Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$105.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$360

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-15 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 86% +$42

Politics

45% 94% -$53

Other

2% 81% -$58

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+1	$1	92¢	$1	+$0	10-15 04:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	16	$20.8K	10,639	10,639	+0	Yes	+$26	02-04 10:11
bitcoin above 82k on february 4	47	$19.2K	9,345	9,870	-525	No	+$4	02-04 14:05
bitcoin above 84k on february 2	79	$18.9K	9,502	9,511	-8	No	+$16	02-02 15:23
bitcoin above 86k on february 3	26	$12.6K	6,303	6,303	+0	No	+$0	02-03 12:54
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	26	$11.4K	6,310	5,223	+1,087	No	+$20	02-04 11:06
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	2	$6.4K	3,200	3,200	+0	No	+$3	02-04 04:02
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	4	$5.0K	3,160	1,856	+1,304	No	+$4	02-03 04:04
bitcoin above 84k on february 3	1	$3.2K	3,203	0	+3,203	No	+$3	02-03 14:34
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	14	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$1	02-04 06:21
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	3	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	02-27 13:18
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$366	200	200	+0	Yes	+$6	02-02 12:15
lol hle1 g2 2026 07 05 game1	2	$251	130	130	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	-$1	07-05 07:18
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$210	211	0	+211	Yes	+$1	03-17 09:34
bitcoin above 76k on march 9	1	$210	210	0	+210	No	+$0	03-09 09:15
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$202	202	0	+202	No	+$0	02-22 04:09
Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	02-04 14:09
ethereum above 2300 on february 15	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-15 14:18
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	03-05 04:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	03-01 07:51
wmb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt57	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	02-10 13:21
bitcoin above 58k on february 19	3	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	02-19 13:13
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$171	90	90	+0	No	+$9	01-21 08:04
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	08-12 13:54
lol hle1 g2 2026 07 05	1	$126	130	0	+130	Hanwha Life Esports	+$4	07-05 08:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$123	125	0	+125	Yes	-$123	04-04 15:31
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	2	$123	63	63	+0	No	+$3	01-14 05:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$120	121	0	+121	No	+$1	04-24 06:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$120	123	0	+123	No	+$3	05-08 06:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$119	120	0	+120	No	+$1	04-29 07:24
lol blg we 2026 03 31	1	$113	120	0	+120	Bilibili Gaming	+$7	03-30 13:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 04:59:43	lol c9 kc 2026 10 15	Karmine Corp	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x629daf…
10-15 04:59:25	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x37a5d1…
10-15 04:59:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9f2b95…
08-12 13:55:24	lol blg jdg 2026 08 12	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xab884a…
08-12 13:54:52	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x3f6c0c…
07-05 08:28:08	lol hle1 g2 2026 07 05	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	130	97¢	$126	0x5851c8…
07-05 07:18:41	lol hle1 g2 2026 07 05 game1	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	130	96¢	$125	0x5fa55e…
07-05 07:07:44	lol hle1 g2 2026 07 05 game1	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	130	97¢	$126	0x18e6a6…
06-25 14:19:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0xa81715…
06-22 03:44:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x6367c0…
06-22 03:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on June 22?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x635a50…
06-08 04:54:39	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x90df0b…
05-26 08:49:39	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x547a42…
05-21 05:28:56	LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	JD Gaming	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x97bf19…
05-21 05:28:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe0396b…
05-13 14:46:28	LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x79dabf…
05-13 14:43:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xab1faa…
05-08 06:33:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	123	97¢	$120	0x74225f…
04-29 07:24:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0xc3ede6…
04-24 06:53:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xfb4a43…
04-16 08:28:30	lol bro2 gen 2026 04 16 game1	Gen.G	SELL	60	67¢	$40	0xbac6eb…
04-16 08:19:48	lol bro2 gen 2026 04 16 game1	Gen.G	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0x7fc0bb…
04-16 07:55:30	lol bro2 gen 2026 04 16	Gen.G	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x0e2417…
04-04 15:31:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	125	98¢	$123	0x390a89…
03-30 13:31:13	lol blg we 2026 03 31	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0x4dd07b…
03-21 08:17:21	lol gen g2 2026 03 21	Gen.G	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0xc541ab…
03-17 09:34:05	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0xa3bdba…
03-11 16:53:49	will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	101	96¢	$97	0x5ce624…
03-11 15:19:33	will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x131e21…
03-11 14:14:15	will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x24e6fe…
03-09 09:15:07	bitcoin above 76k on march 9	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x4b6752…
