Soft-Statute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$949

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

Trades

6,517

lifetime

Volume

$15.2M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.33K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% — —

Other

38% 67% +$949

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	305	$2.32M	1,184,003	1,184,003	+0	open	—	04-01 04:44
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	143	$1.83M	996,003	958,558	+37,445	open	—	04-09 00:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	828	$1.04M	772,974	554,653	+218,321	open	—	02-01 05:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	69	$783.7K	799,067	55,073	+743,994	open	—	04-09 11:07
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	19	$720.1K	724,234	0	+724,234	open	—	03-04 18:26
will iran strike israel on march 6	1	$699.3K	700,000	0	+700,000	open	—	03-11 10:43
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$580.3K	582,000	0	+582,000	open	—	04-30 00:34
nvda above 155 on january 23 2026	1	$451.2K	451,688	0	+451,688	open	—	01-23 20:52
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	3	$419.6K	420,000	0	+420,000	open	—	01-20 16:55
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	41	$405.7K	406,074	0	+406,074	open	—	06-18 23:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$398.8K	400,000	0	+400,000	open	—	06-03 01:24
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	18	$386.7K	194,035	194,035	+0	open	—	05-22 08:26
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	486	$308.6K	188,249	188,363	-114	open	—	01-31 13:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	125	$297.9K	271,928	115,289	+156,639	open	—	03-03 18:00
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	66	$258.9K	212,642	50,000	+162,642	open	—	01-07 22:07
maduro in us custody by january 31	4	$239.8K	240,000	0	+240,000	open	—	01-06 07:01
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	60	$221.2K	141,740	91,740	+50,000	open	—	01-15 00:59
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	664	$215.9K	278,027	48,756	+229,271	open	—	01-30 06:46
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	31	$210.5K	210,934	0	+210,934	open	—	01-03 16:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	333	$167.6K	468,145	384,344	+83,801	open	—	05-28 16:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	111	$156.5K	100,000	100,000	+0	open	—	08-02 02:08
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	1	$154.9K	155,091	0	+155,091	open	—	03-06 04:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	116	$125.6K	213,847	108,150	+105,697	open	—	05-27 04:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	82	$118.1K	65,468	65,468	+0	open	—	05-14 11:47
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	32	$115.1K	79,769	79,769	+0	open	—	04-08 01:12
will zama launch a token in 2025	1	$108.4K	108,529	0	+108,529	open	—	01-01 07:34
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	7	$102.0K	116,047	0	+116,047	open	—	08-10 11:56
will seguro win all of portugals districts	30	$99.3K	48,650	59,717	-11,067	open	—	02-08 22:10
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	64	$96.9K	71,975	70,887	+1,088	open	—	03-29 20:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	3	$96.8K	50,000	48,982	+1,018	open	—	05-23 01:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:56:19	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x32b63c…
08-10 11:56:19	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x033141…
08-10 11:56:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	106,744	88¢	$93,934	0x30d849…
08-06 19:13:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	5,485	75¢	$4,114	0x868a5d…
08-05 23:14:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,974	84¢	$1,658	0xd2aa79…
08-05 22:57:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	56	37¢	$21	0xd5b824…
08-05 22:57:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	753	37¢	$280	0x1b9bdb…
08-05 22:28:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x8b74ee…
08-05 22:28:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x8c8bf5…
08-05 22:28:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x8b5e90…
08-05 22:28:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	8,664	37¢	$3,223	0x145c6a…
08-05 20:27:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	10,499	85¢	$8,914	0xd4fb03…
08-05 19:52:27	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xb16f38…
08-05 19:06:11	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	5,566	87¢	$4,843	0xe30c17…
08-02 02:08:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	44,415	77¢	$34,200	0x7ec79e…
08-02 01:42:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	117	77¢	$90	0x923c5d…
08-02 01:21:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	74	77¢	$57	0x9229b1…
08-02 01:18:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0xbc8801…
08-02 01:17:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,250	77¢	$962	0x571188…
08-02 01:16:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xc2479d…
08-02 01:15:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x989dad…
08-01 03:13:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x9ee242…
08-01 02:54:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	110	77¢	$85	0x772a37…
08-01 02:44:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xca21ba…
08-01 02:28:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,214	77¢	$934	0x3a7fa7…
08-01 02:19:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	65	77¢	$50	0x705b72…
08-01 01:20:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0x8cfcfb…
08-01 01:12:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x1fe783…
08-01 00:34:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xbb271d…
08-01 00:34:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x221a7c…
08-01 00:34:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	400	77¢	$308	0x1ba688…
08-01 00:21:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	41	77¢	$32	0x4d1b95…
07-31 22:43:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	27	77¢	$21	0x90fde1…
07-31 22:22:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xefdc01…
07-31 22:16:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x054a68…
07-31 22:16:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xe14cd3…
07-31 22:15:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0xd37097…
07-31 22:15:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0xde6fad…
07-31 22:14:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xb40ac6…
07-31 22:14:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xf9c850…
07-31 21:54:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	24	77¢	$19	0xd000e8…
07-31 21:40:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x33faef…
07-31 21:37:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	44	77¢	$34	0xc841a4…
07-31 21:36:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x3fbabf…
07-31 21:32:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x7042bf…
07-31 21:25:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	130	77¢	$100	0x822fe8…
07-31 21:15:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x6ba204…
07-31 20:18:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	666	77¢	$513	0x3ee430…
07-31 20:16:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xb18799…
07-31 20:15:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xc9ec16…
07-31 19:58:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x4c64cc…
07-31 19:47:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x9a60a7…
07-31 19:29:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xb1fcf8…
07-31 19:27:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xff2c83…
07-31 19:26:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x3af9aa…
07-31 19:19:05	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	4,467	57¢	$2,564	0x45a39e…
07-31 19:18:42	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x07d684…
07-31 19:18:36	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xe8825e…
07-31 19:18:36	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x661a76…
07-31 19:18:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xf69439…
07-31 19:18:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd41fb5…
07-31 19:18:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa485bc…
07-31 19:18:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x9ac973…
07-31 19:18:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x73065e…
07-31 19:18:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$9	0x4d60d2…
07-31 19:18:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x48cbf3…
07-31 19:18:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x364069…
07-31 19:18:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$3	0x238226…
07-31 19:18:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x1dfd23…
07-31 19:18:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1d7d49…
07-31 19:18:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0bdd07…
07-31 19:18:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xee8696…
07-31 19:18:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xdbcd44…
07-31 19:18:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x97d65f…
07-31 19:18:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9432e7…
07-31 19:18:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x73b6a8…
07-31 19:18:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x66dcad…
07-31 19:18:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5c4c66…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xecc7c7…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xe89965…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd894e0…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	47	57¢	$27	0xce7b52…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc72edd…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xb39a18…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x8a8eba…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x883922…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x824106…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x77b3f6…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x6a7236…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6722f1…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4e4616…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x1fcd85…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1c5047…
07-31 19:18:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x16dcf3…
07-31 19:18:30	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf6af5a…
07-31 19:18:30	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0xc9ed64…
07-31 19:18:30	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb01cc4…
07-31 19:18:30	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa9b541…
07-31 19:18:30	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	77	57¢	$44	0x6bbe35…
07-31 19:18:30	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4fe93d…