Oily-Simplification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$304

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-13 03:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 80% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$12	12	0	+12	Up	+$0	05-13 03:49
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	05-13 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$12	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	05-13 02:04
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$12	17	0	+17	Up	+$5	05-13 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$12	14	0	+14	Down	+$2	05-13 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$12	14	0	+14	Down	+$2	05-13 03:13
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	05-13 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$12	12	0	+12	Up	+$0	05-13 03:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$12	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	05-13 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 03:18
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Up	$-10	05-13 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	$-10	05-13 03:57
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	Down	$-8	05-13 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$9	8	3	+5	Down	+$1	05-11 03:04
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$9	12	0	+12	Up	+$3	05-13 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	05-13 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	05-13 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	05-13 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	05-13 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$5	4	2	+1	Down	+$0	05-11 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-5	05-11 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-11 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-11 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-11 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-11 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-11 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-11 06:18
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-13 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-11 04:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 03:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xff12e4…
05-13 03:55:03	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xbcf52c…
05-13 03:54:27	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x74b524…
05-13 03:49:45	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x7f8520…
05-13 03:34:19	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xb627ef…
05-13 03:24:56	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x3eb564…
05-13 03:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xd11d06…
05-13 03:09:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x92d4db…
05-13 03:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x42b1dd…
05-13 02:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x9745e2…
05-13 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x90c8c0…
05-13 02:44:44	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xadaa37…
05-13 02:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x050da6…
05-13 02:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x726a21…
05-13 02:29:57	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x82cc5d…
05-13 02:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x5e044a…
05-13 02:14:01	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x805c08…
05-13 02:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x797557…
05-13 01:59:51	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x2e4b97…
05-13 01:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4ef14a…
05-13 01:08:50	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf2ff20…
05-13 01:05:57	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xeeb232…
05-13 01:01:40	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb2f7a1…
05-13 00:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5f8f6d…
05-13 00:34:30	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc01b56…
05-13 00:21:37	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2599ae…
05-13 00:00:35	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xec8fa7…
05-12 23:59:29	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8a42d4…
05-12 23:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfbfe88…
05-12 23:47:24	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x93e0e0…
05-12 23:32:12	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4052a8…
05-12 23:26:43	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0a12e8…
05-12 22:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8c5839…
05-12 22:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x32f865…
05-12 19:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x62c3d4…
05-11 06:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xacf0e6…
05-11 06:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xc7263c…
05-11 06:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xcf91de…
05-11 05:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x66c186…
05-11 05:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xe7da3b…
05-11 05:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x1033fc…
05-11 05:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x6fe096…
05-11 05:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb48218…
05-11 05:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xd5b12f…
05-11 05:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xaa639d…
05-11 05:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x7b5bfa…
05-11 05:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd23fbc…
05-11 05:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x3ed46c…
05-11 04:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x432b12…
05-11 04:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe08b00…
05-11 04:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7235c1…
05-11 04:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7123e3…
05-11 04:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x054102…
05-11 04:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2cc423…
05-11 03:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x023001…
05-11 03:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xeb6af3…
05-11 03:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xcfbbcf…
05-11 03:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x31c9d5…
05-11 03:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd93617…
05-11 03:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xad3fe1…
05-11 03:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5e2800…
05-11 03:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x79a1b7…
05-11 03:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc952fb…
05-11 02:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6c2ab7…
05-11 02:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x45235f…
05-11 02:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7defd0…
05-11 02:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x4931da…
05-11 02:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb5e201…
05-11 02:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xd1c1eb…
05-11 02:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x439329…
05-11 02:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa80e94…
05-11 02:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2e79c5…
05-11 02:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf6169a…
05-11 02:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xda29a2…