03-05 04:15:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x4e7680…
03-01 07:51:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x1b0269…
02-27 13:18:17	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xc7f4eb…
02-26 07:34:24	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x837cb8…
02-26 07:32:42	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2e5c75…
02-26 07:32:38	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1a7f79…
02-26 07:29:48	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x0fb1e2…
02-22 04:09:00	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0xc2734e…
02-19 13:13:42	bitcoin above 58k on february 19	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xfed008…
02-19 11:56:32	bitcoin above 58k on february 19	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x1e50dd…
02-19 11:19:08	will germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa53b1e…
02-19 11:19:02	will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd160ed…
02-19 11:18:08	bitcoin above 58k on february 19	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x5e54db…
02-15 14:23:07	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x427d99…
02-15 14:22:33	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x665eeb…
02-15 14:18:51	ethereum above 2300 on february 15	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x767e38…
02-10 13:22:39	us strikes iran by february 10 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc98ddc…
02-10 13:21:25	wmb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt57	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x5f5b38…
02-04 14:09:26	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x963d02…
02-04 14:09:02	Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x903f53…
02-04 14:06:40	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xe3d95d…
02-04 14:05:58	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	3,200	100¢	$3,194	0x20c4b5…
02-04 13:26:40	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	3,200	100¢	$3,190	0xda512d…
02-04 12:55:20	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0xf6e812…
02-04 12:54:52	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	252	100¢	$252	0x41425c…
02-04 12:54:16	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	248	100¢	$247	0x3cf2af…
02-04 12:53:52	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	244	100¢	$243	0x746a8b…
02-04 12:53:04	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	268	100¢	$268	0x5e580a…
02-04 12:52:34	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb7ff99…
02-04 12:52:06	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	235	100¢	$234	0xe83a3e…
02-04 12:51:44	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x47cc99…
02-04 12:51:32	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	149	100¢	$149	0x109b02…
02-04 12:51:14	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x74ed2d…
02-04 12:50:54	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x36063a…
02-04 12:50:40	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x82df1f…
02-04 12:50:12	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9e2154…
02-04 12:50:00	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x653bf3…
02-04 12:49:04	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	204	100¢	$203	0x7798e8…
02-04 12:47:08	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6622ac…
02-04 12:44:30	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1c8591…
02-04 12:43:32	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0x146dcf…
02-04 12:43:14	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7ea500…
02-04 12:37:24	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0x1b332a…
02-04 12:32:04	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xda179a…
02-04 12:26:22	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0xf0cfbc…
02-04 12:25:46	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb36e8a…
02-04 12:25:06	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xfd646e…
02-04 12:25:06	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x8749cc…
02-04 12:25:04	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	127	100¢	$126	0xb7c52e…
02-04 12:24:52	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xadedae…
02-04 12:24:52	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x645c63…
02-04 12:24:50	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x61a3e3…
02-04 12:24:18	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	879	100¢	$877	0x65af1c…
02-04 12:24:14	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	281	100¢	$280	0x3d6477…
02-04 12:18:20	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	1,053	100¢	$1,048	0x54dd74…
02-04 12:18:04	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6ae067…
02-04 12:16:08	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x547ccc…
02-04 12:15:40	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0x228aa6…
02-04 12:15:26	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0x0ddc15…
02-04 12:15:14	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	207	100¢	$206	0x852199…
02-04 12:15:02	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	206	99¢	$205	0xa33c03…
02-04 12:14:46	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x374c49…
02-04 12:14:44	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x7ecd73…
02-04 12:06:48	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	216	100¢	$215	0x8999c3…
02-04 12:05:04	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0x57d218…
02-04 11:53:56	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	1,220	100¢	$1,215	0xc0a731…
02-04 11:25:28	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2083af…
02-04 11:21:06	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	1,973	100¢	$1,967	0x4ffa7b…
02-04 11:06:30	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	135	98¢	$133	0x1962dc…