Dual-Carry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

1,123

Trades

1,770

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-30 01:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 82% -$20

Other

43% 53% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 252 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 20?	7	$50	104	104	-0	No	+$7	07-20 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 4?	9	$49	104	104	+0	Yes	+$6	07-04 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 3?	2	$40	67	67	+0	No	+$3	07-01 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 30?	5	$38	65	65	+0	No	+$4	06-29 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 29?	3	$37	69	69	+0	No	+$4	06-27 16:35
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 22?	3	$36	21	21	-0	Yes	+$4	05-22 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 17?	4	$31	83	83	+0	No	+$4	07-16 01:48
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 18?	9	$31	63	63	+0	Yes	+$3	07-18 06:23
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 1?	4	$30	18	18	+0	Yes	-$2	06-01 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 9?	4	$27	52	52	+0	No	+$4	07-09 02:20
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 24?	5	$26	29	22	+7	No	-$25	05-24 08:53
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 23?	2	$25	14	14	+0	Yes	+$3	05-23 11:53
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 3?	2	$25	14	14	+0	Yes	+$3	06-03 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 14?	12	$24	66	66	+0	Yes	+$3	07-14 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 6?	2	$24	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	06-06 11:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?	2	$23	37	37	+0	Yes	+$2	06-17 13:43
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 23?	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$4	05-23 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 12?	3	$22	43	43	+0	No	+$4	07-11 02:41
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 7?	2	$22	48	48	+0	No	+$3	07-07 03:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?	2	$22	35	35	+0	No	+$1	06-19 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 2?	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-02 14:42
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 16?	2	$21	33	33	+0	No	+$1	07-15 02:01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 5?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	06-05 13:11
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 20?	3	$17	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	05-20 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 17?	3	$17	9	9	+0	Yes	+$2	05-17 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on April 30?	2	$16	13	13	+0	Yes	+$10	04-30 10:35
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 21?	2	$16	9	9	+0	Yes	+$3	05-21 11:16
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 22?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	-$2	05-22 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 27?	2	$15	24	24	+0	No	-$1	05-27 04:33
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 21?	2	$15	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	05-21 11:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 01:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x0bc22c…
10-30 00:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x01fdf3…
10-29 23:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x3d6b6b…
10-29 01:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x93964a…
10-27 23:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0x9e8868…
10-08 22:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xab903d…
10-08 17:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x710305…
10-08 16:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x8279a9…
10-08 16:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x6fb2d3…
10-08 16:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x5674b6…
10-08 16:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcc76dc…
10-08 16:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x107899…
10-08 15:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3e9348…
10-08 15:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdf2635…
10-08 11:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x086814…
10-08 04:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc78070…
10-08 04:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xb38256…
10-08 03:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$6	0x914354…
10-07 18:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x22c9a3…
10-07 17:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb27e9b…
10-07 16:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7cb8e1…
10-07 15:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf32ff2…
10-07 15:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4e6f6c…
10-07 02:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x699883…
10-07 02:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xeba091…
10-06 14:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5e09a7…
10-06 13:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x84dced…
10-06 07:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8afbb8…
09-16 18:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0x45d9d8…
09-16 13:33:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0x4a9ef9…
09-15 15:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf984e5…
09-15 15:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x43a61c…
09-15 13:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x07b6c3…
09-15 10:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xbd9ff9…
09-07 03:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcb0cdd…
09-07 00:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5ca216…
09-07 00:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x37d536…
09-06 21:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x96a9d0…
09-05 20:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xcad094…
09-04 21:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7a5cda…
09-04 20:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3f5da2…
09-04 14:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x006b4d…
09-04 13:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x898e20…
09-04 13:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8679c4…
09-04 12:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x88f457…
09-04 00:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x4e074a…
09-03 21:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x57eda5…
09-03 13:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4bb458…
09-03 03:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa0786b…
09-02 15:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcb050a…
09-01 20:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9ee905…
09-01 11:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcecc9b…
09-01 10:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x035401…
09-01 08:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x19569c…
09-01 08:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xf0c864…
09-01 08:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa2b5e1…
09-01 08:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xb9a52d…
09-01 08:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6054d0…
09-01 07:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9d12c8…
09-01 07:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1155d7…
09-01 01:07:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6db6c1…
08-31 14:08:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x14ae98…
08-31 12:32:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6c36b5…
08-31 06:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xeb10c5…
08-31 05:57:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x777238…
08-31 04:38:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x760576…
08-30 23:22:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x2fb286…
08-30 22:58:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x442c22…
08-30 22:48:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x16ff73…
08-30 22:32:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3c68d3…
08-30 20:53:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xeb3087…
08-30 20:38:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0843ed…
08-30 12:57:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x45f41f…
08-30 10:28:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x02884f…
08-28 18:27:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x922b6b…
08-28 17:27:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6cb0e4…
08-28 17:23:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xd87577…
08-28 17:18:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x597c1e…
08-28 17:02:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd5d098…
08-28 16:52:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xef4c90…
08-28 14:23:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa3a3c4…
08-28 14:08:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x2ffa4a…
08-28 02:47:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6818de…
08-27 15:17:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb81360…
08-27 15:07:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xff2580…
08-27 14:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x23de36…
08-27 11:52:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x62101f…
08-27 08:23:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6c07d4…
08-26 01:07:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xda263e…
08-25 20:52:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x51f4fc…
08-25 15:08:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x130d5c…
08-25 14:57:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x20e818…
08-25 14:28:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x84fcce…
08-25 14:02:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb4aba5…
08-25 10:48:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe2445a…
08-25 09:37:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x06a2bc…
08-24 17:28:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa9d038…
08-24 17:18:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa36d3c…
08-24 16:55:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2bb437…
08-24 15:53:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd90356…