Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.86K

Unrealized P&L

-$75

Hit rate

38.7%

Resolved

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$202

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 11-01 17:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 24% -$5,615

Tech

4% 0% -$262

Other

1% 50% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	+400	$125	30¢	$120	-$5	11-01 17:55
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	+400	$116	16¢	$66	-$50	10-22 10:44
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	+200	$36	8¢	$16	-$20	10-22 10:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:05 UTC	40	$1.5K	3,449	2,429	+1,020	Down	+$70	03-28 02:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:55 UTC	7	$953	1,368	1,202	+166	Up	+$206	03-28 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:00 UTC	9	$799	2,030	1,199	+832	Up	+$126	03-28 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:45 UTC	6	$718	2,438	989	+1,448	Up	-$362	03-28 01:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:40 UTC	6	$700	4,296	0	+4,296	Up	-$700	03-28 01:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:35 UTC	5	$663	742	735	+7	Down	+$50	03-28 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	9	$655	1,994	0	+1,994	Down	-$655	10-22 03:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:15 UTC	8	$547	2,031	536	+1,495	Down	-$6	03-28 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:10 UTC	5	$522	400	394	+6	Down	+$175	03-28 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:30 UTC	12	$480	1,304	1,086	+218	Down	+$38	03-28 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	5	$425	2,028	0	+2,028	Down	-$425	10-22 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	7	$400	2,063	0	+2,063	Up	+$1,279	10-22 01:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:55 UTC	5	$388	1,752	229	+1,524	Up	-$272	03-28 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	5	$383	2,633	0	+2,633	Down	-$383	10-22 10:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:25 UTC	3	$383	1,018	252	+766	Down	-$217	03-28 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	5	$344	1,774	0	+1,774	Up	-$344	10-22 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	5	$330	1,709	0	+1,709	Down	-$330	10-22 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	21	$315	1,642	0	+1,642	Down	-$315	10-22 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$305	1,330	0	+1,330	Down	-$305	10-22 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:40 UTC	3	$300	1,089	0	+1,089	Up	-$300	03-28 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	5	$275	2,334	0	+2,334	Down	-$275	10-22 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	5	$275	1,646	0	+1,646	Down	-$275	10-22 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$250	2,328	0	+2,328	Up	-$250	10-21 22:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	6	$249	1,394	0	+1,394	No	-$249	10-24 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:30 UTC	2	$246	2,102	0	+2,102	Up	-$246	03-28 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	7	$230	961	0	+961	Down	-$94	10-21 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	3	$225	2,120	0	+2,120	Up	-$225	10-22 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	3	$225	852	0	+852	Down	-$225	10-22 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$200	1,113	0	+1,113	Down	-$200	10-22 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$200	557	0	+557	Up	+$357	10-22 11:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xfce4a3…
11-01 17:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x373e58…
11-01 17:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb04219…
11-01 17:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7dd460…
11-01 17:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4a83dc…
11-01 17:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x076c30…
11-01 17:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xe56997…
11-01 17:55:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0x8f30b1…
10-28 20:54:19	Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6a0336…
10-24 17:17:06	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xbafa0e…
10-24 17:17:06	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x83bb0b…
10-24 13:55:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0xbdaf7a…
10-24 13:54:44	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	9¢	$12	0x5c7b6b…
10-24 13:54:26	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,598	1¢	$13	0x399472…
10-22 15:23:42	Will SpaceXAI have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x80dd80…
10-22 12:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xbebc58…
10-22 12:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xa53ffa…
10-22 11:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x184ea3…
10-22 11:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xff8a9a…
10-22 11:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x3c89b9…
10-22 11:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	183	14¢	$25	0xc6197b…
10-22 11:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	540	19¢	$100	0x2cb206…
10-22 11:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	509	20¢	$100	0xc16cc9…
10-22 11:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x8fc4fb…
10-22 11:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xfca493…
10-22 11:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x868af7…
10-22 11:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x09d150…
10-22 11:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xe5f4aa…
10-22 11:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0xe35766…
10-22 11:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	415	6¢	$25	0x159c4d…
10-22 11:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa4339f…
10-22 11:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x1473d3…
10-22 11:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	377	27¢	$100	0x6dc3a6…
10-22 11:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x6c3e48…
10-22 11:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0xf1fb47…
10-22 11:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x3eb66f…
10-22 11:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x99ed8a…
10-22 11:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xdf75b8…
10-22 11:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	390	26¢	$100	0xf31519…
10-22 10:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	499	5¢	$25	0x1ce0f3…
10-22 10:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	426	14¢	$58	0xa64505…
10-22 10:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	561	18¢	$100	0x7ce969…
10-22 10:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	558	18¢	$100	0xdc93ff…
10-22 10:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x4a9eb8…
10-22 10:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	235	8¢	$19	0x5d04b7…
10-22 10:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x146106…
10-22 10:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x5ad175…
10-22 10:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	428	23¢	$100	0xec3beb…
10-22 10:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x201ddc…
10-22 10:49:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x304ba2…
10-22 10:45:30	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xfa438b…
10-22 10:44:57	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	29¢	$116	0xcb70ee…
10-22 10:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,250	2¢	$25	0x38d6f3…
10-22 03:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x48332e…
10-22 03:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x8dfbd3…
10-22 03:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x574fae…
10-22 03:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	353	28¢	$100	0x2bb0e2…
10-22 03:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	342	29¢	$100	0xbff33b…
10-22 03:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xbbbb14…
10-22 03:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xe648a4…
10-22 03:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xa8aca4…
10-22 03:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x975541…
10-22 02:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x89a98e…
10-22 02:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x846336…
10-22 02:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x0289de…
10-22 02:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	488	21¢	$100	0x1f6498…
10-22 02:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xc077d8…
10-22 02:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x84fa5c…
10-22 02:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	350	29¢	$100	0x264feb…
10-22 02:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1,250	2¢	$25	0x1f4092…
10-22 02:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x9e6d9c…
10-22 02:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xd92d38…
10-22 02:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	566	4¢	$25	0xdd6695…
10-22 02:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x9a0b32…
10-22 02:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x76ce0c…
10-22 02:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x584184…
10-22 02:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe3072c…
10-22 02:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xf1a148…
10-22 02:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	129	19¢	$25	0x863933…
10-22 02:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x730b85…
10-22 02:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	85	29¢	$25	0x6a92bf…
10-22 02:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x85a6d2…
10-22 02:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	35¢	$13	0x5fb02d…
10-22 02:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x1807fd…
10-22 02:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xb77341…
10-22 02:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	35¢	$15	0x849aad…
10-22 02:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3f53d3…
10-22 02:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x3a088c…
10-22 02:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x1ccb13…
10-22 02:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x190548…
10-22 02:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0x16d04c…
10-22 02:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x14258f…
10-22 02:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x2e2c00…
10-22 02:40:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	20¢	$30	0x1d44f7…
10-22 02:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1c3117…
10-22 02:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1,364	7¢	$100	0x7926b5…
10-22 02:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	116	22¢	$25	0x3c627b…
10-22 02:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	402	25¢	$100	0x9ed2e1…
10-22 02:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	335	30¢	$100	0x32076b…
10-22 02:20:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	407	19¢	$77	0x2ab813…