Soft-Statute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$949

Unrealized P&L

-$4.57K

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

Trades

6,106

lifetime

Volume

$14.7M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.41K

Open exposure

$276

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% — —

Other

38% 67% +$949

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No		-562	$-275	49¢	$-275	$-0	06-30 17:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes		-212	$4,566	0¢	$-0	$-4,566	06-19 17:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	305	$2.32M	1,184,003	1,184,003	+0	open	—	04-01 04:44
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	143	$1.83M	996,003	958,558	+37,445	open	—	04-09 00:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	828	$1.04M	772,974	554,653	+218,321	open	—	02-01 05:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	69	$783.7K	799,067	55,073	+743,994	open	—	04-09 11:07
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	19	$720.1K	724,234	0	+724,234	open	—	03-04 18:26
will iran strike israel on march 6	1	$699.3K	700,000	0	+700,000	open	—	03-11 10:43
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$580.3K	582,000	0	+582,000	open	—	04-30 00:34
nvda above 155 on january 23 2026	1	$451.2K	451,688	0	+451,688	open	—	01-23 20:52
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	3	$419.6K	420,000	0	+420,000	open	—	01-20 16:55
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	41	$405.7K	406,074	0	+406,074	open	—	06-18 23:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$398.8K	400,000	0	+400,000	open	—	06-03 01:24
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	18	$386.7K	194,035	194,035	+0	open	—	05-22 08:26
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	486	$308.6K	188,249	188,363	-114	open	—	01-31 13:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	125	$297.9K	271,928	115,289	+156,639	open	—	03-03 18:00
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	66	$258.9K	212,642	50,000	+162,642	open	—	01-07 22:07
maduro in us custody by january 31	4	$239.8K	240,000	0	+240,000	open	—	01-06 07:01
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	60	$221.2K	141,740	91,740	+50,000	open	—	01-15 00:59
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	664	$215.9K	278,027	48,756	+229,271	open	—	01-30 06:46
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	31	$210.5K	210,934	0	+210,934	open	—	01-03 16:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	333	$167.6K	468,145	384,344	+83,801	open	—	05-28 16:02
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	1	$154.9K	155,091	0	+155,091	open	—	03-06 04:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	116	$125.6K	213,847	108,150	+105,697	open	—	05-27 04:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	82	$118.1K	65,468	65,468	+0	open	—	05-14 11:47
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	32	$115.1K	79,769	79,769	+0	open	—	04-08 01:12
will zama launch a token in 2025	1	$108.4K	108,529	0	+108,529	open	—	01-01 07:34
will seguro win all of portugals districts	30	$99.3K	48,650	59,717	-11,067	open	—	02-08 22:10
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	64	$96.9K	71,975	70,887	+1,088	open	—	03-29 20:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	3	$96.8K	50,000	48,982	+1,018	open	—	05-23 01:47
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	1	$92.1K	92,203	0	+92,203	open	—	06-12 20:22
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	45	$87.1K	54,210	54,210	+0	open	—	05-23 23:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 21:20:22	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	11,451	54¢	$6,168	0xc4fd29…
06-30 21:19:25	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3,378	49¢	$1,641	0x340036…
06-30 21:12:59	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3,000	54¢	$1,620	0x3054e1…
06-30 21:09:23	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0xd915e8…
06-30 21:09:19	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x50691d…
06-30 21:09:19	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x4890cc…
06-30 21:09:19	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x187b5b…
06-30 21:09:17	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2,410	59¢	$1,410	0xcc5764…
06-30 21:05:58	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xd3d1b8…
06-30 21:05:53	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,619	58¢	$934	0x76ea8d…
06-30 21:05:53	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x2a0789…
06-30 17:17:07	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	74	49¢	$36	0x05b0a4…
06-30 08:44:52	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x5b1ba6…
06-30 08:08:43	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x3e5da5…
06-30 07:27:46	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x086516…
06-30 03:36:50	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x48edd1…
06-30 03:30:50	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xee1ac7…
06-30 03:29:34	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xb1f2bf…
06-30 03:28:19	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x601969…
06-30 03:27:02	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x0d05b4…
06-30 02:57:44	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0xd10332…
06-30 01:39:07	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x262563…
06-29 14:39:28	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0x9f7149…
06-29 11:29:31	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x4cef91…
06-29 07:42:17	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xc12e8d…
06-27 12:27:11	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x096c6f…
06-26 23:28:26	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	2,000	77¢	$1,544	0x360f1e…
