Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,229

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 04-26 14:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

49% 67% +$6

Politics

27% 0% $-1

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$255	207	207	+0	open	—	03-02 21:15
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	14	$240	323	322	+1	open	—	03-12 15:42
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	11	$226	179	179	+0	open	—	03-16 07:35
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	5	$137	90	90	+0	open	—	03-28 12:23
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	7	$122	97	97	+0	open	—	04-01 18:09
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	15	$109	148	147	+1	Yes	$-2	04-26 14:05
will clavicular be the top ranked chad by march 31	8	$103	156	86	+70	open	—	03-15 11:10
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	4	$102	64	64	+0	open	—	03-13 22:40
will one piece season 2 be the top us netflix show this week	7	$102	126	126	+0	open	—	03-15 04:34
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	8	$100	101	101	+0	Yes	+$10	04-21 12:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$98	138	138	+0	open	—	03-12 20:57
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$90	157	86	+71	open	—	04-07 22:41
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	5	$85	67	67	+0	open	—	03-08 21:07
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$83	98	97	+1	open	—	03-29 10:28
will mexico finish atop pool b at the 2026 world baseball classic	2	$83	83	83	+0	open	—	03-11 23:53
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	5	$82	56	56	+0	open	—	03-12 03:27
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	12	$81	114	112	+2	open	—	03-11 20:14
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	6	$72	108	108	+0	open	—	04-15 20:10
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	5	$71	86	85	+1	open	—	03-07 20:47
will louis theroux inside the manosphere be the 2 us netflix movie this week	5	$70	46	46	+0	open	—	03-13 00:46
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026?	4	$69	95	95	+0	open	—	03-10 08:17
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$68	62	62	+0	open	—	03-17 16:37
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	4	$67	59	59	+0	open	—	04-05 12:35
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	13	$67	97	96	+1	open	—	04-20 00:12
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$67	60	60	+0	open	—	04-18 10:26
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	2	$66	43	43	+0	open	—	03-11 14:11
bitcoin above 72k on march 9	3	$66	61	61	+0	open	—	03-04 14:33
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	6	$66	62	61	+1	open	—	03-22 08:16
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	2	$66	103	103	+0	open	—	03-11 09:08
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?	6	$66	45	44	+1	open	—	03-28 11:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-26 14:05:18	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0xb06638…
04-24 14:05:12	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd3ae09…
04-24 14:05:02	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcb9492…
04-24 14:05:02	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x032180…
04-24 14:05:00	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4240eb…
04-24 14:05:00	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x10ab86…
04-24 14:04:04	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xa6f576…
04-24 14:04:04	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	No	BUY	44	29¢	$13	0x69440e…
04-24 13:10:16	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x5f7d9f…
04-23 17:10:46	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x245a54…
04-23 16:55:06	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa5aea3…
04-23 16:53:46	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0x4d2f43…
04-21 20:56:14	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27	76¢	$21	0x0e8438…
04-21 18:12:56	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x6fce30…
04-21 15:55:06	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0x0591a6…
04-21 14:36:38	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x4e4432…
04-21 12:57:42	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	27	54¢	$15	0x09013e…
04-20 20:32:28	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x3fafec…
04-20 20:32:26	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xc1820c…
04-20 20:32:26	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0xbf4e10…
04-20 20:32:26	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0xaaa827…
04-20 20:32:22	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xfd1903…
04-20 20:32:22	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xb91e8e…
04-20 20:32:22	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x2c9143…
04-20 20:32:22	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x2b3bde…
04-20 20:32:22	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x1944a5…
04-20 20:32:20	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd87a84…
04-20 20:32:20	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x948420…
04-20 20:32:16	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x1962de…
04-20 00:12:38	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x957f32…
04-20 00:07:16	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x3d6922…
04-19 12:56:58	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x77e95f…
04-18 19:33:22	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	34	55¢	$19	0x5dee26…
04-18 17:00:38	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xf9f2c1…
04-18 17:00:30	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0x63dadb…
04-18 11:56:14	Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	No	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0x5b0711…
04-18 11:54:54	Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	No	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0x38ce10…
04-18 10:26:24	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	32	62¢	$20	0xe7a54b…
04-17 19:04:40	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	51	40¢	$20	0xa8c249…
04-17 12:50:52	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0x2b72e8…
04-16 11:53:48	Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	No	BUY	42	34¢	$14	0x1cfbd2…
04-16 11:51:44	Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xf56ec8…
04-15 20:10:42	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	62	11¢	$7	0x386550…
04-15 19:03:50	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xb69377…
04-15 19:03:50	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x0c46db…
04-15 18:59:28	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0x47a428…
04-15 13:17:44	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xceda9f…
04-15 02:14:20	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x7acd4a…
04-14 22:44:14	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x24947c…
04-14 13:30:53	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	33	45¢	$15	0x9a1e71…
04-14 13:28:07	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x2c62e5…
04-14 12:33:45	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xf445ca…
04-13 20:09:39	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0xe85805…
04-13 16:34:31	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0xaf5727…
04-13 03:35:49	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	Yes	SELL	65	14¢	$9	0x9d49a7…
04-12 23:23:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	No	SELL	28	62¢	$17	0xec73e7…
04-12 23:22:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	No	BUY	28	52¢	$14	0x4fd527…
04-12 21:21:45	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0x5c8641…
04-12 20:43:21	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xfe3b56…
04-12 19:17:53	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xac6aff…
04-12 15:41:41	Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	Yes	SELL	68	19¢	$13	0xea0078…
04-12 14:36:45	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xded7a0…
04-12 13:17:41	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xd43340…
04-12 13:17:09	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	15	76¢	$12	0x774b1d…
04-12 13:05:17	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x6d95ff…
04-12 12:54:45	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xa23c40…
04-12 12:19:13	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0xe3aab9…
04-12 06:51:37	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x2b1038…
04-12 01:20:39	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	28	62¢	$17	0xa47318…
04-11 19:21:15	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x60030c…
04-11 12:48:05	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	21¢	$7	0x117935…
04-11 09:19:45	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0x7dbda0…
04-11 03:35:29	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x013668…
04-11 03:35:19	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	Yes	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0xcd75e1…
04-11 03:35:13	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x7e323b…
04-10 21:47:27	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xb9a79b…
04-10 21:47:11	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x5fd2c0…
04-10 21:16:09	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	53¢	$23	0x25e532…
04-10 16:59:17	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x6a785e…
04-10 15:41:19	Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0xc75de9…
04-10 06:41:27	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7e538b…
04-10 06:41:01	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x89232c…
04-10 03:14:07	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	33	60¢	$20	0x8c179d…
04-10 01:47:25	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0x9a982c…
04-09 23:03:41	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	27¢	$11	0xd5f45d…
04-09 22:54:39	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	31	34¢	$11	0xcf40b2…
04-09 22:46:37	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x532a89…
04-09 20:20:25	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x1f85cc…
04-09 20:19:07	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xba12f7…
04-09 20:19:05	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x48e80d…
04-09 01:20:33	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x492f4e…
04-08 19:45:19	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	SELL	48	27¢	$13	0x550632…
04-08 19:26:39	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x254174…
04-07 23:03:19	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x6de244…
04-07 22:56:25	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x6d5c5b…
04-07 22:54:03	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0x1d7c81…
04-07 22:53:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	26	40¢	$11	0x848d1d…
04-07 22:53:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xb2cff6…
04-07 22:53:35	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x938a36…
04-07 22:52:03	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	52¢	$17	0x07740d…