Realized P&L
-$191
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
41.5%
Resolved
342
Trades
789
lifetime
Volume
$9.62K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$74
16 positions
First seen
2026-06-17
last 10-29 21:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
51% 50% -$91
Politics
34% 36% +$22
Tech
9% 25% -$61
Sports
3% 57% +$34
Crypto
3% 32% -$96
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +32 $21 99¢ $32 +$11 10-28 12:44
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +12 $12 99¢ $12 +$0 10-29 17:43
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +21 $9 44¢ $9 +$1 10-28 00:03
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +20 $7 30¢ $6 -$1 10-25 14:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +20 $4 26¢ $5 +$1 10-29 19:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10 -$2 40¢ $4 +$6 10-28 03:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +29 $2 6¢ $2 $0 10-24 11:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +10 $1 10¢ $1 $0 10-29 21:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +20 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 10-25 20:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +37 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 10-24 20:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +22 $2 3¢ $1 -$2 10-25 06:00
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +12 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-28 01:06
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +73 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-29 17:47
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 10-23 14:39
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +0 -$1 99¢ $0 +$1 10-29 17:43
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +6 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 10-28 06:01