Realized P&L
+$318.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$29.6K
Hit rate
81.6%
Resolved
277
Trades
9,813
lifetime
Volume
$19.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.01K
Open exposure
$416.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 19:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Politics
52%
66%
+$186,526
Other
43%
62%
+$172,738
Crypto
2%
100%
+$3,822
Sports
2%
43%
-$46,438
Tech
1%
50%
+$1,352
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk
• peak 304 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 305 | $2.32M | 1,184,003 | 1,184,003 | +0 | No | +$38,717 | 04-01 04:44 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 143 | $1.83M | 996,003 | 958,558 | +37,445 | Yes | -$3,160 | 04-09 00:13 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 828 | $1.04M | 772,974 | 554,653 | +218,321 | No | +$9,589 | 02-01 05:29 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 69 | $783.7K | 799,067 | 55,073 | +743,994 | Yes | +$10,437 | 04-09 11:07 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 19 | $720.1K | 724,234 | 0 | +724,234 | No | +$4,166 | 03-04 18:26 |
| will iran strike israel on march 6 | 1 | $699.3K | 700,000 | 0 | +700,000 | No | +$700 | 03-11 10:43 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | 1 | $679.3K | 680,020 | 0 | +680,020 | No | +$680 | 07-06 21:06 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 1 | $580.3K | 582,000 | 0 | +582,000 | No | +$1,746 | 04-30 00:34 |
| nvda above 155 on january 23 2026 | 1 | $451.2K | 451,688 | 0 | +451,688 | Yes | +$452 | 01-23 20:52 |
| will melania say career during ai talk on friday | 3 | $419.6K | 420,000 | 0 | +420,000 | No | +$420 | 01-20 16:55 |
| will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30 | 41 | $405.7K | 406,074 | 0 | +406,074 | Yes | +$406 | 06-18 23:00 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 1 | $398.8K | 400,000 | 0 | +400,000 | No | +$1,200 | 06-03 01:24 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 1 | $398.0K | 400,000 | 0 | +400,000 | Yes | +$2,000 | 06-13 15:31 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | 18 | $386.7K | 194,035 | 194,035 | +0 | No | +$954 | 05-22 08:26 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | 244 | $362.3K | 375,404 | 0 | +375,404 | No | +$13,094 | 07-19 19:07 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 486 | $308.6K | 188,249 | 188,363 | -114 | No | +$6,243 | 01-31 13:39 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | 39 | $299.7K | 300,000 | 0 | +300,000 | No | +$300 | 06-29 23:11 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 125 | $297.9K | 271,928 | 115,289 | +156,639 | Yes | +$71,111 | 03-03 18:00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | 29 | $262.0K | 250,003 | 100,000 | +150,003 | No | +$35,221 | 07-29 17:23 |
| new stranger things episode released by wednesday | 66 | $258.9K | 212,642 | 50,000 | +162,642 | No | +$2,498 | 01-07 22:07 |
| maduro in us custody by january 31 | 4 | $239.8K | 240,000 | 0 | +240,000 | Yes | +$240 | 01-06 07:01 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 60 | $221.2K | 141,740 | 91,740 | +50,000 | No | +$5,285 | 01-15 00:59 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 664 | $215.9K | 278,027 | 48,756 | +229,271 | Yes | -$21,902 | 01-30 06:46 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 18 | $214.2K | 160,824 | 65,510 | +95,314 | Yes | +$11,760 | 09-21 06:55 |
| us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983 | 31 | $210.5K | 210,934 | 0 | +210,934 | No | +$477 | 01-03 16:25 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 129 | $204.2K | 158,865 | 158,865 | +0 | open | — | 10-28 02:06 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | 125 | $200.6K | 175,576 | 48,183 | +127,393 | open | — | 10-29 21:56 |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | 3 | $198.4K | 200,411 | 0 | +200,411 | No | +$2,006 | 08-18 16:07 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 371 | $182.2K | 587,309 | 402,617 | +184,691 | No | -$12,053 | 05-28 16:02 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | 79 | $163.3K | 207,488 | 5,000 | +202,488 | No | +$41,398 | 09-15 16:29 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||