Kooky-Dad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

Trades

509

lifetime

Volume

$7.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-21 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

75% 0% $-3

Other

25% 100% +$17

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes		+9	$0	15¢	$1	+$1	06-26 18:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	14	$625	485	485	+0	open	—	03-21 23:50
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	5	$320	170	170	+0	open	—	04-03 06:54
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?	2	$299	160	160	+0	open	—	04-02 03:37
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	6	$293	158	158	+0	open	—	03-31 11:53
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 1, 2026?	5	$282	145	145	+0	open	—	04-01 15:23
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 3, 2026?	8	$260	182	182	+0	open	—	04-03 14:30
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	17	$245	138	138	+0	open	—	03-30 13:31
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	4	$230	130	130	+0	open	—	03-31 16:43
will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by march 31 656 625 393	3	$228	119	119	+0	open	—	03-09 18:25
usisrael strike yemen by march 4	6	$197	101	101	+0	open	—	03-06 15:48
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 24 2026	9	$192	235	235	+0	open	—	03-28 03:57
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	11	$182	1,705	70	+1,635	open	—	04-04 17:56
usisrael strike yemen by march 14	5	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-15 06:56
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 6, 2026?	2	$153	129	129	+0	open	—	04-04 17:40
will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	17	$152	236	236	+0	open	—	03-19 08:16
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	14	$138	112	91	+21	Yes	+$17	05-12 12:43
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 24 2026 647	8	$126	69	69	+0	open	—	03-25 06:09
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	4	$123	74	74	+0	open	—	03-05 10:33
will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	9	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	03-19 11:04
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	30	$95	1,711	711	+1,000	open	—	03-26 19:02
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	7	$92	87	87	+0	open	—	03-28 13:26
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	6	$92	153	80	+73	open	—	05-27 19:36
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$90	56	56	+0	open	—	05-27 09:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	5	$86	46	46	+0	open	—	06-04 20:19
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 21 2026	4	$79	42	42	+0	open	—	03-21 02:52
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$78	77	77	+0	open	—	03-14 08:14
will iran strike israel on march 10	6	$72	42	42	+0	open	—	03-12 17:40
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$69	150	150	+0	open	—	03-14 08:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	5	$68	31	45	-13	No	$-2	05-09 03:46
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	8	$66	45	33	+12	open	—	05-29 10:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 15:57:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x627dc9…
07-20 13:56:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x2ffb76…
07-20 13:55:27	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xfff39b…
07-20 13:18:34	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 17 2026 20260714210303207	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xa3c7f4…
07-18 16:15:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x8237d2…
07-18 14:51:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x1f4248…
07-18 13:21:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	67	14¢	$9	0xe14105…
07-18 07:09:16	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x4684c7…
07-17 21:04:19	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 17 2026 20260714210303207	No	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0xe8eb76…
07-17 20:26:43	untitled market 1 20260626145744786	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x07cf2e…
07-17 18:49:15	untitled market 1 20260626145744786	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0320b5…
07-17 12:36:19	untitled market 1 20260626145744786	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0xc85c93…
07-17 12:10:09	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x570c1e…
07-17 11:13:24	untitled market 1 20260626145744786	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x70ef29…
07-17 10:27:34	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x565712…
07-17 10:06:48	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xe9b771…
07-17 09:43:24	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x7de057…
07-16 19:55:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0xacf14b…
07-15 06:45:25	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	41	43¢	$18	0x9db4f6…
07-15 06:45:25	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x881903…
07-15 05:52:43	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x53ba2f…
07-15 05:52:37	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x84a499…
07-13 19:17:17	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0xdc61a6…
07-13 16:35:55	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x6dd88c…
07-13 16:00:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x850b78…
07-12 15:36:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x077167…
06-26 18:21:46	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x0e2271…
06-26 17:38:23	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	24¢	$19	0x7787ff…
06-19 14:57:17	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x312444…
06-16 05:55:01	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x5abc99…
06-15 11:43:07	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x40b51b…
06-08 16:49:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x917029…
06-08 06:13:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$8	0x161cdb…
06-08 06:12:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x24ee61…
06-06 18:16:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x2f2ae2…
06-06 16:11:21	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x649693…
06-06 06:36:31	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xde9178…
06-06 06:21:39	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x5095bc…
06-06 03:42:10	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x7fbee2…
06-05 16:30:46	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3f10a7…
06-05 14:19:18	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1de77e…
06-04 20:19:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x07833f…
06-03 05:12:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x4d1ae1…
06-02 18:51:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x26f896…
06-02 09:16:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0xdf0ba9…
06-02 01:58:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xe3b6dc…
06-01 16:57:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xeabdb9…
06-01 15:36:47	Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0a1b35…
06-01 06:39:58	Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x080d26…
05-31 15:53:08	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbf75b8…
05-31 10:51:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xd96a75…
05-31 01:52:26	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x052ecf…
05-31 01:51:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xce7fe1…
05-30 18:38:42	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x29b074…
05-30 18:32:29	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x45aa7f…
05-30 10:57:57	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xf06bb4…
05-30 10:57:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x8a10ca…
05-30 09:10:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xf6c515…
05-29 20:14:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xe0cfaa…
05-29 19:42:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xf262fb…
05-29 19:41:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x30812d…
05-29 10:06:43	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xc5fb56…
05-29 06:53:12	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc587e9…
05-29 06:52:03	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2947b7…
05-29 06:51:46	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xb3c23f…
05-28 17:33:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x0e4fb7…
05-28 14:31:18	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x678f02…
05-28 13:57:37	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	82¢	$21	0x2a2ed7…
05-28 10:57:30	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0xbbe2ef…
05-28 10:30:11	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x90ff29…
05-27 19:36:22	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	73¢	$26	0x5426a3…
05-27 17:39:17	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	67¢	$24	0x99bb5a…
05-27 09:12:17	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x8d5159…
05-27 03:43:00	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$23	0xcfda33…
05-26 16:40:08	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0xcbec7c…
05-26 15:23:07	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	73¢	$19	0x08480f…
05-25 18:05:21	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	22¢	$16	0xd7785e…
05-25 17:59:43	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	34¢	$15	0x83a1ce…
05-25 17:58:54	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0xebcd68…
05-25 17:58:07	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xba0298…
05-25 17:56:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0xd62e06…
05-25 17:00:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x0cc3df…
05-25 06:18:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x440111…
05-24 16:01:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x448a8c…
05-24 09:12:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x65a7c4…
05-24 04:59:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x563043…
05-24 01:31:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xf0e16f…
05-23 20:40:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x7c8cb0…
05-23 14:39:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xb5c6b2…
05-22 09:06:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	23	28¢	$7	0xbfdb3c…
05-21 10:51:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0xe4937c…
05-21 09:57:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	30¢	$8	0xb51975…
05-18 13:54:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0x31ae16…
05-18 08:20:00	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x97b122…
05-18 08:18:47	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x2e6524…
05-18 08:16:16	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x17841e…
05-18 07:47:32	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xb0acb4…
05-18 07:46:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xba6388…
05-17 18:44:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xf35adb…
05-17 18:42:57	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	30¢	$10	0x30eca9…