06-26 17:43:43	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	26	49¢	$12	0x3c7bfc…
06-26 16:24:58	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	44	49¢	$22	0x7d8e9b…
06-26 15:51:49	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xee978a…
06-26 15:51:49	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xd0bac1…
06-26 08:45:35	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xe06d79…
06-26 06:38:19	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xb28d1b…
06-26 05:08:34	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xc56207…
06-26 04:48:52	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x55caf4…
06-26 04:20:07	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	68	49¢	$33	0x3ea521…
06-25 22:27:50	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xd85063…
06-25 15:53:02	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xfed895…
06-25 13:52:04	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xb5a8ba…
06-25 07:53:55	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x752647…
06-25 07:42:56	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x2ac2a6…
06-25 07:37:47	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x2782b0…
06-25 07:37:47	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x0da92f…
06-25 07:32:02	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xb1aa0a…
06-25 07:32:01	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x048ee3…
06-25 07:26:16	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xa9e1a5…
06-25 07:26:14	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x5f278e…
06-25 07:20:28	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xce0b43…
06-25 07:20:28	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xab4101…
06-25 07:15:26	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0xd16f50…
06-25 07:09:02	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x0d1141…
06-25 07:09:01	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xcc3d37…
06-25 07:03:16	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xa26211…
06-25 07:03:16	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x7141e2…
06-25 06:57:47	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x712b04…
06-25 06:57:47	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x3eee03…
06-25 06:55:53	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x5d4246…
06-25 06:41:37	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x12aaec…
06-24 17:02:04	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xddaa16…
06-24 13:14:43	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0x2877ec…
06-24 11:06:10	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x6a72a5…
06-24 10:04:08	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x1524f2…
06-24 10:02:55	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x8ee944…
06-24 09:49:41	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x2b79c3…
06-24 08:36:55	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	41	49¢	$20	0x3bfde3…
06-22 20:29:08	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	72	49¢	$35	0x671523…
06-19 17:11:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	28,124	40¢	$11,363	0x2ff5e2…
06-19 16:24:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10,000	57¢	$5,700	0x452209…
06-19 12:14:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x213970…
06-19 12:09:32	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	603	29¢	$175	0x969e8b…
06-19 11:41:01	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,888	29¢	$1,128	0xbeb702…
06-19 11:39:56	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	29¢	$60	0x9f451f…
06-19 10:23:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6,108	55¢	$3,359	0xf132fb…
06-19 09:30:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd6847d…
06-19 09:29:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,361	54¢	$1,815	0x1b91a4…
06-19 08:33:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,219	57¢	$1,265	0x63b194…
06-19 08:30:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd324d1…
06-19 08:29:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0xf61442…
06-19 08:27:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x849886…
06-19 08:24:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	930	57¢	$530	0x6a1f70…
06-19 08:23:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	57¢	$171	0x83b2b0…
06-19 08:22:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x598e43…
06-19 08:21:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	407	57¢	$232	0xad1396…
06-19 08:20:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x5e2817…
06-19 08:19:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x2fd3dc…
06-19 08:16:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x61d0c2…
06-19 08:15:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x3d2d6a…
06-19 08:14:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0xdc3540…
06-19 08:14:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	465	57¢	$265	0x8a4d27…
06-19 08:12:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcc2148…
06-19 08:10:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,388	57¢	$1,361	0xed5dda…
06-19 08:10:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	116	57¢	$66	0x8c5815…
06-19 08:09:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xea2bd8…
06-19 08:09:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x34e078…
06-19 08:01:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x34fc0b…
06-19 08:01:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	55	57¢	$31	0xc6ef62…
06-19 07:59:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xc29f3d…
06-19 07:59:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,788	57¢	$1,589	0x7b4cdd…
06-19 07:58:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe79900…
06-19 07:58:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,000	58¢	$1,740	0x5e0334…