Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

Trades

638

lifetime

Volume

$407.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$639

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 05-07 19:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

74% 90% -$19,954

Other

26% 100% +$2,737

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	50	$30.8K	20,809	11,581	+9,228	No	+$326	03-23 13:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	51	$27.5K	28,373	0	+28,373	No	+$892	03-06 13:31
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	44	$26.0K	13,175	13,693	-518	No	+$729	02-27 18:03
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$21.0K	21,068	0	+21,068	No	+$42	02-10 03:39
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	14	$20.3K	10,498	10,498	+0	No	+$724	01-25 14:46
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	10	$16.9K	8,916	8,303	+613	No	+$217	01-27 00:01
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	28	$15.8K	13,616	2,510	+11,106	Yes	+$210	03-17 12:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	28	$15.1K	14,953	14,953	+0	Yes	-$14,106	04-07 23:21
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	26	$13.7K	6,886	6,914	-28	No	+$116	03-01 01:43
will the us next strike iran on january 27 2026 et 332	12	$12.6K	6,384	6,384	+0	No	+$128	01-28 09:33
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	16	$12.4K	6,380	6,380	+0	No	+$319	03-31 11:41
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$12.1K	12,172	0	+12,172	Yes	+$97	03-02 21:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$12.0K	6,294	6,294	+0	No	+$170	04-01 09:42
will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	33	$10.8K	10,874	0	+10,874	Yes	+$40	03-07 21:23
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	6	$10.1K	10,131	0	+10,131	No	+$51	02-28 03:06
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	1	$9.6K	9,600	0	+9,600	No	+$10	03-13 14:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	35	$8.6K	7,435	1,746	+5,689	No	+$354	03-13 14:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	13	$8.3K	9,914	9,914	+0	Yes	-$7,931	04-07 23:18
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	10	$8.1K	4,120	4,120	+0	Yes	+$126	02-10 03:38
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	1	$6.9K	6,970	0	+6,970	No	+$35	01-30 10:08
another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867	2	$6.9K	6,964	0	+6,964	No	+$82	01-25 14:47
will henrique gouveia e melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$6.8K	7,007	0	+7,007	No	+$210	01-13 22:14
us forces in venezuela again by january 31 2026	11	$6.7K	6,913	0	+6,913	No	+$196	01-28 11:36
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	5	$6.0K	6,773	0	+6,773	No	+$782	03-23 15:24
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	6	$5.9K	6,105	0	+6,105	No	+$164	01-28 16:52
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	3	$5.8K	5,885	0	+5,885	No	+$71	01-27 04:25
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	9	$5.3K	5,371	0	+5,371	No	+$91	02-04 21:05
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	6	$5.2K	5,251	0	+5,251	No	+$66	02-20 02:29
will the us next strike iran on january 29 2026 et 159	2	$4.8K	2,436	2,436	+0	No	+$46	01-30 15:10
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	4	$4.0K	4,045	0	+4,045	No	+$24	01-18 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 19:56:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	79	96¢	$76	0x9834d2…
05-07 19:52:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	226	96¢	$217	0x56ba6a…
04-30 12:10:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	99	92¢	$91	0xc4c426…
04-30 12:10:20	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	291	92¢	$268	0xc61fe2…
04-28 21:26:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x130096…
04-28 21:23:16	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0xcc4c42…
04-28 21:22:56	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x15c437…
04-28 21:21:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	895	97¢	$870	0xa30ffb…
04-28 21:18:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	796	82¢	$653	0x2de832…
04-28 18:34:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	575	100¢	$572	0xbd815c…
04-28 18:33:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	224	99¢	$223	0x3a7290…
04-28 18:31:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x83f2d8…
04-28 10:40:40	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xcf497c…
04-28 10:22:00	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xefea7d…
04-28 09:52:10	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x5a8e5a…
04-28 09:40:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	89	94¢	$84	0xc77823…
04-28 09:27:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	185	96¢	$177	0xb617a2…
04-28 09:26:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2e7651…
04-28 09:24:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	392	94¢	$369	0x03d343…
04-28 00:43:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1f21a9…
04-28 00:43:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe618e5…
04-28 00:43:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x70f18e…
04-28 00:43:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6bdd3b…
04-28 00:43:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x228739…
04-27 23:56:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x833f23…
04-27 23:35:52	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	225	98¢	$221	0x69f941…
04-27 23:26:28	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xceef78…
04-27 23:15:30	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x0e686d…
04-27 22:35:34	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	317	99¢	$314	0x67363c…
04-27 22:12:28	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x5848de…
04-27 21:38:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	270	96¢	$259	0xc3c598…
04-27 21:25:50	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbfa511…
04-27 21:23:34	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x57fa02…
