
09-10 21:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x100ab7…
09-10 21:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x239c9d…
09-10 21:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x376605…
09-10 21:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2dcb76…
09-10 21:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5ffef8…
09-10 21:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x301581…
09-10 21:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9cb282…
09-10 21:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x34b3ef…
09-10 21:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdb161b…
09-10 21:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2bc7dd…