Elastic-Gift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$104

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

443

Trades

1,376

lifetime

Volume

$2.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-08 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 72% -$16

Other

29% 34% -$88

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	29	$207	326	326	+0	No	+$4	03-09 05:28
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	21	$148	113	113	+0	Yes	+$0	03-09 10:56
bitcoin up or down march 2 4pm et	12	$95	68	68	+0	Up	+$0	03-02 21:35
bitcoin up or down march 2 3pm et	8	$78	46	46	+0	Up	+$1	03-02 20:59
bitcoin up or down february 25 12am et	16	$76	49	49	+0	Down	+$0	02-25 05:28
bitcoin up or down february 25 1am et	24	$73	45	45	+0	Up	+$1	02-25 06:31
bitcoin up or down february 26 1pm et	11	$72	54	54	+0	Up	-$4	02-26 18:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:00 UTC	7	$69	53	53	+1	Down	+$2	03-02 22:05
bitcoin up or down february 26 2pm et	16	$57	27	51	-24	Up	$0	02-26 19:54
bitcoin up or down march 14 4pm et	11	$48	29	29	+0	Up	+$1	03-14 20:42
bitcoin up or down march 2 5pm et	4	$48	37	37	+0	Up	+$0	03-02 22:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 21:05 UTC	6	$44	28	28	+0	Up	+$1	03-02 21:07
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 90 114	8	$41	67	67	+0	No	-$1	03-11 13:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 19:55 UTC	6	$39	28	27	+0	Down	+$5	02-26 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 21:15 UTC	4	$39	45	44	+1	Down	-$1	03-02 21:16
bitcoin up or down march 9 7am et	12	$36	24	24	+0	Up	-$3	03-09 11:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:10 UTC	4	$28	18	18	+0	Down	+$0	03-02 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:05 UTC	5	$28	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	03-02 22:09
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 21?	7	$25	48	31	+17	No	-$8	06-21 05:11
bitcoin up or down february 24 9pm et	5	$24	20	15	+5	Down	-$3	02-25 02:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 05:40 UTC	4	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	02-25 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 21:35 UTC	4	$21	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	03-02 21:39
bitcoin up or down march 14 5pm et	8	$21	16	16	+0	Down	+$0	03-14 21:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 2?	6	$20	90	90	+0	No	-$4	06-02 01:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 06:00 UTC	4	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	02-25 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-21 16:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 05:55 UTC	6	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	02-25 05:58
bitcoin up or down march 14 3pm et	4	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	03-14 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-21 16:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 08:59:55	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x853174…
10-08 08:59:50	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xca6e7b…
10-08 07:16:19	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xa76316…
10-08 07:13:38	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb02962…
10-08 05:30:10	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x9a2788…
10-07 19:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 7?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x0fcf12…
10-07 14:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x2be195…
10-07 13:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x12482b…
10-07 13:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xbb2abb…
10-07 13:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5889df…
10-07 07:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6337c4…
10-07 07:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xfa3b11…
10-07 07:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x38f667…
10-07 06:49:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xd413e4…
10-07 06:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x87220c…
10-07 06:33:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x443a99…
10-07 06:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x767137…
10-07 06:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xd66d0d…
10-07 06:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x941ef6…
10-07 05:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x84c91c…
10-07 04:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xf970ba…
10-07 04:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf8271d…
10-06 17:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf084e1…
10-06 17:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc67191…
10-06 03:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xeeeab6…
10-06 03:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x7148f2…
10-06 03:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd0af1f…
10-06 03:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x7b4848…
08-31 22:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe470ea…
08-31 22:03:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x235ea2…
08-31 19:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfb5828…
08-31 18:18:51	bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xef4d2e…
08-31 18:10:21	bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x541ead…
08-31 18:09:52	bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x130318…
08-31 18:08:21	bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf131de…
08-31 18:05:58	bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdc1280…
08-31 17:46:01	bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x8a284e…
08-31 17:29:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x137633…
08-31 17:07:24	bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6da1b9…
08-31 15:36:46	bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xa9d46f…
08-31 15:03:06	bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa55d89…
08-31 06:02:42	bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4f78bc…
08-31 05:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x48f489…
08-30 17:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x41a70a…
08-29 23:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9b4cd5…
08-28 21:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf0887f…
08-28 19:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x56f0fc…
08-26 22:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	594	0¢	$1	0x07e353…
08-26 21:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	406	0¢	$0	0x84d9a7…
08-26 18:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xd1fdcc…
08-26 18:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd637af…
08-26 03:24:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x8ca2df…
08-26 02:06:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x6a9e17…
08-26 02:06:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xdd197e…
08-26 02:06:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x2770b9…
08-26 02:06:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xabc3a2…
08-26 02:06:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x90c310…
08-26 02:06:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x4095d5…
08-26 02:06:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xc0443b…
08-26 02:06:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xee8ccd…
08-26 02:06:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd90fae…
08-26 02:06:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb46484…
08-26 02:06:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xcd2b21…
08-26 02:06:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x293cad…
08-26 02:06:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xd0becc…
08-26 02:06:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xbd367f…
08-26 02:06:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x0af0d0…
08-26 02:06:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x8c8b84…
08-26 02:06:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xd274ad…
08-26 02:06:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x4758f3…
08-26 02:06:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xee014b…
08-26 02:06:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x97e4a5…
08-26 02:05:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x9d7665…
08-26 02:05:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xdadc3f…
08-26 02:05:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x6f4c51…
08-26 02:05:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x138368…
08-26 02:05:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xfe1137…
08-26 02:05:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe1c3ee…
08-26 02:05:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7b2505…
08-26 02:05:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x8584b9…
08-26 02:05:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xfb77dd…
08-26 02:05:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x4ac7ba…
08-26 02:05:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x55d5a7…
08-26 02:05:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6b265b…
08-26 02:05:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x541981…
08-26 02:05:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x873f82…
08-26 02:05:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x21e997…
08-26 02:05:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc68067…
08-26 02:05:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xeefdc8…
08-26 02:05:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xed47fc…
08-26 02:05:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x84f8a2…
08-26 02:05:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x08d435…
08-26 02:05:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xdf372a…
08-26 02:04:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x42940c…
08-26 02:04:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x0b06a7…
08-26 02:04:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x1e11b3…
08-26 02:04:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x3bbeaf…
08-26 02:04:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x0608a7…
08-26 02:04:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe79c18…
08-26 02:04:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x68e0c4…