04-27 21:21:48	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf7e48e…
04-27 21:19:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	190	96¢	$182	0x0f66a1…
04-27 21:17:48	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x6e01ef…
04-27 21:17:34	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x898272…
04-27 21:15:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0x72364d…
04-27 21:15:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	399	84¢	$335	0x2b858b…
04-27 21:14:34	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	1,900	98¢	$1,868	0xd9494e…
04-27 21:13:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	256	96¢	$246	0xb687c3…
04-27 19:34:44	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0x7f9871…
04-27 19:13:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	337	96¢	$322	0xfa7d26…
04-27 18:51:18	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe0a603…
04-27 18:02:18	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	35	98¢	$35	0xf78866…
04-27 17:41:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	792	96¢	$761	0x06961f…
04-27 17:05:28	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5502c8…
04-27 16:39:24	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x26c1c7…
04-27 16:12:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	287	96¢	$275	0x157551…
04-27 16:10:44	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	371	98¢	$363	0x6b9f38…
04-13 00:08:05	will sergio oliver rodrguez win the 2026 cochabamba gubernatorial election 145	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xfca348…
04-12 08:42:35	will sergio oliver rodrguez win the 2026 cochabamba gubernatorial election 145	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4abf8a…
04-12 06:55:27	will sergio oliver rodrguez win the 2026 cochabamba gubernatorial election 145	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xa0bf4f…
04-12 06:55:27	will sergio oliver rodrguez win the 2026 cochabamba gubernatorial election 145	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x19285e…
04-07 23:42:09	Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?	No	SELL	182	70¢	$127	0xc999b8…
04-07 23:27:27	Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?	No	SELL	182	50¢	$91	0x2fec1f…
04-07 23:23:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	2,274	59¢	$1,342	0x85f339…
04-07 23:21:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	4,785	2¢	$83	0x3c1aa8…
04-07 23:20:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x99eaa3…
04-07 23:20:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	115	2¢	$2	0x7222c8…
04-07 23:20:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,029	2¢	$20	0xbed058…
04-07 23:18:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	9,914	2¢	$208	0x904308…
04-07 23:17:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	238	4¢	$10	0x9634c0…
04-07 23:17:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	2,352	4¢	$99	0x7ab04a…
04-07 23:17:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	368	4¢	$15	0x566f5a…
04-07 23:17:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	993	4¢	$42	0x328c1e…
04-07 23:17:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	71	4¢	$3	0x196eac…
04-07 23:17:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xec3e4f…
04-07 23:17:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xba27ea…
04-07 23:17:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	197	4¢	$8	0xb8f226…
04-07 23:17:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xa50f31…
04-07 23:17:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x7861fa…
04-07 23:17:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x0be322…
04-07 23:17:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,712	4¢	$72	0x26d751…
04-07 23:17:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	128	4¢	$6	0xded8d3…
04-07 23:17:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	225	4¢	$10	0x7bc702…
04-07 23:17:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	116	4¢	$5	0x1f8098…
04-07 23:17:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	2,326	4¢	$100	0xeadcfd…
04-07 23:17:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	196	4¢	$8	0x368c48…
04-07 15:39:03	will juan roberth flores win the 2026 cochabamba gubernatorial election 844	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x08ae54…
04-05 22:31:57	Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$299	0xf0213c…
04-05 22:15:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	238	97¢	$232	0x473f10…
04-05 22:13:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6c2dc6…
04-05 22:13:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x7fbe77…
04-05 22:13:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xd955a8…
04-05 22:13:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xd93461…
04-05 22:13:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xb1fd0c…
04-05 22:08:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	14,555	98¢	$14,203	0x8e1abd…
04-05 21:59:11	Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x2eb695…
04-05 21:54:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	561	99¢	$557	0xa10b7d…
04-05 21:14:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,429	99¢	$1,419	0x07aa5b…
04-01 09:42:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	6,294	97¢	$6,086	0xb1bdb2…
03-31 11:41:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	6,294	94¢	$5,916	0xff9e97…
03-31 11:41:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	5,922	100¢	$5,916	0xf7910c…
03-29 21:01:16	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	284	95¢	$271	0xd77554…
03-25 18:08:27	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	398	91¢	$362	0x5a4c05…
03-25 16:50:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	1,480	92¢	$1,362	0x235fed…
03-23 15:24:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	455	87¢	$395	0x47c6b9…
03-23 15:18:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	1,050	87¢	$913	0x9af879…
03-23 15:18:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	272	87¢	$235	0x97d5bb…