Calm-Reconsideration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$345

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.7%

Resolved

Trades

747

lifetime

Volume

$30.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-02 23:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-345

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775069400	8	$1.2K	881	854	+27	open	—	04-01 18:55
btc updown 5m 1775264400	4	$949	645	627	+18	open	—	04-04 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	10	$949	721	677	+44	open	—	04-27 05:29
btc updown 5m 1775070600	2	$879	522	511	+11	open	—	04-01 19:15
btc updown 5m 1775265000	5	$847	610	588	+22	open	—	04-04 01:15
btc updown 5m 1775267100	6	$645	739	715	+24	open	—	04-04 01:50
btc updown 5m 1775066700	6	$570	622	596	+26	open	—	04-01 18:10
btc updown 5m 1775279400	2	$552	394	379	+16	open	—	04-04 05:15
btc updown 5m 1775271000	2	$542	277	276	+1	open	—	04-04 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$539	497	497	+0	open	—	04-29 06:33
btc updown 5m 1774927800	2	$500	1,232	0	+1,232	open	—	03-31 03:33
btc updown 5m 1775269200	4	$493	448	431	+17	open	—	04-04 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$444	494	465	+29	open	—	04-27 05:34
btc updown 5m 1775542800	10	$444	473	423	+51	open	—	04-07 06:24
btc updown 5m 1774934700	2	$436	496	475	+22	open	—	03-31 05:29
btc updown 5m 1775060100	4	$427	370	356	+13	open	—	04-01 16:20
btc updown 5m 1775068500	8	$425	298	289	+9	open	—	04-01 18:39
btc updown 5m 1775281800	2	$420	941	900	+41	open	—	04-04 05:54
btc updown 5m 1775268300	2	$414	222	220	+2	open	—	04-04 02:10
btc updown 5m 1775542500	6	$400	361	349	+12	open	—	04-07 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	4	$392	643	643	+0	open	—	04-29 06:44
btc updown 5m 1775105700	4	$390	456	443	+14	open	—	04-02 05:00
btc updown 5m 1775067300	2	$387	354	340	+14	open	—	04-01 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$355	383	383	+0	open	—	04-29 20:50
btc updown 5m 1775542200	3	$354	311	299	+11	open	—	04-07 06:11
btc updown 5m 1777055100	3	$345	381	360	+21	open	—	04-24 18:29
btc updown 5m 1775711400	3	$311	308	294	+14	open	—	04-09 05:14
btc updown 5m 1775711700	3	$283	436	293	+143	open	—	04-09 05:18
btc updown 5m 1775544300	6	$280	211	203	+8	open	—	04-07 06:50
btc updown 5m 1775543100	2	$278	665	634	+31	open	—	04-07 06:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 23:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	84	58¢	$49	0xe81b78…
06-02 23:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	220	45¢	$100	0x76a7d7…
06-02 23:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	199	79¢	$157	0x0dcaa7…
06-02 23:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	199	49¢	$98	0x06a45f…
06-02 23:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	46¢	$16	0x90520d…
06-02 23:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0xaa7bff…
06-02 23:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x93c3ab…
06-02 23:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb2ec00…
06-02 22:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	47	90¢	$43	0x71b5ba…
06-02 22:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0x4d330d…
05-18 06:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x72dae4…
05-18 06:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x702f86…
05-18 06:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xaccddd…
05-18 06:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x13ccf9…
05-18 06:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	561	1¢	$6	0x1205a7…
05-18 06:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	561	4¢	$25	0x42caff…
05-10 16:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	193	50¢	$97	0x228d65…
05-10 15:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	288	33¢	$95	0xbcd5a9…
05-10 15:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	185	52¢	$96	0xac3018…
05-07 03:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	145	31¢	$45	0x3dc06a…
05-07 03:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	118	41¢	$48	0x9abbd6…
05-07 03:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0xed1291…
05-07 03:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xda7aed…
05-07 03:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	56	78¢	$43	0xa32d8f…
05-07 03:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x55670e…
05-07 02:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xee0ce2…
05-07 02:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2deb79…
05-07 02:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x97f609…
05-07 02:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xaa5903…
05-07 02:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xf5a238…
05-07 02:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x4dcb5e…
05-07 02:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	62¢	$8	0x2067a4…
05-07 02:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8d02db…
05-07 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf44512…
05-07 02:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc1be99…
05-07 02:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	54¢	$7	0xfd1356…
05-07 02:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf7863b…
05-07 02:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xac4e1b…
05-07 02:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x2f4511…
05-07 02:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xee2de5…
05-07 02:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0xcbc523…
05-07 02:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xce1bc9…
05-07 02:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xe90e4b…
05-07 01:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb3c997…
05-07 01:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x31af2a…
05-07 01:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2e1526…
05-07 01:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x33d9e8…
05-07 01:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x027d74…
05-07 01:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xdd4b7e…
05-07 01:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x34a4a5…
05-07 01:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x11d847…
05-07 01:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc3d1c7…
05-07 01:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x153b3c…
05-07 01:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4c2be2…
05-06 15:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x309b48…
05-06 15:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0238ad…
05-06 15:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	120	1¢	$1	0xf0f562…
05-06 15:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	120	41¢	$49	0x041e60…
05-02 01:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x335ba3…
05-02 01:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa5f314…
05-02 01:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3d308f…
05-02 01:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0xf64db5…
05-02 01:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2b7fc8…
05-02 01:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	76	86¢	$65	0xf6b313…
05-02 01:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x0ec586…
05-02 01:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xaaf0ac…
05-02 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xbc4d6c…
05-02 01:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2e3e96…
05-02 01:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	29	53¢	$16	0xceb8d1…
05-02 01:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe668b5…
05-02 01:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x64c14f…
05-02 01:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	98	2¢	$2	0x6baa90…
05-02 01:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x71c2d6…
04-29 21:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x065a3b…
04-29 21:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x2eafe8…
04-29 21:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x09b34c…
04-29 21:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	89	12¢	$11	0x9e843c…
04-29 21:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x2ed27e…
04-29 21:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x68eaaa…
04-29 21:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x17d3e3…
04-29 21:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x15d172…
04-29 21:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4b8ba1…
04-29 21:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xaddd73…
04-29 21:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x91e20b…
04-29 20:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xaad21c…
04-29 20:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	88¢	$7	0xeb7de0…
04-29 20:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0xdcf4d4…
04-29 20:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x05d6e0…
04-29 20:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	59	87¢	$52	0x2d1a2d…
04-29 20:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xa433db…
04-29 20:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0xcb941f…
04-29 20:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	121	50¢	$60	0x4f864c…
04-29 20:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	119	51¢	$61	0x49a57a…
04-29 20:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	264	36¢	$94	0x6278aa…
04-29 20:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	383	52¢	$200	0x4ffbc0…
04-29 20:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xcd989f…
04-29 20:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x79886f…
04-29 18:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9789e7…
04-29 18:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x517beb…
04-29 18:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	14¢	$4	0x3b9e7d…