Variable-Diadem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

1,280

Trades

2,669

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 10-15 01:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 73% -$77

Other

1% 50% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	5	$481	339	196	+143	Down	+$14	10-08 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$288	161	161	+0	Up	+$8	10-08 21:12
Solana Up or Down - October 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$284	149	149	+0	Up	+$4	10-08 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$283	152	152	+0	Up	+$3	10-08 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$283	165	165	+0	Up	+$3	10-08 20:37
Solana Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$145	158	158	+0	Down	-$135	10-08 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$140	161	0	+161	Down	+$21	10-08 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$140	152	0	+152	Down	+$12	10-08 22:22
XRP Up or Down - October 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$140	149	0	+149	Down	+$9	10-08 20:48
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$140	147	0	+147	Down	+$7	10-08 21:42
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$140	146	0	+146	Down	+$6	10-08 20:23
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$140	145	0	+145	Up	+$5	10-08 20:28
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$140	144	0	+144	Up	+$4	10-08 20:53
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$140	141	0	+141	Up	+$1	10-08 23:03
XRP Up or Down - October 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$140	141	0	+141	Up	+$1	10-08 21:38
XRP Up or Down - October 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$140	142	0	+142	Down	+$2	10-08 21:48
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	6	$115	89	89	+0	Down	-$35	10-07 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 12:25 UTC	5	$112	94	62	+32	Down	-$6	10-03 12:27
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:50 UTC	4	$107	61	60	+0	Down	+$7	10-03 21:53
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	5	$86	65	58	+7	Up	-$19	10-03 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$84	88	0	+88	Up	+$4	10-09 10:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 10:45 UTC	2	$81	85	85	+0	Down	-$79	10-09 10:49
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$80	95	0	+95	Up	+$15	10-09 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$80	87	0	+87	Down	+$7	10-09 10:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 10:05 UTC	1	$80	81	0	+81	Down	+$1	10-09 10:08
Solana Up or Down - October 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$77	60	32	+28	Up	+$5	10-05 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 12:30 UTC	4	$77	57	30	+27	Down	+$4	10-05 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$75	84	0	+84	Up	+$9	10-08 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$75	87	0	+87	Down	+$12	10-07 23:48
Solana Up or Down - October 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$75	80	0	+80	Down	+$5	10-06 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 01:38:38	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xa5de2f…
10-15 00:36:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xb598eb…
10-15 00:34:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	17	39¢	$7	0x3f5a73…
10-15 00:33:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0xd026fb…
10-14 23:22:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x3bfdec…
10-14 23:17:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xaa7e86…
10-14 23:07:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6f3481…
10-14 22:33:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x487449…
10-14 20:09:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	32	5¢	$2	0x6468ca…
10-14 20:08:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x163f51…
10-14 20:08:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xb2a1c4…
10-14 20:06:58	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xafe798…
10-14 19:56:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:55 UTC	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x8eace6…
10-14 19:56:39	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd1c0f4…
10-14 19:56:39	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6cdb4e…
10-14 19:53:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x47092e…
10-14 19:53:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x0a9162…
10-14 19:53:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xcd1540…
10-14 19:53:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xce1410…
10-14 19:53:22	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x557bbc…
10-14 19:47:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x13d7fd…
10-14 19:38:28	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:35 UTC	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x9a07d8…
10-14 19:38:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5efba5…
10-14 19:38:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3b809b…
10-14 01:02:36	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x30d5ff…
10-13 23:08:21	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x26ddfc…
10-13 23:08:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x317e17…
10-13 22:38:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:35 UTC	Up	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0x9774e0…
10-13 22:37:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb3f4ab…
10-13 22:37:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0e0c5f…
10-13 22:29:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x46b865…
10-13 21:48:25	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xe059e0…
10-13 21:48:10	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd6cbcb…
10-13 21:43:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa37bf6…
10-13 21:18:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x06f366…
10-13 21:18:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xfee3dc…
10-13 21:18:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3a6632…
10-10 21:33:21	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4ad4fd…
10-10 21:27:28	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb2f3dc…
10-10 21:23:18	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x780259…
10-10 21:22:57	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x473ecd…
10-10 21:08:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0xf76091…
10-10 20:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa329a3…
10-10 20:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1cd3c7…
10-10 20:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x257e82…
10-10 20:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd60ea9…
10-10 20:28:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x71815a…
10-10 20:23:03	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd4845e…
10-10 20:08:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xaf89e9…
10-10 20:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa5790a…
10-10 20:03:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0e8773…
10-10 19:58:03	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2a100f…
10-10 19:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x915de3…
10-10 19:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x556520…
10-10 19:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3edac5…
10-10 19:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xba9c92…
10-10 19:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3a67b0…
10-10 19:08:55	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	22	40¢	$9	0xc2e036…
10-10 19:08:21	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0x2608f1…
10-10 19:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe29d42…
10-10 19:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9ecfc8…
10-10 19:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x59d22e…
10-10 18:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x0c2a43…
10-10 18:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xd1a907…
10-10 18:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x016016…
10-10 18:52:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8c4d68…
10-10 18:52:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x004de3…
10-10 18:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x75f715…
10-10 18:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x60fefc…
10-10 18:44:01	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x8340ae…
10-10 18:43:54	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x879300…
10-10 18:38:15	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8825d8…
10-10 18:38:12	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3495a7…
10-10 18:34:07	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xb7c045…
10-10 18:33:03	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0x3e81fc…
10-10 18:23:55	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x13d270…
10-10 16:13:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x64697d…
10-10 14:53:31	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0x267f22…
10-10 14:52:24	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x96a4fc…
10-10 12:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xbbeff5…
10-10 12:38:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x737646…
10-10 12:38:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x6d895d…
10-10 12:38:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x155910…
10-10 12:08:18	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0x17bbe2…
10-10 12:03:25	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xa8a747…
10-10 12:03:15	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x8094d0…
10-10 11:57:43	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	84¢	$24	0x2769e1…
10-10 11:53:42	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd79353…
10-10 11:53:42	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xce42b8…
10-10 11:29:33	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x94c650…
10-10 11:28:58	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x2d8f29…
10-10 11:28:46	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xedfdb0…
10-10 11:28:46	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9f36e4…
10-10 11:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0x3917df…
10-10 10:53:36	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0x58e695…
10-10 01:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xfe9790…
10-10 01:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x5e0c00…
10-10 01:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x215518…
10-10 01:23:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9d7419…
10-10 01:23:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x1042aa…