Kooky-Dad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

Trades

483

lifetime

Volume

$7.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-26 18:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

75% 0% $-3

Other

25% 100% +$17

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes		+9	$0	16¢	$1	+$1	06-26 18:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	14	$625	485	485	+0	open	—	03-21 23:50
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	5	$320	170	170	+0	open	—	04-03 06:54
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?	2	$299	160	160	+0	open	—	04-02 03:37
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	6	$293	158	158	+0	open	—	03-31 11:53
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 1, 2026?	5	$282	145	145	+0	open	—	04-01 15:23
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 3, 2026?	8	$260	182	182	+0	open	—	04-03 14:30
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	17	$245	138	138	+0	open	—	03-30 13:31
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	4	$230	130	130	+0	open	—	03-31 16:43
will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by march 31 656 625 393	3	$228	119	119	+0	open	—	03-09 18:25
usisrael strike yemen by march 4	6	$197	101	101	+0	open	—	03-06 15:48
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 24 2026	9	$192	235	235	+0	open	—	03-28 03:57
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	11	$182	1,705	70	+1,635	open	—	04-04 17:56
usisrael strike yemen by march 14	5	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-15 06:56
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 6, 2026?	2	$153	129	129	+0	open	—	04-04 17:40
will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	17	$152	236	236	+0	open	—	03-19 08:16
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	14	$138	112	91	+21	Yes	+$17	05-12 12:43
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 24 2026 647	8	$126	69	69	+0	open	—	03-25 06:09
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	4	$123	74	74	+0	open	—	03-05 10:33
will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	9	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	03-19 11:04
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	30	$95	1,711	711	+1,000	open	—	03-26 19:02
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	7	$92	87	87	+0	open	—	03-28 13:26
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	6	$92	153	80	+73	open	—	05-27 19:36
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$90	56	56	+0	open	—	05-27 09:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	5	$86	46	46	+0	open	—	06-04 20:19
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 21 2026	4	$79	42	42	+0	open	—	03-21 02:52
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$78	77	77	+0	open	—	03-14 08:14
will iran strike israel on march 10	6	$72	42	42	+0	open	—	03-12 17:40
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$69	150	150	+0	open	—	03-14 08:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	5	$68	31	45	-13	No	$-2	05-09 03:46
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	8	$66	45	33	+12	open	—	05-29 10:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 18:21:46	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x0e2271…
06-26 17:38:23	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	24¢	$19	0x7787ff…
06-19 14:57:17	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x312444…
06-16 05:55:01	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x5abc99…
06-15 11:43:07	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x40b51b…
06-08 16:49:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x917029…
06-08 06:13:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$8	0x161cdb…
06-08 06:12:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x24ee61…
06-06 18:16:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x2f2ae2…
06-06 16:11:21	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x649693…
06-06 06:36:31	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xde9178…
06-06 06:21:39	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x5095bc…
06-06 03:42:10	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x7fbee2…
06-05 16:30:46	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3f10a7…
06-05 14:19:18	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1de77e…
06-04 20:19:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x07833f…
06-03 05:12:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x4d1ae1…
06-02 18:51:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x26f896…
06-02 09:16:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0xdf0ba9…
06-02 01:58:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xe3b6dc…
06-01 16:57:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xeabdb9…
06-01 15:36:47	Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0a1b35…
06-01 06:39:58	Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x080d26…
05-31 15:53:08	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbf75b8…
05-31 10:51:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xd96a75…
05-31 01:52:26	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x052ecf…
05-31 01:51:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xce7fe1…
05-30 18:38:42	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x29b074…
05-30 18:32:29	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x45aa7f…
05-30 10:57:57	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xf06bb4…
05-30 10:57:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x8a10ca…
05-30 09:10:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xf6c515…
05-29 20:14:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xe0cfaa…
05-29 19:42:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xf262fb…
05-29 19:41:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x30812d…
05-29 10:06:43	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xc5fb56…
05-29 06:53:12	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc587e9…
05-29 06:52:03	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2947b7…
05-29 06:51:46	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xb3c23f…
05-28 17:33:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x0e4fb7…
05-28 14:31:18	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x678f02…
05-28 13:57:37	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	82¢	$21	0x2a2ed7…
05-28 10:57:30	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0xbbe2ef…
05-28 10:30:11	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x90ff29…
05-27 19:36:22	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	73¢	$26	0x5426a3…
05-27 17:39:17	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	67¢	$24	0x99bb5a…
05-27 09:12:17	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x8d5159…
05-27 03:43:00	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$23	0xcfda33…
05-26 16:40:08	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0xcbec7c…
05-26 15:23:07	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	73¢	$19	0x08480f…
05-25 18:05:21	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	22¢	$16	0xd7785e…
05-25 17:59:43	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	34¢	$15	0x83a1ce…
05-25 17:58:54	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0xebcd68…
05-25 17:58:07	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xba0298…
05-25 17:56:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0xd62e06…
05-25 17:00:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x0cc3df…
05-25 06:18:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x440111…
05-24 16:01:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x448a8c…
05-24 09:12:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x65a7c4…
05-24 04:59:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x563043…
05-24 01:31:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xf0e16f…
05-23 20:40:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x7c8cb0…
05-23 14:39:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xb5c6b2…
05-22 09:06:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	23	28¢	$7	0xbfdb3c…
05-21 10:51:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0xe4937c…
05-21 09:57:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	30¢	$8	0xb51975…
05-18 13:54:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0x31ae16…
05-18 08:20:00	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x97b122…
05-18 08:18:47	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x2e6524…
05-18 08:16:16	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x17841e…
05-18 07:47:32	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xb0acb4…
05-18 07:46:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xba6388…
05-17 18:44:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xf35adb…
05-17 18:42:57	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	30¢	$10	0x30eca9…
05-17 05:18:25	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x69fd7b…
05-17 05:17:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xd16c07…
05-17 03:37:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x643313…
05-15 20:34:50	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0xa187cf…
05-12 15:11:21	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x8841f1…
05-12 12:43:41	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3f3dc2…
05-12 12:34:26	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9d2514…
05-12 11:15:55	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xec6dc4…
05-12 08:14:02	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf16e88…
05-10 22:25:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0xe83c6e…
05-10 22:24:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x5bf01f…
05-10 22:23:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x08695e…
05-10 21:02:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0x1b68f9…
05-10 13:02:00	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0x37f8ac…
05-10 08:06:34	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x021824…
05-10 08:05:52	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4856ab…
05-09 03:46:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x797022…
05-08 07:27:26	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xc56d0b…
05-06 13:48:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x653992…
05-06 13:47:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x3b065a…
05-06 11:32:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x312b53…
05-06 11:31:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xc2d6c2…
05-06 04:14:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$14	0xbb54e8…
05-05 19:27:56	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	29	47¢	$14	0x2b5031…
05-05 09:35:58	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0x13b90f…
05-04 18:18:40	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0x3e0bc8…