Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$422

Unrealized P&L

-$3.70K

Hit rate

4.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$445.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$9.47K

Open exposure

$165.7K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-01 14:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

61% 43% -$422

Politics

39% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-96,974	-$89,476	94¢	$-90670	-$1,194	08-04 05:36
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	+54,478	$48,900	90¢	$49.3K	+$403	08-08 06:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+27,595	$21,800	82¢	$22.5K	+$690	08-04 05:38
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	+3,434	$2,366	74¢	$2.6K	+$193	09-11 07:07
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	+10,214	$1,190	3¢	$347	-$843	08-03 02:33
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+321	$3,196	86¢	$275	-$2,922	08-08 06:32
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+206	$69	20¢	$42	-$27	09-12 15:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$119.0K	72,561	72,561	+0	No	-$1,141	04-11 23:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	10	$89.5K	0	96,974	-96,974	open	—	08-04 05:36
Iran leadership change by December 31?	6	$68.8K	43,588	43,267	+321	open	—	08-08 06:32
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	1	$48.9K	54,478	0	+54,478	open	—	08-08 06:35
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	6	$23.2K	19,249	19,249	+0	open	—	10-01 14:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$21.8K	27,595	0	+27,595	open	—	08-04 05:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	3	$18.8K	11,937	11,937	+0	open	—	08-08 06:33
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	3	$14.8K	8,359	8,359	+0	open	—	08-08 06:34
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	2	$13.6K	11,334	7,900	+3,434	open	—	09-11 07:07
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$9.5K	6,280	6,280	+0	Yes	-$542	04-11 12:28
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	2	$8.7K	7,833	7,609	+224	No	-$42	01-04 07:49
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	1	$5.3K	5,717	0	+5,717	No	+$421	08-04 05:34
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	1	$1.2K	10,214	0	+10,214	open	—	08-03 02:33
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	1	$1000	1,365	0	+1,365	No	+$365	04-11 12:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$804	1,421	0	+1,421	No	+$617	04-10 00:58
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	1	$100	1,207	0	+1,207	No	-$100	04-10 00:56
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	1	$69	206	0	+206	open	—	09-12 15:00
spacex starship fully reusable before 2028	1	$40	90	0	+90	open	—	08-03 02:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 14:11:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	Yes	SELL	12,719	55¢	$7,052	0x663b94…
10-01 14:11:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	Yes	SELL	460	46¢	$212	0x652634…
10-01 14:11:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	Yes	SELL	6,070	52¢	$3,135	0x3857e6…
09-12 15:00:48	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	34¢	$69	0x9fdac7…
09-11 07:08:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,259	68¢	$5,617	0xc794ad…
09-11 07:07:55	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	7,900	71¢	$5,634	0xeb5142…
09-11 07:00:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,454	61¢	$5,800	0xb20a0c…
08-08 06:35:21	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	54,478	90¢	$48,900	0x9dc3d0…
08-08 06:34:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	SELL	8,359	87¢	$7,309	0xff258e…
08-08 06:33:30	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,600	70¢	$1,114	0xae87a6…
08-08 06:33:30	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,337	74¢	$7,652	0x21e7c5…
08-08 06:32:49	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	2,177	65¢	$1,409	0xd19987…
08-08 06:32:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	13,918	73¢	$10,153	0xe7efe1…
08-08 06:32:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	27,172	78¢	$21,241	0xe1ef68…
08-04 05:38:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	27,595	79¢	$21,800	0xac1e29…
08-04 05:38:09	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	5,877	85¢	$5,000	0x1f07e8…
08-04 05:36:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	29,000	93¢	$26,883	0xac87a0…
08-04 05:34:08	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	5,717	93¢	$5,296	0xd09dd8…
08-04 05:33:20	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	5,700	93¢	$5,301	0x95bf61…
08-03 08:03:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	2,213	89¢	$1,980	0xd30a8b…
08-03 08:02:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	92¢	$1,840	0x89b29a…
08-03 06:11:51	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,937	84¢	$10,000	0xd8c5c6…
08-03 06:10:29	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	11,000	92¢	$10,120	0x906784…
08-03 06:07:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	11,918	85¢	$10,100	0x49447b…
08-03 06:06:56	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	11,000	92¢	$10,120	0xb81889…
08-03 02:33:59	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10,214	12¢	$1,190	0x94c83a…
08-03 02:33:20	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1,300	92¢	$1,196	0x3c311a…
08-03 02:31:41	spacex starship fully reusable before 2028	No	BUY	90	44¢	$40	0x80400a…
08-03 02:03:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	25,792	81¢	$20,900	0x16c77c…
08-03 02:02:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	22,674	92¢	$20,860	0x79bcdf…
08-03 01:31:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	6,146	89¢	$5,500	0x51e910…
08-03 01:30:29	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	6,000	92¢	$5,520	0x5aaaf7…
08-03 01:19:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	Yes	BUY	1,536	91¢	$1,400	0xba7991…
08-03 01:18:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1,400	92¢	$1,288	0xcebb8a…
08-03 01:13:50	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	No	BUY	11,334	71¢	$8,000	0x689fd5…
08-03 01:11:27	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	6,900	92¢	$6,348	0x6f7a29…
04-11 23:42:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	60,561	81¢	$49,006	0x125ee8…
04-11 23:11:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	12,000	83¢	$9,923	0x171f2f…
04-11 12:36:53	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	No	BUY	1,365	73¢	$1,000	0x3c597d…
04-11 12:28:45	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6,280	71¢	$4,458	0xc34f63…
04-10 06:52:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	11,133	83¢	$9,240	0xae725a…
04-10 06:51:41	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6,280	80¢	$5,000	0x5b36ed…
04-10 01:09:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	61,428	83¢	$50,830	0x5f9b70…
04-10 00:58:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,421	57¢	$804	0x5430a6…
04-10 00:56:31	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	BUY	1,207	8¢	$100	0x3ebf95…
01-04 07:49:27	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	No	SELL	7,609	56¢	$4,234	0x3836dc…
01-04 06:49:27	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	No	BUY	7,833	57¢	$4,500	0x942c46…